Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q4 FY25
DIVISLAB Divi's Laboratories · Pharma Q4 FY25 · concall
Pattern: generic business growth driver

Q4 Red Sea + Biosecure tailwinds vanished.

6 deflections · 13 weak · 14 clean pushback across 19 of 33 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 19 of 33

Surya N Patra · Phillip Capital (India) Private Limitedweak

How should we see the strong sequential and YoY growth in the generic business after a two-year period - whether it is driven by price rise and whether that has contributed to the overall margin scenario?

The generic performance itself is at a high competition level whereby we have continuous pricing pressure on the generic side. As market share continues, we are still a dominant player in the market. In terms of new molecules coming off-patent, as and when they come off-patent, we will start producing them and slowly start building our shares.

Surya N Patra · Phillip Capital (India) Private Limitedweak

Regarding the margin scenario, the exit rate for the quarter in terms of gross margin or EBITDA margin is one of the strongest over the last two-year period - how should one think going ahead, or is it just a quarter-specific product mix driving this?

This is mainly to do with the product mix that we have and it would keep changing quarter-on-quarter. So I would recommend looking at it on a yearly basis rather than just focusing on one quarter.

Surya N Patra · Phillip Capital (India) Private Limitedweak

With the Biosecure Act and China Plus One now in the back stage, any practical change in RFQs or customer engagement, and any commentary on next year's outlook or guidance?

We have always been in the CS business right from inception - it's not something we started after China Plus One or Biosecure Act. With the Biosecure Act or China Plus One, we are seeing a little more than what we have seen before. We have several products in the pipeline, some going through R&D phases, some in pilot scales right now, but it's hard to put a finger on it because of confidentiality. Divi's is very strong in custom synthesis as well as the generic side of the business.

Neha Manpuria · Bank of Americaweak

Would it be fair to assume Kakinada will take a couple of quarters to become EBITDA-neutral from a cost versus benefit perspective?

Instead of looking at Kakinada as a single unit, the raw material or starting material it produces goes straight into one of the units where GMP material is being produced. So we have to look at the molecule as a whole. We cannot look at the molecule into separate units and break it up. As a whole, yes, there will be a benefit. I would look at it more as a company and look at the molecule being manufactured in different areas.

Shyam Srinivasan · Goldman Sachsweak

On the April announcement of around Rs.700-crores long-term supply agreement (similar to last April), can you compare and contrast - this year was advanced intermediates, why not API in this one?

That's quite a difficult question because I am bound by confidentiality. Both are related to CS projects. Yes, the recent one is an advanced intermediate; the one before, all I can say is it is an active API.

Shyam Srinivasan · Goldman Sachsdeflection

On full year FY25 vs FY24, EBITDA margins moved from 29% to 32%, gross margins were flat, but the biggest delta came from other expenses (excluding wages) which came down by 250-300 bps. Other expenses as % of sales last year was 17% and this year 14% despite 18% constant currency growth. What is driving this operating leverage?

The major driver behind it could be quite a few things, it's not just one thing. We did have higher repairs on older plant and machinery considering some units are about three decades old. Besides that, there has been an increase in freight and travel expenditures and environment management expenses. These are the ones that have made all the changes.

Shyam Srinivasan · Goldman Sachsweak

Any guidance for revenue and EBITDA for Fiscal '26?

The revenue guidance, like I have said earlier, we would always look at double-digit growth. Our work would always be towards making sure the organization grows at a consistent pace of double-digit growth.

Amay · JM Financialsdeflection

Any rationale behind not participating - is it because we are bound by contract with the innovator or not lucrative enough to enter?

As of now, I am bound by confidentiality. Whether I am producing for innovator, based on our knowledge, knowhow and everything, we believe we are best suited now to work on innovative molecules in the GLP space.

Amay · JM Financialsweak

For the innovator space, since products have been there for a while, is there any wallet share being committed by customers, or how are we thinking about that?

We have long-term supply agreements with several customers. Apart from molecules in the market, there are several molecules in the pipeline at various phases - GLP-1s, GIPs, GLP-2s in various stages of development where we are active. We have long-term contracts in place and we will see how it forms out.

Amay · JM Financialsdeflection

Within segments, do you expect API/generic also to grow in double-digit next year?

I cannot comment on that. I would say the overall revenue of the organization would be approximately double-digit growth.

Abdulkader Puranwala · ICICI Securitiesweak

On investments in the new project (GLP-1, GIPs, GLP-2) - any color on what is the investment done into this space so far in terms of capacity addition?

We haven't classified it as a particular investment towards GLP-1s because several of the equipments could be used both for the API or other custom products or GLP-1s. So we haven't classified it in particular saying that this is only a GLP-1 based situation.

Lakshmi Narayan · Tunga Investmentsweak

How do you think the next three years is going to be far better than past few years, and what gives you confidence?

We have always been a conservative organization. We have not been extremely competitive or extremely proactive in sharing numbers or revenues or growth because we believe in being conservative in projection and want to deliver what we promised. We would be thinking about having a double-digit growth for the next few years.

Lakshmi Narayan · Tunga Investmentsdeflection

How have you increased your sales force or client development activities qualitatively in the last two-three years?

Divi's has been in custom synthesis from the inception - it's not something new we started today where I have to develop my BD and give them incentives. Our reputation is where we have been given opportunities with several existing and new customers. We have already been working with several multinationals - if you go back even 10 or 15 years our CS business was worth 50% of our total revenue. Our teams are already in place, there's nothing new about it.

Gaurav T · Antique Stockbrokingdeflection

Any insight in terms of the quantum of total order book contracted yet to be executed?

I am sorry we cannot comment much about that particular kind of numbers.

Gaurav T · Antique Stockbrokingweak

Any insight on how that contracted backlog has been growing over the last two-three years - any growth trends historically?

Historically and as well as in the future, what we've seen so far has been a double-digit growth year-on-year, be it generics or our revenue as a whole or custom synthesis. So that's something that we also expect to see in the future, the double-digit growth.

Nikhil · SIMPLweak

Inventory has been around Rs.2,800-3,000 crores for last four years since Molnupiravir despite hitting highest sales this year - is the RM environment easing on pricing and availability side, which is why you are not building larger inventory?

Sales are going up but our portfolio is also increasing over a span of many products, and we maintain raw materials based on the entire product portfolio. From the time of Molnupiravir there has been some or other crisis with respect to COVID, China or logistics - constantly facing pressure. Based on product mix, the kind of raw material that requires attention, we've been stocking those kind of raw materials.

Nikhil · SIMPLweak

Going forward as we clock double-digit revenue growth, would inventory level as percentage of sales (around 30% now vs 40-45% in '23-24) be the kind of normalization on working capital side?

It's difficult to comment - I wouldn't normalize it. It depends on products being manufactured, whether large or small molecule, which unit, material availability domestically or internationally. My wishful thinking would be to maintain a lean inventory and implement more just-in-time, sourcing what I am manufacturing at that point in time.

Nikhil · SIMPLweak

Prior to COVID we never had dedicated blocks but since Molnupiravir we have dedicated blocks. What are the underlying guardrails on which we decide whether to go for a dedicated block or not?

We did have dedicated blocks way back if it is a product of large volume manufactured throughout the year, and multi-purpose blocks for smaller volume products with campaign-based production. However, I don't think we ever mentioned that we are setting up dedicated blocks for the expansion plan. We said we are going to invest a certain CAPEX of certain value but we have never mentioned that it's a dedicated block.

Nikhil · SIMPLdeflection

Even for the two new molecules, the Rs.700-800 crores CAPEX announced, these would all be multi-purpose plants - this is not dedicated for any customer?

Since these products are mainly custom synthesis projects, I am not at liberty to divulge information, I would refrain from answering that question.

Other Q&A (14)
Neha Manpuria · Bank of America

On gross margin expansion - has backward integration from Kakinada (which just commissioned) started helping gross margins or would that take time to reflect, and is that something we should build in going forward?

Kakinada we started in January; production and the backward integrated material has slowly come into the product. We will see the benefits going in the future as Phase-I and slowly we will start constructing Phase-II where we will add additional blocks. More than creating space or controlling our price, the main reason for Kakinada is for having continuous supply of our own raw materials and critical starting materials, to avoid disruption in supply, apart from controlling impurity profiles and several other factors.

Neha Manpuria · Bank of America

On peptide capabilities - have we expanded these to non-GLP-1 areas? And on other modalities, are we targeting ADCs or nucleotides, any updates on capabilities being developed based on client RFPs?

On peptides, we are right now looking at peptides only for manufacturing for the innovators. Divi's is very strong in manufacturing individual peptides and protected amino acids - that's how we entered about 18-years ago and now we are entering into manufacturing fragments either by solid-phase or by liquid-phase. Divi's has actively invested in both solid-phase and liquid-phase to support customer requirements. Coming to ADCs and nucleotides, it's still in the preliminary phases right now. I cannot comment too much on those molecules.

Dr. Kunal Dhamesha · Macquarie

Several large pharma companies in the US have announced large capex to reshore manufacturing. How are you viewing this in context of overall industry growth rate and the read across for Divi's, and have you seen any change in conversations?

Any business related to custom synthesis is based on a long-term contract. We have long-term multi-year contracts with structures in place, and we are seeing new opportunities in the pipeline. We do not see any issues at this point. But if something arises, of course, we will definitely know. As of now we don't see anything.

Dr. Kunal Dhamesha · Macquarie

On the GLP-1 portfolio with multiple innovators - would your portfolio extend beyond peptide GLP-1s, including non-peptide or small molecule GLP-1s also?

Like I told in my presentation, Divi's is working on GLP-1s, GIPs, GLP-2 analogs and on small molecules. We are very active with different customers at different phases - they are at different phases in our development or in our advancement.

Dr. Kunal Dhamesha · Macquarie

On the Kakinada plant - one part is how much we can scale here, how many phases we should expect (3-phase or five phase journey)? And in terms of phase-1 commercialized, what proportion is that of total phase-1 capacity?

Kakinada is a total of 500 acres. In Phase-I we have used 200 acres and built about seven production blocks for backward integration. We still have 300 acres. Based on market requirement and opportunities we will expand - it can be either in two phases (Phase-II and III) or one phase using the remaining 300 acres. Everything is based on opportunities and when a CS molecule comes to life and we need space immediately.

Shyam Srinivasan · Goldman Sachs

In your opening remarks on the second announcement, you said it has opened more avenues of growth on the innovation side - what do you mean?

Within the peptide division and in our new chemistry development like continuous flow chemistry, this is a new thing that several customers are looking at, and also on biocatalysis where we have been investing heavily. This is where most of the innovation and new molecules are coming from - that's what I meant by new opportunities.

Amay · JM Financials

On GLP-1 - we said we are only working with innovators. Next year, with the generic opportunity in Semaglutide opening up, are we not going to participate in that opportunity?

Like I said, we are working with innovators on several phases. As of now, we are not looking at working with GLP-1s in the generic space.

Abdulkader Puranwala · ICICI Securities

On the two new projects announced on the CS side - any color on when revenue generation would start? And could the quantum of investment be in line with the COVID-time opportunity?

Firstly, this is a long-term opportunity which are quite promising molecules. We completely depend on regulatory approvals of our customers, once we produce our commercial batches. So maybe by 2026 end, or 2027 is when we hope to see commercialization of these projects.

Bino Pathiparampil · Elara Capital

What would be the CAPEX for the coming financial year?

It would be mainly the projects that have been announced this particular financial year - that would be the additional CAPEX we are expecting. Around Rs.1,400 crores plus some maintenance CAPEX is what we would be looking forward to.

Nitin Agarwal · DAM Capital

On the two long-term contracts, by when would commercial impact be visible?

I think there would be around late 2026, early 2027 we would be seeing the impact of those, but this is also subject to when the regulatory approvals would take place. It's not just the CAPEX but also when we start manufacturing, we need to also get regulatory approvals, so that would take time as well.

Nitin Agarwal · DAM Capital

Just to clarify, this calendar year '26 end you are talking about, right?

Yes, we are talking about sometime in 3rd Quarter end of 2026 or 4th Quarter or January of 2027 around that time hopefully if all regulatory approvals come in place.

Nitin Agarwal · DAM Capital

On Kakinada, how much incremental CAPEX have we planned for the first phase?

Currently Phase-II we haven't planned anything, we are still in Phase-I and working on it based on newer opportunities. We haven't started anything in Phase-II. In Phase-I we've spent almost Rs.1,497 crores so far, and about Rs.200 crores more is what we are looking at for Phase-I.

Lakshmi Narayan · Tunga Investments

How have you enriched research capabilities and front-end client mining capabilities in the last two-three years?

On research and development, we have been very active in peptide chemistry, fragments, solid-phase peptide synthesis, liquid-phase peptide synthesis, flow chemistry, biocatalysis. We constantly look at opportunities and discoveries across the world to increase yields, going towards green chemistry, atom-to-atom efficiency. On customer base, our reputation as a top CDMO with on-time delivery, zero recalls and maintaining commitment gives us credibility - several customers approach us and we have continuous business and continued molecules.

Gaurav T · Antique Stockbroking

Sales cycle from RFP to contracting in the custom synthesis business, how long can that take from contracting to revenue accretion start?

Once you get an RFP, the time cycle depends on customer expectations, his regulatory approvals and ours, and lifecycle of the molecule. We have seen RFPs commercialized within one and a half to two years as aggressive RFP, all the way to RFPs that took six or seven years. It's hard to comment because there's no fixed timeline - it depends on nature of molecules, regulatory approvals and how interested agencies are in getting the product to market.

Prepared remarks (4 blocks)
Dr. Kiran S. Divi opened by reflecting on FY2025 broader operational progress and strategic initiatives. The year was marked by significant external volatility, geopolitical uncertainties, persistent global supply chain constraints and continued pricing pressures, particularly in the generic segment due to heightened competition. Teams across the globe rose to the occasion by implementing targeted pricing strategies, process optimization measures and enhancing responsiveness to market dynamics, ensuring seamless and timely delivery without compromising on quality. Operational discipline enabled the company to complete FY25 stronger, more agile and better prepared for the future. On the Generic Business: while pricing headwinds remain a persistent challenge, the company successfully maintained stable volumes in core products. Competitive intensity continues to be high, but Divi's sustained leadership through investing in process innovation, operational efficiency and long-term capability and capacity building. On the Custom Synthesis Segment: strong and sustained momentum, healthy uptick in RFPs and regular site visits, reinforcing stature as a Partner of Choice in the CDMO space.
A significant recent highlight was the signing of a long-term manufacturing and supply agreement for an advanced intermediate with a leading global pharmaceutical company. On the Peptide Business: gaining significant traction as global demand for novel peptide-based therapies including GLP-1's, GIPs and GLP-2 analogs continues to accelerate. Strategic investments have been made in both solid-phase and liquid-phase synthesis capabilities. On Contrast Media: progress remains steady and encouraging, with continued investment in expanding capacity and capabilities. On Manufacturing: construction and commissioning at the Unit-III facility near Kakinada are progressing as per schedule, phased production has commenced, supporting backward integration strategy. The company continues to invest in next-generation technologies such as Continuous Flow Chemistry and Biocatalysis. Beyond business and operational achievements, CSR initiatives this quarter focus on education, healthcare and rural empowerment, positively impacting over <strong>1.3 million</strong> lives this year alone.
- Consolidated total income for Q4 FY25: Rs. <strong>2,671 crore</strong>s vs Rs. 2,382 crores in corresponding quarter of previous year - Profit before tax for current quarter: Rs. 864 crores vs Rs. 713 crores in corresponding quarter of previous year - Profit after tax for the quarter: Rs. 662 crores vs Rs. 538 crores in corresponding quarter of previous year - Forex gain for current quarter: Rs. 10 crores vs Forex loss of Rs. 2 crores in corresponding quarter of previous year - Consolidated total income for FY 2024-25: Rs. 9,712 crores vs Rs. 8,184 crores for previous financial year - PBT for current financial year: Rs. 2,916 crores vs Rs. 2,163 crores for previous financial year - PAT for current financial year: Rs. 2,191 crores vs Rs. 1,600 crores for previous financial year - Forex gain for current financial year: Rs. 48 crores vs gain of Rs.
<strong>30 crore</strong>s for previous financial year - Material consumption: about 40% of sales revenue for current and previous financial years - Constant currency growth for current FY: 18% (vs negative 2% for previous FY) - Exports: about 88% of total sales revenue for current FY - Exports to Europe and US: 73% of total sales revenue for current FY (vs 70% for previous FY) - Product mix Generics:Custom Synthesis FY25: 46% / 54% - Product mix Generics:Custom Synthesis Q4 FY25: 49% / 51% - Nutraceutical business: Rs. 781 crores for FY and Rs. 205 crores for Q4 FY25 - Capitalized assets in Q4: Rs. 560 crores, of which Rs. 337 crores for Kakinada project - Capital work-in-progress as at 31st March 2025: Rs. 1,022 crores, of which Kakinada Rs. 562 crores - Total spent on Kakinada project (capitalized + advances) till 31st March 2025: Rs. 1,497 crores - Cash on books: Rs. 3,696 crores; Receivables: Rs. 2,855 crores; Inventory: Rs. 3,033 crores
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