Pattern: industry hdfc amc growth
ESOP defensiveness and SIF urgency faded; Roshi Jain exit absorbed; BER framework, AI/Rajan Anandan tech committee and private-credit first-close with IFC emerged; equity yield reset to 56 bps incl.
- Industry hdfc amc growth — answer hedged.
- Pms aif segment economics — answer hedged.
- Pms yield breakdown — question deflected.
Kushagra Goel · CLSAweak
Got it, sir. Also, just one more question. In terms of your growth momentum, how do you see it going forward, if you could share some guidance or something on that front? That's all. Thank you. [Clarifies]: In general, for the industry and how do you see HDFC placed, if you could share...
So, you would have seen the latest number on the SIP where the industry crossed INR31,000 crores in the month of December, despite the fact that there has been quite a bit of volatility in the market and returns have been muted for last 15, 18 months. But I think the momentum in the SIP book has been continuing. Industry has been adding more number of investors, more number of folios month-after-month, quarter-after-quarter. We have been participating very well. There is a slide in our presentation on our new account addition, our new investor addition and you can clearly see that we've been participating very well across all channels, across all geographies, across all asset classes and products. And I feel very optimistic on the overall industry growth for next several years.
Mohit Mangal · Centrumweak
Congratulations on a strong set of numbers. My first question is on the PMS and AIF. So, I think you have put a separate slide on that. So, I've got two, three questions within that. So, first is basically just wanted to know what is the NDPMS and PMS fee, if you can just separate it. Second is that how big is this EPFO mandate? And thirdly, if you can tell me the growth overall in the PMS and AIF segment?
On the PMS side, we have two segments, discretionary and non-discretionary. We have been adding accounts and growing on both sides. We have focused on the both sides. On the EPFO and SPFO mandate, as you would appreciate, this segment operates with very, very tight economics. It's very competitive. But these mandates allow us to participate meaningfully in the ecosystem. We build execution capability. We enhance our platform and gives us an opportunity to offer that product to many other clients in the same segment and related segment. So, we see this as a strategic phase where capability building and scale take precedence over immediate margins from a quarter-to-quarter perspective. Secondly, I think Simal mentioned earlier that we have crossed the INR5,000 crore number in terms of AUM apart from these two mandates where I think we are in the process of signing and then executing the agreement, etcetera. So, they will get executed in some time. But we have -- on the team side, we have hired senior resources across investments and services that will help us build this business. So, PMS on the fixed income side, on equity side, both discretionary and non-discretionary, we would like to build that gradually. [On alternatives]: On the overall alternatives, so most of you are aware about the first VC/PE Fund of Fund. You might have seen the recent announcement. We announced the first close of our structured credit fund. And what humbles us is our partnership with IFC. We are very proud of our partnership with the IFC. They're coming as the anchor investors. The fund has declared its first close and has raised commitments of about INR1,290 crores. And another feature of that INR1,290 crores is that almost 70% has come in from investors who have contributed INR25 crores or more. So, underscoring strong participation from ultra-high net worth individuals and institutions in the fund. So, we've got institutions, family offices, ultra-high net worth individuals participating in that. And IFC as a partner and anchor investor will contribute up to INR220 crores to the fund. Our partnership with IFC is rooted in a shared vision of expanding access to financing for midsized corporates, midsized enterprises that drive manufacturing output, that drive employment, that drive regional development. And this is the first step in what we think will be a long and meaningful journey of working together in developing the private credit market on India. And overall, on the private market side, we have been engaging with a lot of other global institutions and domestic institutions. The team is working on creating a second fund on private equity and venture capital front. We did that first VC/PE Fund of Funds and a large part of that is already committed, and we would soon be coming with the second fund, and we'll be engaging with a few large global institutional clients for that as well.
Mohit Mangal · Centrumdeflection
Understood, sir. This is very helpful. Sir, just one follow-up, sir. In terms of yields, sir, how much are discretionary PMSs and while how much are non-discretionary PMSs. If you can just throw some light on that?
We have not given those yields out.
Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Capitalweak
Right. So, we see that overall, the yield number has been decently resilient over the last 6 quarters. I'm assuming if we remove the passive from the equity, the active would be closer to 58, something around that number. So, despite the growth in the AUM, we are seeing this resilience. So, is there anything to read into this?
You know us well. For us, scale, quality and profitability, all three are important. And we don't sacrifice profitability just for market share or for scale. For us, that's very critical. We've been able to maintain it very well and overall operating margins also, I think keeping a tight leash on the cost side, we have been able to maintain operating margins in a tight band despite, of course, the telescopic pricing has an impact, but we've been trying to keep a tight leash on cost. [Repeats clearly]: I'm saying, of course, there is an impact of telescopic pricing. As market goes up, there would be impact on the fund level or overall asset class level margins. But the overall operating margins, we've been able to maintain well with tight leash on cost.
Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Capitalweak
So that is exactly what I wanted to understand that the impact of telescopic pricing has not been visible. So, what is that you are doing to offset that impact? Or what is leading to that impact not being visible? And how do you see the trajectory going forward? Do you think these yields will remain steady at this level, or we are expecting that for a 10%, 12% growth in AUM, there will be some decline in the yield?
So, on the equity margins, I mentioned that some degree of compression is inevitable over time because you have a sliding scale structure of TER, so which naturally leads to lower expense ratio as the AUM scales. So, we're conscious of this dynamic and therefore, bake this reality into our pricing decision on the incremental and the new flows. So, they constantly keep getting adjusted on the new flows and now new flows are also becoming sizable. So, over a couple of years, they also make an impact. But as I mentioned earlier that despite the impact of telescopic pricing, we have managed to keep our margins in the 33 to 36 basis point range. That reflects like disciplined cost management as well as the operating leverage. And you asked like going forward, so we continue to work hard to maintain margins within this band. We recognize that this is easier said than done. But I've mentioned this earlier that margins are only one way of looking at the business. We keep a close watch on that, but the real focus has to be on growing absolute profits in a sustainable way. And as long as profits continue to compound, I mean, we are comfortable with how the business is evolving.
Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Capitalweak
Yes, absolutely, sir. And one final one, sir. What are the plans for the schemes that were managed by Roshi? I know currently, those have been allocated within the team. So that is how it's going to be or we are looking to hire? What exactly are the plans?
So, I mean, you've heard the change in the fund manager. And so, I mean, you would also know Amar Kalkundrikar who joined us a few months back. He was with us for over 15 years, left us for a few years and has come back as Senior Fund Manager. I think, he's managing almost like INR40,000 crores or so across a few funds. Maybe let me take this opportunity to talk about the overall investment team, Devesh, if you allow me. I'm sure many of you would agree because several of you also interact with all of my colleagues on the investment side that, we have one of the most experienced investment team in the industry. And not only experienced, but an enviable long-term track record across market cycles. All of them have seen multiple market cycles and have done well. So, on the equity side, we have Head of Equities and Senior Fund Managers who manage the diversified funds. Least experienced among these would be like 20, 21 years of industry experience. And over and above, we have a team of analysts. Several of them are designated Fund Managers for their respective sectoral and thematic funds. Clearly, like among the most experienced team in the industry, we take deep pride in them. Some of them have started managing more diversified mandates. You are aware like Anand Laddha, has been managing now our value fund. So, I think a firm that has been around for 25 years, we have seen transitions in the past, and our view is that we have handled the same extremely well. We continue to expand our team and remain like very confident.
Sucrit D. Patil · Eyesight Fintradeweak
Good evening to the team. I have two questions. My first question is to Mr. Munot. First of all, congratulations on the quarter. With HDFC AMC's strong brand and evolving investor presence, how do you see the next two, three years shaping up in terms of product innovation and investor engagement, especially as passive flow rises and digital platforms reshape the distribution, what should the stakeholders expect as the defining theme from your leadership in this space?
Sure. So, first question is on the overall product pipeline. So, if you look at our product portfolio, I think it's largely complete across the key categories, whether you look at active equity, fixed income, money markets, both on the active side, passive side, we are more or less complete. From time to time, we may look at select sectoral or thematic funds, but only where the investment team has strong conviction and sees a clear opportunity. And these launches are likely to be like few and far between. But otherwise, I think we have a best-in-class product portfolio with a long-term track record, and we continue to focus on like all of them. And if you're talking about the overall platform, then apart from the mutual fund, we continue to enhance our PMS, AIF, International, GIFT City offering because these platforms allow us to address a wider range of client requirements. So, I think overall approach is to deepen and strengthen what we already have and add selectively where it generally makes sense.
Dipanjan Ghosh · Citideflection
Good evening, everyone. So just a few questions. One, you kind of articulated on your investment management bandwidth. But let's say, since the time this news regarding Roshi exiting the company and some of the funds kind of being in a transitionary phase has been floating around. Let's say, over the last two, three months in terms of flows into these particular funds, if you can give some granular understanding of how the trajectory has been. And also, in terms of your communication to the distributor or interactions with the distributors, has there been any back and forth in terms of customer interactions or some negative sentiment floating around? My second question, you mentioned that on the MF circular, you will be kind of following a similar practice to that of 2019. And to the finest possibility, you will be trying to mitigate most of the impact. But internally, have you kind of deliberated what can be, let's say, the worst-case scenario despite all the mitigants and whether you're confident of, let's say, mitigating the entirety like you did in 2019? And the third and last question is on the alternates business. Obviously, you've launched a few funds over the last 2 or 3 quarters. If I were to take a more of a long-term view, let's say, over the next 3 to 5 years, what sort of AUM or revenue mix do you really aspire from this segment?
Sure. So first, on the one fund manager. Dipanjan, you will appreciate, I mean, we have been around for 25 years, and we have seen transitions in the past. And I think we have handled it extremely well. You would give us the credit, I mean, we had a legendary CIO, I always have been and will always remain in deep gratitude to him for what he has built and what he has done. But at the same time, the strategies that were managed by him, some of them are the ones which have seen the highest growth at our end in last couple of years. And the overall team's experience, the pedigree, the overall quality of our research, the quality of the risk management, governance, long-term orientation, fundamental research and all of that, I don't have to overemphasize on that. So, we do everything in our power to retain talent across the organization and not just in the investment team, but we have handled a few transitions here and there very well, and we remain very, very confident. I also mentioned about like -- I mean, one of the fund manager, who was with us for 15 years, left us and has come back. You will hear that the current analysts who are managing sector and thematic funds, increasingly managing diversified equity funds because they have handled size for a couple of years. And we continue to remain on the lookout for at any point in time, we see a differentiated skill set who fits in nicely within the culture that we have, within the team that we have and the setup we have. We would continue to build our investment team and we'll share more on this as we go ahead here. Your second question was on the TER, how do we optimize that. Yes. I mentioned earlier that, I mean 2019 is a classic example. You can go back and see the playbook, how we handled the same. We understand the sensitivity around it, and then we will optimize that in terms of impact on the margins. [Simal Kanuga adds]: Also, I think, Dipanjan, if you look at versus 2019, the magnitude this time is much smaller, right? That time, we had an impact of nearly 25-odd basis points. And what Navneet touched upon earlier, this time, there is a 5 basis. Some of the smaller schemes are seeing realignment of expenses and thereby the kind of reduction out there is virtually very, very small or in some cases, even 0. So, I think net-net, this time, in terms of prudently managing, we think we'll be able to handle it well. [Navneet on alternatives]: On your third part on the alternatives, etcetera, so it would be pertinent for me to state that the core business itself where we have done reasonably well over time, that continues to grow and we'll put in all the effort, time, money, everything for that to see continued growth across equity and debt, across active and passive. But beyond our mutual fund business, we do have our eyes well set on whether it's PMS, whether it's alternatives, whether it's international business. We have taken meaningful steps over the last couple of years to build these businesses. I mean, we're building the very, very solid foundation brick-by-brick. You would appreciate that we have grown our business with a sharp focus on quality, scale and profitability. So even beyond our mutual fund business, whatever we are doing, we intend to replicate this approach. So, in PMS alternative, international, build meaningful high-quality and profitable platform that strengthen the overall franchise over the long run.
Divij Punjabi · Banyan Tree Advisorsweak
Sure. And from a medium-term perspective, any insight on where we see this going? Like currently, it's around 10% of the AUM mix. From maybe 3 to 5-year perspective, like where do we see this going?
So, a couple of times, I don't know in this call or maybe in some other forums, I've given parallels between the asset management industry growth in US from '80s onwards and what we are seeing in India over the last couple of years. I think over the next several years, we are going to see significant growth in asset management. So, formalization of the economy, digitalization of the economy, financialization of savings, financialization of assets. All of these are like structural trends. And over a period of time, we'll see like newer asset classes emerging, people investing, one like mutual funds, which has been like time-tested, beautiful product with a track record. Some of the fund houses like ours have a track record going back 30 years. Some of the investors may like to participate through passive, within that, either the index fund or the ETFs. We are seeing some of the other asset classes, whether it's REITs, InvITs, private markets. I talked about our plans on the alternative side to participate in the private markets. Almost all the segments are likely to grow. And you can see from '80s onwards how several of these segments have grown in US. And maybe I think in terms of the size of the economy, size of the market, structure of the market, several of those were like very similar. And I think credit to our regulators who have been very pragmatic and have been deeply focused on investor education and investor protection. I think they continue to do a good job on that. There is significant growth potential on all segments. So, people ask me like active versus passive, how this will grow. And I say, I think I hope that in my lifetime, I don't have to answer that question. In my lifetime, it will remain active and passive rather than active versus passive.
Madhukar Ladha · JP Morganweak
Hi. Good evening. Congratulations on a good set of numbers. And most of my questions have been answered. Just wanted to understand, did you disclose the asset class-wise yield this time around. As a data keeping question, I wanted that. And it would be fair to assume that given these changes in the whole TER calculation system and the 15-basis points reduction and, you know, excluding the statutory levies, especially on that change, would that be neutral to our P&L, especially on that specific change. Or -- my sense is that it should largely be neutral, but just I wanted to just confirm it.
So, Madhukar, repeating again that I explained in detail that larger schemes definitely are getting impacted. And I also mentioned that you'll be surprised that many of the smaller schemes will see increased TER. At our end, I've said that while the reduced TER means higher alpha and particularly for the larger sized funds, and there is a long-term positive implication of that. But on the other side, whatever little impact of the reduction on account of exit load or all the expense ratio construct is there, we will optimize it to ensure that we remain highly focused on the -- on our profitability.
Gaurav Jani · Prabhudas Lilladherweak
Understood. Thanks. And secondly, sir, Navneet, sir, to you. You did mention of the 5-basis point impact on the overall AMC profits. Just wanted to kind of have your opinion as to how are we thinking in terms of passing that on and what is the dialogue with distributors? [Clarifies]: I do understand that. I was just trying to gauge as to what's the dialogue with distributors to how will the -- can there be some pass-through or not?
So, I did give details, it will depend on the size of the scheme. And, of course, wherever there was additional charge of that exit load, it is not the overall impact of 5 basis points on the AMC profitability. I explained that in detail earlier. [Naozad Sirwalla clarifies]: Yes. So, I think you said the impact is for us is 5 basis points. That's not what Navneet has said, just to clarify. [Navneet on dialogue]: Yes. I mentioned it a couple of times that we will try to optimize and maintain our profitability.
Abhijeet Sakhare · Kotakdeflection
Hi, good evening everyone. I just have one slightly hypothetical question. Would you say that it's easier to cut commissions in better performing funds generally rather than throughout most of the funds? I mean, just over the cycle, if one has to understand how easy it is to pass on some of these regulatory impacts or just the initiatives to protect profitability better?
I mean we always try to make a win-win for everyone, I mean, whether for our investors, for our distributors and for our profit -- I mean, for us. And we have demonstrated that over a long period of time, you have watched us over the years and we'll continue to do a good job, hopefully on that.
Mohit Mangal · Centrumweak
Thanks for the follow-up. So actually, I was looking at the last 10 to 11 quarters market share, and we have been quite stable in equity as well as debt. But liquid, we have kind of lost the ground from 13%, 13.5% to around 11-odd percent. So just wanted to know your thoughts as to how we can increase the market share in that segment?
I think it gets impacted by a few of the large corporate investors or institutions kind of like, any large movement of one client versus the other with one fund house versus the other. But I don't read much into that otherwise because sometimes, I mean, share may look lower because some clients where we are capped out in terms of total amount as per their internal policy, have invested a further amount and that amount hasn't come to us. And you can also see a reverse happening in another quarter where some of the large institutions has increased the allocation to us. But the overall institution team is on the ball, and are focused on getting the maximum allocation. I can also share that we have hired a senior person recently who's now been responsible for PAN-India institutional business apart from some of the other emerging channels that we are setting up.