Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q1 FY27
BOSCHLTD Bosch Limited · Capital goods Q1 FY27 · concall
Pattern: parent sourcing concentration decadal

FY27 opens with RBIC consolidation into the fold, CAFE3/CV-ADAS replacing hydrogen as the regulatory catalyst, and a structurally-reset aftermarket delivering its highest June sales.

4 deflections · 6 weak · 11 clean pushback across 10 of 21 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 10 of 21

Pramod Amthe · InCred Capitalweak

The sourcing from parent continues to go up - now almost 53% of the purchased goods basket, a decadal high, while local subsidiary proportion has come down. Is this directionally going to come down or does new technology demand this proportion remain high?

There's been a certain surge in volumes, which have also led to this effect. But all I can state is that our localization plans are well on track and consistently increasing localization content. And we will continue to go in this path and continue to increase our localization content. So as you go by in the coming quarters, we will continue to share our localization updates. And this is on a very good path as far as I can see.

Mukul Yudhveer Singh · Autocar Professionaldeflection

A lot of OEMs increasingly want to own software and electronics architecture themselves. Do you see a risk of losing some of the value Bosch traditionally captured as a Tier 1? Or do you actually see Bosch's content per vehicle only increasing from here?

Yes. I mean today, it's an earnings call. I would be happy to engage with you on this kind of a conversation separately. The quick answer to this is, no, we don't see this as a negative phenomenon at all. We are happy to engage with OEMs on different models, and we already do.

Ronak Mehta · Unknowndeflection

On upcoming regulations specifically CAFE 3 norms from next year, what is the content opportunity for Bosch, any color on segment-wise content opportunity?

We can share that separately. I don't have the exact number right now, and I don't want to speculate on a value. So I can -- we can share that.

Unknown · Unknownweak

What are the sale numbers for FY26 for Bosch Chassis? And can you provide breakup by 2-wheeler, 4-wheeler, CV, tractors, export, aftermarket?

Yes. So the consolidation of Chassis Systems is underway right now. The sale was completed in July. And starting next -- this quarter onwards, we will be able to produce all the numbers. We will share more details in the upcoming quarter's conference call. I would also like to state that we are planning an investor meet at Chassis Systems location, Chakan, Pune in November. And we will send out invites and please feel free to come over, and we can share a lot more information, including a site visit and a plant visit when you're there.

Unknown · Unknowndeflection

What is our business share which is fuel agnostic right now at a consolidated level?

So offhand, I won't be able to give you a good number because this cuts across different domains. But this is something we can work towards and we can share more data to you independently.

Niril · Unknownweak

As the base effect comes into the picture after the GST, how do you see the CV and PV cycle? Will their demand sustain or do you see significant decline or subdued growth?

Yes. I mean this is sort of a crystal ball question. The first 2 quarters after the GST, everybody expected the demand to sort of normalize after the GST effect, but it's not happened that way. There has been sustained growth. And I think the -- maybe in 1 or 2 more quarters, the GST-related things may normalize, but the demand and the consumption-led growth is continuing quite sustainably. And we hope this momentum will also be added by the lower GST rates, which we already have.

Anand Chandrasekar · Informistweak

How much of your revenue growth is currently coming from underlying volume growth versus content per vehicle and product mix?

Just hold on. So I would say we have outperformed the volume growth in the market by a few percentage points.

Anand Chandrasekar · Informistweak

How quickly do you expect EVs to become a meaningful part of your mobility business?

EVs are already part of our mobility business, maybe not showing up in terms of turnover. But in terms of technology, in terms of product and in terms of what we plan to do, we also -- as you are aware, we announced a joint venture with TACO, where we will produce e-axles moving forward. So EVs are certainly an integral part of our overall mobility offering. And in terms of revenue addition, we will get back to you as the quarters go by.

Vedant · Unknowndeflection

Can you disclose any sort of order wins in these JVs as of now?

Okay. So yes, I mean, at this point of time, I would not like to disclose, but we got into the JV only after we have a healthy order book from our side and from the TACO side. So we are doing quite good there. On the TSF joint venture for air systems, we are now starting to talk to customers starting September in the auto show -- IAA auto show. And from then on, we should start to discuss real business. So give us a quarter, and then we will update you more on the order book and further details.

Vedant · Unknownweak

What is the overall commodity outlook going forward?

Commodity outlook, okay. Yes, we've seen pretty strong increase over the last several quarters, which has sort of leveled off a little bit at this point of time. A lot of it, again, is dependent on global conditions, geopolitics, supply chain issues, logistics issues. So it's a pretty volatile environment at this point of time. We have some impact. We have contained some impact. And at this point of time, it looks a little stable. But I wouldn't want to give you any guidance on how this is going because it's so dynamic and externally oriented.

Other Q&A (11)
Pramod Amthe · InCred Capital

The aftermarket segment seems to have come back into a high single-digit growth after languishing in low single-digit. How sustainable is this momentum and what have you done differently?

Yes. Thank you, Pramod. Yes, I mean we've had some low growth period last year with our mobility aftermarket. And we've recognized that and made quite some corrections in our strategy and our approach to market. So specifically to address your question, the independent aftermarket business did very, very robust growth. A lot of contribution from lubricants, batteries, spark plugs, braking systems and rotating machines. We've also sort of continued our expansion of the workshop program, which we are expanding at a very, very rapid pace now. We've also introduced quite some new product launches, Tulix, the LED lights. Then for the heavy commercial vehicle, HCV batteries, we've brought in new products like the PC clutch and suspension systems. So overall, the aftermarket portfolio is much, much stronger now. And our approach to market, which is even more significant, has started to produce results. So we believe that this is a sustainable path over the coming period. So we should see sustained growth going forward.

Pramod Amthe · InCred Capital

Compared to post-COVID EBITDA margin range of 12%, 13%, last 2 quarters you have delivered 14% margin. How sticky are these margins? Are there any one-offs and how confident are you in maintaining these margins going forward?

Yes, I'll give you my perspective and maybe Tillmann can add on this. So I think we have done quite a few things over the last several years, maybe at least 2 years or so, consistently, which has led to a sustained improvement in our margins. The first thing is continuous improvement in our operational excellence. So that has led to a sustained change. We've had continued increase in our localization content. So that's contributed quite a bit. The volume growth has been favourable, which is also a very good one. We've had improvements in productivity overall that has been also a major contributor. And the product mix has also been quite favourable going forward. So that's also a good addition to our margin base. So overall, I would say we are on an upward trend, and we would say that we will sustain this.

Mukul Yudhveer Singh · Autocar Professional

Five years from today, in terms of incremental revenue, would Bosch want to have increased share from technologies connected with the engine or not? Would you also be working to make ICE engines cleaner and better for the future from a revenue standpoint?

Okay, Mukul, I think the answer is pretty straightforward for us. We are a technology company, and we will support and continue to support whatever technology that the market demands. So you listed a few, SDVs, electrification, CNG, there are plenty others, ADAS and everything else. Every one of this is in our portfolio, and we continue to offer that to our OEMs. That said, there is also a momentum which will carry the combustion technologies forward and including maybe some alternate fuels. This progression will continue in the next many years to come. So this is something that's not stopping. We see this, including volume growth in combustion technologies continuing to happen. There is possibly also upgraded legislation in combustion technologies as we move forward, and we are certainly leading that way and we will continue to support. So overall, as a technology company for us, these are all base technologies, which we support based on whatever the OEMs demand or whatever the registration demands or market demands.

Ronak Mehta · Unknown

On the Power Solutions business, was there any content increase or new program execution that drove this outperformance? And how sustainable is this?

Okay. So in the Power Solutions business, we've sort of outperformed the growth across all our segments, right from passenger cars to off-highway and tractors. We've -- I think it's -- the effect is largely volume effect and maybe also some new introductions that we did over the last 2 quarters, which have helped us. I think what we look forward to moving forward are the upcoming legislations on CAFE Phase 3, which will come up in April, which should be an even better boost. We also have the CV ADAS coming up in October of next year. So a lot of preparation going on towards that. That's another area where we look forward to sustaining this already good growth path. So overall, I think Power Solutions is on a very, very good path.

Ronak Mehta · Unknown

You indicated that you started supplying to premium 2-wheeler platforms starting this quarter. Does that mean you have gained market share or is it more to do with content mix?

We've gained market share, yes. There are some new products introduced to new OEMs. So we've gained market share.

Annamalai Jayaraj · 360 ONE Capital Market

This time the employee cost even in absolute year-on-year terms has no big change. Are there any one-offs in the employee expenses? And on other expenses, any one-offs?

No. To answer that, no, there are no one-offs. No, we don't have any one-offs.

Unknown · Unknown

On the Bosch Chassis acquisition - is there any goodwill or amortization expense? And the Bosch Chassis will be operated as a separate subsidiary, so how are the synergies on cost and revenue going to play out?

No, there is nothing on goodwill or amortization. The Chassis Systems business, which we've acquired was a Bosch sister company. And in terms of synergy effects, we see very minimal improvements in costs and synergy effects. There will be some small improvements, but I don't see that as a big benefit. It's a great portfolio addition for Bosch Limited that we add sort of a powertrain agnostic product line, which comes into Bosch Limited. And that's the bigger focus, and there is -- the company operates with a very good performance characteristics right now, very good projects acquired for the next several years. So it's a very profitable, good growth, good market share company, and that should help Bosch Limited significantly moving forward. Already starting next quarter, we will publish consolidated results, and you will start to see the impact of this.

Anand Chandrasekar · Informist

Do you expect the current product mix to remain favorable through FY27? Or could margins normalize as the year progresses?

No, I think it is quite favorable through the year.

Vedant · Unknown

On both JVs, one with Wheel and Brakes India and the second with TACO, where are we in terms of overall regulatory approvals and when will revenue start flowing in?

Thank you for the question. The JVs are in the process of getting set up. The JV with -- or both JVs are in the final stages of merger controls, which are ongoing. We need -- both, for example, the Bosch Group and the Tata Group are operational worldwide, and we need merger control clearances from many places. So there is some of these admin or procedural work that's ongoing. The JV with TACO will be set up at Nashik or will be operational out of Nashik. The JV with TSF Group will be operational out of Chennai. And the e-axles JV, revenue should be coming out of the JV by late next year.

Annamalai Jayaraj · 360 ONE Capital Market

What would be our growth drivers for the next 3 to 5 years?

Okay. So the first growth driver, as always, is volume, and we see significantly increasing volume growth in all our mobility portfolio over the next 3 to 5 years. So there, we see quite a lot of new things. In every one of our product areas, power solutions, 2-wheelers, and of course, also on mobility aftermarket, power tools and now the complete chassis systems area. We have quite a lot of new product introductions coming up, which will see offtake in the market over the years. So our new products -- product mix changes will see significant -- will give us significant support on volume growth -- I mean our revenue growth. We also see new technology introductions, which will happen in the coming years. And for example, commercial vehicle ADAS is a whole new technology, a regulated market where we will see quite some action happening starting next year. And that should also be a good growth driver. So overall, the premiumization of vehicles, the volume increase in vehicles, new technology in vehicles, all of which are growth drivers for us.

Prepared remarks (4 blocks)
Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our Q1 FY27 earnings conference call. We'll begin with an overview of the current macroeconomic landscape and our outlook. The domestic economy remained resilient in the first quarter of fiscal 2027. This stability was driven by robust private consumption and stable monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of India, which held the benchmark policy repo rate steady at <strong>5.25%</strong> under a neutral stance at its August 2026 meeting. While food and energy volatility pushed June headline retail inflation to 4.38%, reaching the RBI's 4% medium-term target for the first time in 17 months. It remains comfortably within the Central Bank's 2% to 6% flexible inflation targeting framework. This policy flexibility is critical for India's macro stability in FY27, allowing the RBI to manage price stability amidst external volatility while prioritizing steady economic growth to avoid policy-induced slowdowns. Given this context, our outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2027 is anchored in strategic resilience. We are highly encouraged by RBI's decision to raise its real GDP growth forecast for FY26-'27 to 6.7%, up from its previous estimate of 6.6%, backed by strong capital expenditure momentum outlined in the budget, keeping India positioned as the fastest-growing major economy. Our strategy is built to thrive amidst external market dynamics. Our key priorities will remain focused on strengthening our operational resilience in the face of ongoing external uncertainties, enhancing supply chain agility through diversified sourcing and managing commodity and currency risk proactively. The Indian automotive industry concluded Q1 FY27 on a resilient note, despite the geopolitical disruptions in West Asia, supported by strong domestic demand, lower GST rates and a favourable base effect compared to Q1 FY26. The passenger vehicle demand remained strong during quarter under review despite geopolitical tensions in West Asia, elevated inflation within the RBI's target band, and heat waves across select regions. Demand was supported by sustained preference for SUVs and healthy consumer sentiment. The HCV segment maintained the healthy demand despite the INR7.5 per liter increase in diesel price. The HCV segment maintained its momentum supported by a combination of stable freight activity, steady replacement demand and sustained spending in construction and infrastructure. Continued momentum in key sectors, specifically steel and cement provided a strong foundation for further growth. LCV demand remained robust, driven by healthy last mile logistics, sustained e-commerce and FMCG demand and a low base effect that supported growth momentum. The 3-wheeler sales maintained strong growth momentum, supported by steady passenger mobility demand and increasing last-mile connectivity. The EV segment continued to expand its market share, driven by attractive operating economics and lower running costs. The tractor demand remained resilient despite concerns over an uneven monsoon across parts of the country, supported by healthy farm cash flows from a strong Rabi harvest and pre-Kharif farm activities. The 2-wheeler market recorded robust growth supported by low base effect and resilient rural demand. Next quarter, we expect a resilient 8% growth driven by festive demand, stronger rural cash flows and ongoing infrastructure activity.
However, monsoon variability, potential El Nino effect and geopolitical tensions remain key downside risks. Quarter-on-quarter, the mobility business has grown <strong>25.7%</strong> in April-June '26 as compared to April-June '25, driven mainly from the Power Solutions business, which grew by 29%, mainly on account of growth in passenger cars and off-highway segments. The mobility aftermarket recorded a growth of 9.6%, driven by strategic price positioning and rollout of new schemes for key product categories, including lubricants and spark plugs. The 2-wheeler business grew by 41.4%, mainly on account of growth in value-added EMS products, increased sales to premium motorcycle platforms and steady demand from major domestic OEMs. The consumer goods business grew by 20.9%, driven by strong demand for tools supported by marketing campaigns. Sequentially, the mobility business has grown 7.5% in April-June '26 as compared to Jan-March '26, driven mainly from the Power Solutions business, which grew by 5.8%, mainly on account of growth in passenger cars and off-highway segments. The mobility aftermarket business, which grew by 8.7%, mainly on account of strong growth in lubricants, wiper systems and spark plugs. The 2-wheeler business has grown significantly by 20.5%, mainly on account of higher production volumes from 2-wheeler OEMs supported by channel inventory replenishments. The consumer goods business declined by 15.7% due to seasonal factors. From our Power Solutions division, it achieved strong growth, significantly outperforming the broader automotive market. This performance was driven by robust demand across all our key segments, including passenger cars, commercial vehicles and tractors. Our focus continues on navigating the evolving regulatory landscape. We are actively engaged with our partners to address upcoming regulations like CAFE Phase 3 and the implementation of ADAS in commercial vehicles. Moving to our 2-wheeler and Powersports division. The business successfully met a surge in market demand, ensuring 0 production disruptions for our customers despite ongoing geopolitical and supply chain complexities. Bosch's advanced safety systems were recently introduced, integrated into the first electric motorcycle from a leading 2-wheeler manufacturer for its commercial launch. In our mobility aftermarket division, the independent aftermarket business was a standout performer, achieving its highest ever monthly sales in June. The original equipment segment also delivered robust growth. This performance was driven by strong contributions from our core product categories, including lubricants, batteries, spark plugs and braking systems. Strategically, we are accelerating our workshop programs and expanding our portfolio with new product launches such as Tulix LED Range of advanced lighting solutions, Prithvi, a heavy-duty commercial vehicle battery, PC clutches and suspension, which will further strengthen our market position. In our power tools division, we saw strong sequential growth and accelerated demand in the construction and automotive sectors with our online sales channels continuing to expand its share of total sales.
Quarter-on-quarter, revenue from operations in April-June '26 stood at INR<strong>58,419 million</strong>, which grew by 22% over April-June '25. The growth was driven mainly by higher sales in Power Solutions and 2-wheeler Powersports segments. Likewise, the revenue for the period April-June '26 grew by 5% over Jan-March '26 from INR55,657 million to INR58,419 million. This growth was driven by strong performance in Power Solutions and mobility aftermarket segments. The EBITDA for April-June '26 was INR8,180 million, which grew by 28% over the same quarter of previous year. The improvement in EBITDA margin was primarily driven on account of growth in revenue and optimization of expenses. EBITDA for period April-June '26 was INR8,180 million as compared to INR7,816 million in Jan-March '26, which grew by 4.7%. The increase in EBITDA was due to revenue growth.
The profit after tax for April-June '26 declined by <strong>37.1%</strong> over the same quarter of previous year. April-June '25 had an exceptional item of profit on sale of video solutions, access and intrusion and communication systems under the Building Technologies segment. The profit after tax without this exceptional item in April-June '25 quarter has grown by 9.9%. The profit after tax for 3 months ending June '26 stood at INR7,018 million, which is a growth of 23.4% over sequential quarter. The growth impact is mainly due to revenue growth and higher mutual fund gains, which are taxed at a lesser rate.
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