Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Congratulations, Gautam, in the new role. Just the first question is on cost. So, in Q2, there seems to be a significant rise in operating expenses as well as the RM cost. If you could just detail out what are the reasons for the same?
Sure. Thanks for the question. As I mentioned earlier, we had planned shutdowns, DRI, CGP and pellet plants at Angul, and these were for around 25 to 27 days each. And during this period, we had also purchased some external metallics from the market to make up for the deficit somewhat. Also, it was a prolonged monsoon that also affected the operations a bit and the technoeconomic parameters of the blast furnace operations. Putting these together, that's the reason for the cost. And going ahead, we should be in a much better shape.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Would you be able to quantify the impact of the shutdown, both on the metallic purchases as well as opex?
The overall impact was about INR250 crores.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Right. And just on the liquid steel and iron making capacities, like currently, you are at 12.6 million tonne liquid steel, but 15 million tonne iron making. So, what is a more kind of, I mean, a better capacity number to kind of consider in the current context?
If I understand your question correctly, I think you should be looking at liquid steel at the moment.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Right. I mean, you are short on liquid steel versus iron making. So, 12.6 million tonnes is what we should look at in terms of your current capacity there?
For the current period, yes. So, Amit, when you look at it, both the blast furnace and SMS are on a ramp-up stage. So that's how you should look at it. So eventually, these will match. And once we have the second SMS also, then we'll have a full capacity with it.
Parthiv Jhonsa · Anand Rathi
So, my first question is just continuing to the previous participant, wherein you just said that you are holding into your FY26 guidance. That basically works out to an average of about 2.5 million tonne kind of a number per quarter in sales offtake. If I read it correctly, I think over the last 2 or 3 quarters, you have, it's a bit difficult that you're not able to cross that 2 million tonne mark. How confident are you to cross that 2 million tonne mark per quarter in Q3 and Q4? I understand that Q4 is a good quarter but just wanted to understand your take on it.
You've picked up the thing correctly, Q4 is the positive quarter, plus we're ramping up new capacity. So that's also adding in. So that's why we're holding on to the number.
Parthiv Jhonsa · Anand Rathi
All right, Sir. Sir, my second question is pertaining to the mining activity, whereas I believe in last quarter, Utkal B1, the ramp-up was around Q2. This time around, it's been moved to H2. Just wanted to also understand the iron ore mine, what you had picked up quite recently about a quarter back. Just wanted to get the timeline for that and the volumes from each of these basically, if possible.
So Utkal B1, we are now in the phase of commissioning the mine and we told you H2. So most probably by the end of this quarter, we should have output from that mine.
Satyadeep Jain · Ambit Capital
Just wanted to check on the capacity, iron making capacity, which is still in works, the DRI and BOF 3, any maybe concrete timelines you're looking at for those in the second half?
I think we've given you the guidance on those capacities. The projects online, we're on track on those timelines. So, it should get commissioned in this half year, in Q4 of this year.
Satyadeep Jain · Ambit Capital
Okay. And in the presentation, when you say compared to 18%, 20% ROCE that you're looking at for projects, it's mentioned 9%. Just wanted to understand what that is, is that for some new projects you've commissioned, or what?
I think you are looking at 2 different things. What that implies is that any new projects that we are looking at setting up over the recent past, the threshold is 18% to 20% ROCE from those projects. What you're looking at the other number is what we're working on currently as an enterprise.
Satyadeep Jain · Ambit Capital
This is the, you're talking about the current ROCE for the business, the entire capacity right now?
Yes, exactly.
Rajesh Ravi · HDFC Securities
Sorry, 2% to 3% of what?
Overall cost structure.
Rajesh Ravi · HDFC Securities
Okay. And any thought on pricing? Is it all to do with domestic demand picks up? What are the factors you're looking at before these prices can again, there were expectations that with the safeguard duty, prices will stabilize or look up, but we are looking, both long prices have taken a deep dive and even flats are also down. And even in this quarter, the situation so far has been not at all conducive. So how do you look at the pricing trend?
Yes. We are expecting the demand to pick up from here on, from November, December onwards, because the monsoon itself was very long. And the good part is that all the festivals were bunched together in the month of October. So now we have 5 months of clean demand period, which is seasonally very strong period. So, a lot of factors. The strong government or private capex which is coming in post GST cut. There is a good demand revival in automobile, household appliances, real estate, all those sectors, which are further supported by GST reduction. So, we are expecting the prices to rebound from here.
Pallav Agarwal · Antique Stock Broking
Sir just wanted a clarification on the debt number. So, I think you mentioned that capex acceptances are not in the debt. So, are there any revenue acceptances that we have?
So basically, if we split it, so right now, we have the revenue acceptance around INR4,982 crores, and capital acceptance, we have INR431 crores.
Pallav Agarwal · Antique Stock Broking
And this revenue acceptance, yes Sir. And this is already included in our net debt figure of INR14,156 crores.
Yes. Revenue acceptance is INR4,982 crores. No, this is not included in the net debt figure.
Indrajit Agarwal · CLSA
Just one clarification. The INR250 crores one-off impact that you mentioned, would the entire thing reverse in 3Q?
I think you mean the reverse means it won't incur, yes, it won't incur, yes, please, if that's the question.
Indrajit Agarwal · CLSA
All right. So that should be automatically somewhere close to INR1,000 delta, right, in 3Q?
Yes, you've got that right.
Somaiah V. · Avendus Spark
A few questions. So first one is on the realization in the quarter, Q2. If I look at per tonne realization, it's almost flat, just a INR500 per tonne Q-o-Q decline. But industry rebar prices, which have seen a sharp decline. So, I mean, anything in terms of exports or value-added products? So, what is helping us to be more or less flattish Q-o-Q?
See, there are a couple of things which we have done, which make sure that despite an industry drop in NSR, significant drop in NSR, we have a very less drop. One is that our value-added component is very high. If you look at our investor presentation as well, the value-added component in this quarter is 73% of our total sales, which is the highest ever, right. We are continuously ramping up our value-added sales. That is helping us. Thirdly, we also have ramped up our downstream business, which in a way is a value-added business to us. So that also helped us in improving the NSR mix, right? So apart from that, the export also has helped us on the flat product side. So, our ramp-up in flat product side is much more. The composition has changed, long to flat. So that also has helped us.
Somaiah V. · Avendus Spark
The long versus flat mix, what would be this quarter versus previous quarter?
Last quarter, the long component was 56% of sales. This quarter, it is 51%. So flat, we have ramped up from 44% to 49%, because we have tweaked the product mix accordingly based on the market because long side, there was a much more weakness than flat. So, we have improved the flat side. And we continue to work on the product mix side to work on the realizations.
Somaiah V. · Avendus Spark
Got it, Sir. Sir, also in terms of iron ore and pellet, our captive iron ore production last quarter and also pellet production, if you could just help us on that?
So, our overall pellet utilization, if I was to say, our overall pellet utilization was in excess of 75%. And our in-house mines, our capacity utilizations were close to 2 million tonnes. That's what we mined out of our ore mines.
Somaiah V. · Avendus Spark
When you say the 75% utilization, this was on 15 million tonne capacity?
Somaiah, let me give you a quick perspective. Our Q1 total share of captive mines in the total consumption of iron ore was about 29%. We have ramped it up to 45% in Q2 from our own captive mines, if that's what you are looking at, right? And the increase is largely on account of better production from Kasia as well as incremental production from Roida-I mines.
Raman KV · Sequent Investments
I just want to understand what's our current capacity with respect to the steel production. And how much are we planning to add by the end of this year?
Our current capacity is 12.6 million tonnes. And by the end of the year, we plan to add another SMS of 3 million tonnes, which will take us to 15.6 million tonnes.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
So, while you mentioned that the captive iron ore production was 2 million tonnes, how much was Tensa production out of that?
Tensa was minimal in this quarter. What you have to understand is that Tensa as a mine is at its end of life. And we're working on now extracting some more material out of it, but that's only on the boundary wall. It's an end-of-life mine. I think that's the way we should look at Tensa.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Sure. So, ballpark 0.1 million tonne or lower should be a number to think of on a quarterly basis?
Top of my head, yes, that would be something close to that. If you want any specifics, Vishal is always available, I think, offline.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Sure, sure. That's fine. Also, like on the mix per se, so while you did 49% flats in the quarter, now that there will be higher volumes available from the new blast furnace from Q3, Q4 onwards. So, is it fair to assume that you will be doing like 55%, 60% flats maybe in H2 with the higher volumes incrementally being all flats maybe?
I think you've hit the nail on the head. Flats will go up, yes. I think that's something we've held throughout the journey as well.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
So, it will go into construction and engineering and those segments, is it? I mean, in the meanwhile.
Yes. In the shorter term, that's how you would look at it. If you want to draw a longer curve, yes, you will see the auto cycle coming up as well.
Parthiv Jhonsa · Anand Rathi
Sir, I think I lost you in between on the capex. What's your second half capex, if you had just declared it out? Just wanted to get that number?
H1 number is INR4,925 crores. H2, we are planning, as we have already given the guidance of INR7,000 crores to INR9,000 crores. So similar numbers, we are expecting that we'll incur in the H2.
Rajesh Ravi · HDFC Securities
Sir, I wanted to ask, we have achieved 73% odd value-added share, which is almost all-time high. And now that even flat mix will improve here on with the new facilities. How are we looking at the margin profile for the 2 segments? And primarily, I want to understand that when you say value-added product, are they only based on the application basis or from a margin perspective, the value-added products carry a higher margin profile?
Right. So, we define it both ways. One is on the application side, which are the critical applications like high strength steel or low alloy high strength steel, that type of steel, or then segment specific as well like defence or, let's say, windmill applications and those types of applications, both way. But then the important thing is that as the criticality of the application decreases or the criticality of the steel increases, so the value increases. So, we check it in both terms, in terms of how it gives us the contribution per hour or the value per hour and also in terms of the application. So, we have some defined parameters based on this. We decide what is value-added steel. And that's consistent. So, when we say 58% to 72%, 73% journey, it's based on those.
Rajesh Ravi · HDFC Securities
No, that's okay. We'll certainly discuss this separately. Yeah, my just thought was if the prices are soft and if the margins of the value-added product and the flat mix is improving, can we expect most of the impact of the soft prices countered by that?
Certainly.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
So, on acceptances, I see that the number was, I think, close to INR3,000 crores in March. And right now, the number that you gave is almost INR5,000 crores. So, it's gone up by almost INR2,000 crores. So, what would be the reason for higher acceptances given that coking coal has actually gone down and your production volumes have also been flattish actually during this period?
So, Amit, this is basically, so since we have started new facility, so for the working capital requirement there, for procuring the coking coal, all these LCs have been used for that purpose. So, this is for the new facility that we have started, majorly.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
But generally, like what is the policy that you would follow for acceptances generally, like how does it work? If you could just explain that a bit?
So basically, this is for imported coal that we procure from international market. You know coking coal is basically imported from outside, internationally. So, we have to open the LC at the right time and cycle time is much more, around 45 to 60 days. So, for all these reasons, this quantum increased.
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital
Yes. What I meant to ask is, is there like a number of days kind of a thing which you have in mind when you kind of do this acceptances arrangement?
45 to 60 days cycle time is there for procurement of coking coal.