Q4FY26 anchors PLI sunset reality + memory-driven flat FY27 mobile volumes.
- Realization industrial ems — answer hedged.
- Component pli margin capex — answer hedged.
Mobile realization improvement; Industrial EMS update
Saurabh: Mix change drives realization up - large US global brand higher realization, exports higher. Atul: 4G to 5G migration - higher unit value. Industrial EMS - first venture charging plant tied with startup at Tirupati.
Component PLI 150 bps margin expansion; CAPEX outlook
Saurabh: FY25 CAPEX INR 900 crores. Atul: FY26 INR 900-1,000 crores. Component business margin profile significantly higher. Backward integration + automation + operating leverage + ODM mix → margin expansion. ISM 2 awaiting rollout for display fab.
Mobile volume ramp; TV revenue decline
Atul Lall: Smartphone monthly order book Q1FY26 ~3.3-3.5 million per month. TV under pressure - structural issue, lost some market share, humbly accept. Working on IFPD, digital signage, educational TV, more backward integration, ODM migration, Amazon Fire TV/LG WebOS launches, looking at large strategic relationships.
Post-PLI competition; volume targets
Atul Lall: Total Android market 135-140M, outsourcing ~90M. Including Vivo tie-up targeting 60-65 million next year. Strategic relationships - Motorola anchor, Transsion JV, Vivo binding term sheet (large % must happen in JV). First mover advantage, scale, operating leverage, backward integration. Saurabh: FY25 smartphone 28.3M (+338%), TV 3M to 2.4M decline. FATL washing machines +81% to 2.9M. Telecom 3.5M to 7M. Refrigerators 8.6 lakhs (~8% Indian market, 40% outsourcing).
Minority interest INR 64 crores; component business economics
Saurabh: Minority interest from telephonic (wearables/hearables JV), telecom JV with Airtel (49%), Ismartu (49.9%). Atul: Component categories differ - display modules separate. Camera modules/enclosures/batteries premature to share numbers but blended margins should significantly improve.
Ismartu PAT delivery; FY26 mobile volumes
Atul: Ismartu delivered committed PAT FY25. FY27 targeting 60-65M smartphone capacity. Saurabh/Atul: FY26 smartphone volumes ~40-43 million. Ismartu payouts continue next 3 years based on PAT achievement.
Post-PLI margin pressure smartphone
Atul: PLI contribution to margin is 0.6%-0.7%. Operational efficiency, automation, scale, ECMS components - much more healthier post-PLI position. Saurabh: 0.6% is share of PLI income. Last year 4-5% incentive, balance passed to customers. Atul: Strategic relationships - Transsion JV, Vivo, Motorola at similar level.
Inventec JV ramp-up; display modules timing
Atul: Inventec 60:40, top 5 IT ODMs - HP, ASUS, server market. Operational Q4 current fiscal. Year 2 revenue ~INR 2,000 crores. Couple years - INR 4,000 crores both entities. Display modules factory ready Q3 current fiscal, trial Jan-March, revenue from FY27.
Laptop FY26 revenue; brand split; component PLI status
Atul: Laptops Q4 Chennai - 1200-1500 crores current fiscal. Saurabh: Won't share brand-wise but all 4 brands grow - Motorola big growth, Xiaomi, Longcheer, Transsion, large global US brand via Compal. Component PLI 90 days timeline.
Camera/display module phase 1 details
Atul: Phase 1 display module 2 million capacity for mobiles. Phase 2 doubled to 4 million. Display line for laptops parallel. Camera modules premature. 6-8 month design cycle for display approval. Targeting 24M captive in 2 million phase, 48M in 4 million phase.
Outsourcing market; export potential
Atul: 3 in-house brands - Samsung, Oppo, Vivo. Samsung not outsourcing opportunity (have 12M production but different relationship). Oppo and Vivo expanding. FY26 44M target with 10-12M exports (Motorola North America, Transsion Africa 80% share, 2M exports). FY28 trajectory has export upside.
Alcatel deal; CE/HA profitability sustainability
Atul: Alcatel new relationship - production starting current month, premature to share targets. Saurabh: Refrigerator 50% growth, 100% ODM, 9.5-10.5% margin sustainable. TV challenges remain. Home appliances - FATL 81% growth, expanding to front loaders, robotic vacuum cleaners.
Mobile yield; PLI status
Atul: In-process rejection 0.2-0.6% globally. Saurabh: At global level. Same machineries, throughput. Mobile PLI received till December 2024. Q1FY25 expected anytime. Filed for current fiscal. IT hardware just started CAPEX.
Vivo JV delay; output split; PLI 0.6% mitigation
Atul: Vivo binding term sheet signed, definitive agreement in works, PN3 waiver application 5-6 months. Vivo total output 28-30M, 67% in JV = 18-20M expected, full FY27. Confident PLI 0.6% mitigation through backward integration, efficiency, automation.