Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q4 FY25
BANDHANBNK Bandhan Bank Ltd · Private bank Q4 FY25 · concall
Pattern: interest reversal quarter versus

Refused to commit on doing about 4 credit.

2 deflections · 4 weak · 19 clean pushback across 6 of 25 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 6 of 25

Piran Engineer · CLSAweak

What was the interest reversal this quarter versus a similar number in 4QFY24?

During the quarter, we had INR69 crores as interest reversal. We will get back to you on the year-on-year comparison as we don't have the exact details on hand.

Piran Engineer · CLSAweak

What sort of impact do we expect on our deposit cost after the rate cut on SA, and can you guide on cost of deposits for FY26?

We have reduced interest rates on both savings bank and term deposits effective from 1st May, with around 30 basis points reduction on the highest term deposit bracket from 8.05% to 7.75%. The transmission on deposits will not be immediate as it depends on maturity and renewal, but for advances around 40% of our book is EBLR Repo-linked where transmission has already been passed. Some effect will be there for the first 2 quarters but will be well managed going forward.

M.B. Mahesh · Kotak Securitiesweak

On West Bengal SMA-0, 1, and 2 performance - what is the trend in the current month?

Two days back, the slippages percentage has actually come down, so we are seeing marginal positivity compared to March. Looking at SMA position at March end vs December end, there is improvement and the overall SMA book for EEB shows some reduction.

M.B. Mahesh · Kotak Securitiesdeflection

We are doing about 4% credit cost on annualized basis. How does that move over the next 2 quarters given near-term slippages on EEB book?

We don't give specific guidance on a quarterly basis. Due to risk in the EEB segment and tightening of criteria from 4 to 3, it's natural to expect continued stress for the next 2 quarters, albeit with some marginal quarter-on-quarter improvement. By Q3, we expect some sort of turnaround to happen.

Jai Mundhra · ICICI Securitiesweak

On incremental disbursement, are we taking CGFMU insurance or have we discontinued it?

At present we are not taking it. We are evaluating actively whether it is beneficial at this point - there is a threshold value beyond which if quality goes bad it makes beneficial for us. We are not averse to it but evaluating at what stage to look at it.

Param Subramanian · Investec Capitaldeflection

How much has the margin pressure been because of interest reversals on slippages this year?

That is a small amount.

Other Q&A (19)
Vatsal Parag Shah · Knightstone Capital Management

What will be our proportion of advances in Karnataka and Tamil Nadu?

Tamil Nadu has a share of less than 1% of EEB advances and Karnataka is 1.1%, so both are very negligible. The DPD book is also low and collection efficiency is around 97% in these two states, so we are not much impacted. Additionally, banks have been excluded from the regulations in both these states.

Vatsal Parag Shah · Knightstone Capital Management

What will be our fixed rate book percentage?

Around 55% of our loan book is at fixed rate.

Piran Engineer · CLSA

Out of the 45% floating rate book, how much is MCLR linked and how much is EBLR linked?

55% is fixed, and of the balance 45%, EBLR linked Repo is 41% and MCLR linked loans is just 4%-5%.

Piran Engineer · CLSA

On MFI customers where 8% are GNPAs, what percent are actually paying some EMI amount?

Overall, from our 8% GNPA number, close to 25% are paying us some amount. Some amount comes through 1 EMI or less, but some amount keeps coming from our GNPA book. In March, we collected around INR80 crores from this book.

Mohit Jain · Tara Capital Partners

On the SMA book for EEB portfolio in West Bengal, why is there a slight increase in SMA-0 and given disturbances in some districts in April, how is collection efficiency affected?

The increase is because the last 3 days of the quarter were holidays in West Bengal, so demand raised during that period could not be paid by borrowers, but most accounts have been eventually corrected. In Murshidabad district which had disturbances, about 88% of accounts are regular as of April with NPA at 4%, SMA-0 at 6%, and SMA-1 and SMA-2 at 1% each. Total outstanding is INR2,151 crores with only INR91 crores classified as NPA.

Mohit Jain · Tara Capital Partners

Given recent originations show 3.5-4% NPA, what gives confidence that EEB credit cost will come down to 2-3% over the longer term?

Recent vintages show improvement - FY25 figures came down from 2.8% in Q1 to 1% in Q2, 0.1% in Q3, and 0% in Q4. The DPD book is also coming down sequentially with INR223 crore reduction. We have implemented our own guardrails plus MFIN guardrails which will impact growth for 1-2 quarters but contain stress, and we have kept guidance of around INR5,000 crores incremental growth in the EEB segment for FY26.

Mohit Jain · Tara Capital Partners

Is the INR5,000 crores figure the EEB disbursement or net AUM growth for FY26?

It is the net AUM growth of the EEB portfolio for FY26.

Anand Swaminathan · Bank of America

Which are your worst performing states dragging down EEB collection efficiency to 98.2%, and when do you expect normalized disbursal levels during the year?

States not performing well include Maharashtra, parts of Gujarat, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. The first quarter is going to be muted, from quarter 2 onwards disbursal should pick up, and by the end of quarter 3 we should hopefully have a normal year-like quarter, with stabilization over Q3 and Q4.

Anand Swaminathan · Bank of America

Are Maharashtra and Gujarat at close to 96% collection efficiency in March, and is there anything localized causing the problem?

March collection efficiency was slightly better at 96-96.5% for Maharashtra and Gujarat, Tamil Nadu was 96%, and Karnataka similar at 96.5%. Primarily it is the same overleverage issue at pan-India level, and Bandhan + 2 relationship for us is at 92% which is much higher than counterparts. There have been localized disruptions like Murshidabad in the last 2 months but these don't continue for long.

Anand Swaminathan · Bank of America

After implementation of the new guardrails in April, has there been any change in collection efficiency?

Collection efficiencies for April have remained stable. The impact of guardrails has been more on the disbursal side with the 3 lender norm. We don't see collection efficiencies dipping in April apart from 1 or 2 places previously discussed.

M.B. Mahesh · Kotak Securities

On the ROE decomposition - margins are 7% today and you indicate the number will be down by about 20 basis points. Is that correct? Are peak ROAs 1.8% implying ROEs around 14%?

As secured mix increases over the next 3 years, NIMs should come down by another 50-60 basis points, but other income should increase by another 20 basis points or so to offset some impact. Costs will increase by 10-20 basis points over the next 2 years as we invest, then efficiencies should kick in. Credit cost is where we should see big reduction, leading to ROA reaching 1.8% to 1.9% over the next 2 to 3 years from current 1.5%.

Jai Mundhra · ICICI Securities

Have we taken the full impact of RWA decline or is there some loan book where lower risk weights are yet to be applied?

Following the RBI February 2025 circular, a large part of our EEB book across group lending and SBAL fulfils the criteria and we have taken the benefit in RWA calculation. The change from 1st April for lending to NBFCs should give some further benefit, which is not yet included in the March CRAR of 18.7%.

Jai Mundhra · ICICI Securities

Of the non-EEB slippages of INR3.5 billion, how much was from home loan and wholesale segment?

Wholesale segment slippages ratio is very low at only 0.6% in Q4, while housing finance slippages was 2.3% with a major part from legacy GRUH Finance acquired books. On housing, while gross slippage was 2.3%, on a net basis it was around 0.6-0.8% annualized, with INR70 crores of net addition on gross slippage of INR180 crores.

Jai Mundhra · ICICI Securities

On opex growth - is the higher growth primarily because new businesses are opex heavy plus investments in people and processes?

There are 2-3 key pieces - newer secured businesses require investments in people, technology and the right talent. We have core banking system upgrade and are focusing on systems like loan origination with state-of-the-art LOS providers like Salesforce. Plus distribution network branches to drive deposit growth.

Jai Mundhra · ICICI Securities

On the SMA-0 increase in West Bengal from 0.9% to 2.3% - has that rolled back? What is the current level?

30th and 31st being holiday demand dates caused SMA-0 to elevate from 0.9% to 2.3%. We collected 92.7% of the billed amount, and of the 8.3% that got forwarded, we collected 95% within the next 7 days. So that one week collection has already come through and this is a one-timer.

Param Subramanian · Investec Capital

Looking at next year specifically, would it be reasonable to say ROA will be under pressure given investments and operating profit profile reduction?

In the current year, Q1, Q2 was good and Q3, Q4 was comparatively bad, with overall ROA maintained at 1.5%. This year it will be the reverse - Q1, Q2 will be a little bit bad, but Q3, Q4 we expect to be good. By Q2 most problems will be addressed, so 1.5%-1.6% can be maintained for this year.

Param Subramanian · Investec Capital

On operating profit as a percentage of assets at 3.3-3.4% - how does this evolve over next year given mix shift bringing margins down and continued investments?

Full year ROA was 1.5%, Q3 was 0.9% and Q4 was 0.7%, largely impacted by elevated micro slippages. Once the microfinance cycle turns, we expect relief, and as new capabilities provide higher other income, we will reach 1.8% to 1.9% ROA over the next 2 to 3 years on a glide path.

Ankit Bihani · Nomura

What is the yield on microfinance portfolio versus non-microfinance portfolio currently?

The differential between the two yields is roughly around 10%. EEB is around or upwards of 20%, and non-microfinance is around 10%.

Ankit Bihani · Nomura

What has led to the negative tax in this quarter?

Two aspects accounted for - one is the deferred tax asset on ESOP roughly around INR61 crores, linked to the ESOP accounting impact of INR166 crores in the last quarter. The second is release of an old year's income tax provision linked to assessment completion. In total, about INR87 crores between these two items.

Prepared remarks (5 blocks)
A very good evening to you all. At the outset let me welcome you to the Q4 earnings call of Bandhan Bank. While my colleague and CFO, Rajeev Mantri, will walk you through the detailed Q4 financials, I would like to highlight a few key points from our recent performance, and then I'll share our strategic vision for the next 2 to 3 years. As we've discussed in previous quarters, the microfinance sector has faced significant stress, and the overall liquidity tightness in the system has impacted both growth and profitability at an industry level. However, I'd like to note that recent regulatory and monetary actions have been positive, and we expect to see gradual steady improvement in the MFI segment in the coming few months. With the ongoing challenges in the microfinance sector, our team has worked well to manage the situation. During the quarter, while loan growth and profitability showed moderate progress vs. our guidance, we remain encouraged by the continued resilience across key operational metrics. Notably, we observed (a) a consistent increase in the share of the secured loan book; (b) robust growth in retail term deposits; and (c) a reduced reliance on bulk deposits - which contribute to a more diversified book and a stable & sustainable funding profile. Even with elevated slippages, headline GNPA and NNPA ratios remained broadly stable on a sequential basis, underscoring effective asset quality management. Additionally, our strong capital adequacy position provides a solid foundation for sustained growth and improved performance in the coming quarters. Despite heightened stress in the MFI segment during the second half of the year-resulting in elevated credit costs and moderate growth - the Bank navigated these challenges with resilience and focus. I am pleased to report that for the full year FY25, we delivered a reasonably strong performance. A snapshot of the same is (a) Net Interest Income was INR <strong>11,491 crore</strong> a growth of 11%; (b) Net Total Income was INR 14,458 crore a growth of 16%; (c) Operating profit was at INR 7,389 crore a growth of 11%; (d) Profit after tax was at INR 2,745 crore a growth of 23% YoY; and (e) RoA of 1.5% and RoE of 11.6% for the full year. Now, let's turn to the broad numbers for Q4. As of March 31, 2025, our advances book stood at INR 1.37 lakh crore, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10%. On the deposits side, deposits have reached INR 1.51 lakh crore, showing a YoY growth of 12%, which outpaces the growth in advances. In this quarter, our secured book grew by 32% YoY, improving the secured mix to 50.5%, compared to 42% in FY24. Retail term deposits grew strongly at 30% YoY. CASA deposits now represent 31% of the total deposit base, bringing the total share of Retail Deposits (CASA + Retail Term Deposits) to 69%. We've effectively managed our funding mix by containing bulk deposits to 31% of total deposits. We remain firmly committed to maintaining asset quality.
While credit costs remain elevated at present, we are focused on bringing them down over the couple of quarters. During the quarter, we have technically written off INR <strong>1,136 crore</strong>. Despite an increase in slippages and higher upgrades & recoveries, our headline asset quality remains largely stable with Gross NPA at 4.7% and Net NPA at 1.3%. PCR (incl. the technical write-off portfolio), was higher at 86.5%. For Q4 the Net Total Income in Q4FY25 was INR 3,456 crore and operating profit was at INR 1,571 crore. The bank reported PAT of INR 318 crore for the quarter. As previously communicated, in Q1FY25, the Bank adopted a conservative approach by increasing the risk weight on the EEB portfolio from 75% to 125%. However, in February 2025, the RBI clarified the risk weight norms, reducing them to 100% or 75% for MFI loans. This regulatory clarification has had a favourable impact on our capital ratios with CAR at 18.7% and Tier I at 17.9%. The Board of Directors has recommended a dividend of INR 1.50 per share, subject to the approval of the shareholders at the forthcoming Annual General Meeting. Given the current macro-economic environment, we are targeting an advances growth of 15-17% CAGR over the next three years, with a strategic focus on increasing the secured mix. We expect secured advances to constitute over 55%+ of the total advances by FY27. While both the secured portfolio and the EEB book are expected to grow, the secured book will grow at a relatively higher pace. Liability growth is expected to outpace advances growth. We will continue to drive growth in both CASA and retail term deposits, while actively working to reduce reliance on bulk deposits. Leveraging the capabilities of our 1,715 branches and nearly 4,594 BUs, we aim to deepen our reach and mobilize more granular deposits. The planned increase in the share of our secured loan book is expected to have an impact on NIM. As a result, we anticipate some moderation in margins over the coming years on a risk adjusted basis. On operating expenses, we expect the operating expenses to assets ratio to increase by 10-20 bps from current levels over the next two years. However, as operating leverage begins to take effect thereafter, we anticipate a gradual improvement in this ratio. While credit costs are expected to remain elevated in H1FY26, we are targeting to reach 1.5-1.6% of credit cost over the next 2-3 years. Our focus remains on a steady and sustainable improvement in profitability, with a clear glide path toward improving RoA to 1.8-1.9% over the next 2-3 years, driven by better asset quality, improvement in other income and operating leverage.
Thank you, Sengupta sir, and welcome again, everyone, to the earnings call. As of March 2025, gross advances stood at INR1.37 lakh crores, reflecting a growth of 10% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter. The secured book grew by 32% year-on-year and now represents 50.5% of the total advances. The EEB portfolio saw a decline of 9% year-on-year, although there was a marginal increase of 1% quarter-on-quarter, reaching INR56,544 crores. This decline is primarily due to portfolio controls we implemented in response to the elevated risk in the microfinance industry. On the other hand, growth in the non-EEB book, which now represents 59% of our total advances, was strong at 29% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter.
Specifically, retail assets grew by 98% year-on-year, wholesale banking assets saw an increase of 35% year-on-year, and housing loans grew by 18% year-on-year, excluding IBPC. From a business mix perspective, EEB group lending represents 26% of the advances, SBAL at 15%, wholesale banking 27%, housing 24%, and retail loans have reached to 8%, respectively. Share of advances from the East and Northeast regions have decreased by 14% from 53% in FY '22 to 39% in FY '25. Our top 5 states, West Bengal, Maharashtra, Bihar, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh now contribute 59% of our total gross advances versus 60% a year back, especially West Bengal remains the largest contributor at 23%.
As of March 31, 2025, total deposits stood at INR1.51 lakh crores compared to INR1.35 lakh crores in the previous year, reflecting a healthy growth of 12%. Our total retail deposits, which include CASA and retail term deposits, grew by 11% year-on-year. Within this, retail term deposits showed a robust growth of 30% year-on-year. Retail deposits, CASA plus retail TD to total deposit ratio was around 69%. Our reliance on bulk deposits remained lower with the share of bulk deposits to total deposits marginally reduced quarter-on-quarter at 31%. CASA deposits stood at INR47,437 crores, reflecting a 5% year-on-year decline, but an increase of 6% quarter-on-quarter. From a geographical perspective, our top 5 states, West Bengal, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha and National Capital Territory of Delhi now account for around 65% of the total deposits. West Bengal continues to be the largest contributor, representing 40% of total deposits. On collections and asset quality. The bank's overall collection efficiency, excluding NPA, in Q4FY25 improved slightly to 97.9% compared to 97.7% in Q3FY25. For the EEB book, collection efficiency, excluding NPAs in March, improved to 98.2%, up from 97.5% in December 2024. On asset quality, the gross slippages rose to INR1,748 crores versus INR1,621 crores in Q3, with the primary contributor being the EEB segment. Slippages in the EEB book increased to INR1,349 crores, up from INR1,196 crores in Q3 FY '25. The bank undertook write-offs amounting to INR1,136 crores during the quarter. The gross NPA and the net NPA ratios remained stable on a sequential basis at 4.7% and 1.3%, respectively.
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