Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q1 FY26
JKCEMENT JK Cement Ltd · Other Q1 FY26 · concall
Pattern: regional volume breakup q1

Central India 6mtpa commissioned.

2 deflections · 8 weak · 38 clean pushback across 10 of 48 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 10 of 48

Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Securitiesweak

What is the regional breakup of volume sales for Q1?

The company is not sharing exact regional volume numbers. Broadly, central India grew over 50%, South also saw good growth due to a low base, and there was good clinker sales. However, North saw some de-growth due to market conditions.

Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Securitiesdeflection

How much clinker was sold this quarter from the South?

Clinker sales have been much higher than the previous quarter but no specific number was shared.

Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Securitiesweak

What is the progress on next expansion options beyond Panna - Jaisalmer, Odisha and Karnataka?

The company is close to finalizing and will be presenting options to the board very soon. The likely direction is more towards the North. Once the board approves, the decision will be communicated.

Ritesh Shah · Investec Capitalweak

How should one understand the pricing dichotomy with South prices increasing while North and Central have marginal pressure?

The monsoon impacts pricing materially. Some pressure on non-trade pricing and marginal pressure on trade pricing exists. The company will wait and watch through the monsoon period.

Ritesh Shah · Investec Capitalweak

What are the plans around LC3 and PLC cement mentioned in the annual report?

Still at a very initial and pilot stage. The company is evaluating what can be done on LC3 and working on it.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capitalweak

Once the 6 million tons capacity comes up by end of December, can one assume about 3 million tons incremental volume in FY27 at 50% utilization?

It is too early to say precisely, but the company is working in that direction. A number of 22.5 to 23 million tons for FY27 is being worked towards. Also, volumes are already being seeded in Bihar so fresh volumes needed to reach 50% utilization from the new plant won't be entirely incremental.

Tejas Pradhan · Citigroupweak

What was industry volume growth by region in Q1, especially in North where you mentioned de-growth?

Industry numbers for Q1 are not yet available. The company believes it has grown above the industry overall. In all regions, market share has been maintained or improved, especially in Central India and North. The North market growth itself is the major concern.

Alok Shah · SRE PMSweak

What are the reasons for the 20% EBITDA increase and is this sustainable? Also what is the EBITDA guidance with 75% green power target?

EBITDA should continue increasing if current prices continue or increase further. On green power, the company will be closer to 60% by FY26 and the 75% target for 2030 is expected to be met well before 2030.

Rahil Shah · Crown Capitaldeflection

What is the combined EBITDA per ton outlook for the full year?

No specific number given. EBITDA per ton would be in line with industry growth.

Siddharth Malhotra · Kotak Securitiesweak

On the GMDC agreement for 250 million tons of limestone reserves - what are the plans and will this be used for existing plants or new plants in the western region?

The limestone reserve agreement is for long-term future expansions. No immediate plans. The company is first working towards its 50 million ton expansion plan. Potential use in Gujarat is possible going forward but no immediate investment plan.

Other Q&A (38)
Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

On the Panna line, it was mentioned as 3.3 million tons in Q4 but now as 4 million tons. Why did it expand and how close are we to commissioning?

The capacity was always at 12,000 TPD - 4 million tons clinker capacity. What was 3.3 million was Line 1 at 10,000 TPD, following its increase from 8,000 TPD about a year back. Line 2 at Panna has always been a 4 million tons clinkerization unit.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

What was the incentive booked in the quarter?

Incentive for the quarter was 85 crores. This is higher than last quarter's 75 to 80 crore range because in Q3, the Aligarh unit's annual ceiling got exhausted, so there was no subsidy for Aligarh in Q4. Now incentives are being received from Nimbahera Line 3 (for this fiscal only), and grinding locations at Aligarh, Hamirpur, Prayagraj, Ujjain, and Panna. Hamirpur, Prayagraj, Ujjain, and Panna are newer units so incentives will continue for a few more years. Looking ahead, approximately 300 crores of incentives is expected annually for next 3 to 5 years based on new expansions.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

Other expenses were quite low in the quarter. What are the plans for marketing spends?

Marketing spends will be higher going forward. Major marketing spends like dealer tours are normally planned in Q2, which is the lean period. Other expenses will increase sequentially in Q2, along with scheduled maintenance of kilns and grinding expenses ahead of the festive season.

Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Securities

Given the de-bottleneck at Ujjain, what is the potential for de-bottlenecking at other locations?

As part of the expansion plan, 1 million ton capacity is being added at Hamirpur and Prayagraj. Additionally, there is a potential of about 0.7 million tons of de-bottlenecking in the South, which is being evaluated.

Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Securities

What are the plans for recent acquisitions Toshali and Saifco?

For Toshali, the company is evaluating alternate raw material options - either a long-term tie-up with the Odisha government or identifying areas for auction. There is an opportunity of 2.5 to 3 million tons if limestone tie-up materializes. For Saifco, there is an immediate opportunity to upgrade the kiln from ~600-650 TPD to 850-900 TPD. There is also a longer-term potential of 2 to 2.5 million ton expansion given the good limestone reserves, which will be evaluated in about a year.

Devesh Agarwal · IIFL Securities

What is the FY26 volume growth guidance given the strong Q1 performance?

The company is sticking to the guidance of about 20 million tons for this financial year.

Vishal Biraia · Bandhan Mutual Funds

What will be the clinker capacity at Panna after this expansion?

7.3 million tons at Panna after the expansion (Line 1 at 3.3 million tons and Line 2 at 4 million tons).

Vishal Biraia · Bandhan Mutual Funds

Will total clinker capacity including Saifco be close to 18 million tons by end of March FY26?

On standalone basis, it will be 19 million tons. Including Saifco and Toshali subsidiaries, total will be close to 19.6 million tons.

Vishal Biraia · Bandhan Mutual Funds

After commissioning all grinding units, will grey cement capacity be close to 32 million tons?

Currently at 25.26 million tons. Adding 6 million tons brings it to 31.26. There are certain de-bottlenecking opportunities in the South of about 0.7 million tons being evaluated, which if they materialize, would bring total capacity to 32 million tons by FY26 end.

Vishal Biraia · Bandhan Mutual Funds

What is the cumulative investment in paints and what capacity has been created?

Paint capacity is 60,000 kiloliters and total investment is close to 450 crores. The board has approved 600 crores total, so remaining investment is about 150 crores, to be completed by FY27.

Navin Sahadev · ICICI Securities

Is the strong central India growth due to industry-level growth or JK Cement expanding dealer network ahead of upcoming capacity in eastern markets?

JK Cement has been actively expanding ahead of new capacity. The company expanded its market presence in Bihar in anticipation of the new grinding unit. They are already doing good volumes in Bihar and expect to reach close to 1 million ton in Bihar by end of this fiscal.

Navin Sahadev · ICICI Securities

On de-bottlenecking potential in South of 0.7 to 1 million tons - will it be backed by clinker de-bottlenecking too?

Yes, the de-bottlenecking will be both on the clinker side as well as cement grinding across all locations in the South and other regions.

Navin Sahadev · ICICI Securities

White cement margins seem to have declined sharply sequentially. How should one look at this segment given the upcoming putty capacity expansion?

White cement margins have declined sequentially but have now stagnated. The company expects margins to remain in the 15% to 20% range going forward. The putty expansion (6 lakh tons at Rajasthan) is necessary to maintain market share as the company targets 1.1 million tons of putty volume this year with 7% to 10% growth expected. Current capacity is barely able to meet peak season demand and some tolling has already started to address this.

Navin Sahadev · ICICI Securities

With EBITDA approaching 2,500-3,000 crores annually, can the company handle two expansion projects simultaneously?

Yes, the company is shifting its approach from sequential projects (with 2-year gaps) to overlapping projects, targeting to reach 50 million tons by 2030. Going forward, the company plans to announce a new project every year, meaning two projects will be running simultaneously at any given time - not both announced at once, but staggered such that the next project starts while the current one is still ongoing.

Sanjeev Singh · Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Excluding clinker volumes, how did cement realization move compared to last quarter and how are prices now?

Prices on average have been mostly flat. South realization increase compensated for marginal pressure in North and Central. As of now, there is no significant drop in pricing - only marginal pressure on non-trade pricing. The monsoon period (another 1.5 months through August) needs to be watched before a clear picture emerges.

Sanjeev Singh · Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

CAPEX was around 350-400 crores in Q1. What will be the full year FY26 capex and guidance for FY27?

Full year FY26 capex will be close to 2,000 crores. For FY27, considering normal capex and the newly announced putty expansion, capex should be about 600 crores as of now.

Hrishikesh · Kotak Mutual Fund

What is the consolidated gross debt and net debt?

Consolidated numbers are the same as standalone because subsidiaries don't have the borrowings and cash balance.

Hrishikesh · Kotak Mutual Fund

With the company now comfortable taking two simultaneous expansions, is there any internal cap on debt to EBITDA?

The company targets to keep net debt to EBITDA at 2 or below 2, whatever expansion they undertake.

Ritesh Shah · Investec Capital

What are the total paint, grout and adhesives numbers including EBITDA for the last fiscal?

Paint turnover for last fiscal was 273 crores and this quarter is 86 crores. Gross margin is about 30%. EBITDA loss was 45 crores last year, and this quarter the EBITDA loss is 10 crores.

Ritesh Shah · Investec Capital

Does JK Cement use synthetic gypsum and what cost arbitrage is derived from it?

The company uses a combination of gypsum - imported gypsum, chemical gypsum, and local mineral gypsum from mines. Nothing is manufactured captively. Imported gypsum is definitely more costly but helps reduce clinker consumption and allows use of more fly ash, so total cost economics are evaluated on a totality basis.

Parvez Qazi · Nuvama Group

What was the rail share and fuel mix in Q1?

Fuel mix was 60% pet coke in Q1. Rail share was 11%.

Girija Shankaray · Yes Securities

If imported gypsum is used, it reduces clinker consumption and increases fly ash percentage. What is the current fly ash percentage?

The company can use fly ash up to 33%-35%. The actual percentage depends on each grinding location and what gypsum is available locally. The current average is below 35%.

Girija Shankaray · Yes Securities

Power and fuel cost showed a sharp increase QoQ and freight cost showed no savings. What are the reasons?

Power and fuel cost increased for two reasons: pet coke prices went up (average consumption rate increased), and clinker production was balanced in Q1 vs Q4 when some clinker from stocks was consumed. On freight, lead distance increased by 2 kilometers due to seeding of Bihar markets, resulting in a part-time freight increase of about Rs. 5-6.

Girija Shankaray · Yes Securities

Central India grew over 50% - is that company-level or overall industry growth?

This is the company's own growth in Central India. JK Cement is expanding its market share across UP, MP and entering Bihar, ahead of the new capacity coming in about six months.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capital

On the cost saving plan of Rs. 150-200 per ton over next 2-3 years, does the FY26 target of Rs. 40-50 per ton remain intact?

Yes, it remains intact. During this fiscal, the company will get about Rs. 40 to 50 in terms of cost saving.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capital

Green power share is currently at 52%. Will it reach 61% by end of FY26?

The company should be closer to 60% green power share by the end of this fiscal.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capital

On the UAE plant, was the EBITDA positive of Rs. 15-20 crores per quarter achieved in Q1?

Yes, the Fujairah UAE plant has already reached that level. For the full year FY26, the UAE plant EBITDA should be around 80 to 90 crores.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capital

On paint, the revenue target of 400-450 crores for FY26 and 600 crores for FY27 and breakeven by FY27 - does that remain intact?

Yes, that remains intact.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capital

On other expenses, marketing and maintenance will increase in Q2. Is a Rs. 40-50 crores QoQ increase a fair estimate?

Yes, it could be around that region, though the exact number is not certain.

Tejas Pradhan · Citigroup

Assuming current putty profitability, what would be the rough IRR from the putty expansion project?

IRR will be over 15%.

Prateek Kumar · Jefferies

Is the Rs. 300 crore annual incentive expected over next 3-5 years accurate based on current planned expansions?

Yes, that is what the company feels.

Prateek Kumar · Jefferies

The incremental volumes in Central India - will the trade vs non-trade mix change and impact profitability?

Some non-trade volumes will come in from Bihar once the grinding unit is there, but the company is fairly confident of maintaining the trade-non-trade ratio overall.

Prateek Kumar · Jefferies

The expectation that Asian Paints expanding its own putty capacity would reduce orders to JK Cement - has that started or will it be gradual?

Asian Paints is currently doing trial runs. The impact will start hitting JK Cement mainly from Q3 FY26 onwards as Asian Paints gradually reduces orders.

Prateek Kumar · Jefferies

The cost of traded goods was much higher at Rs. 1.5 billion vs run rate of Rs. 1 billion. What is the reason?

Traded goods include goods being manufactured for value-added products including paints that are routed through the JK Cement standalone platform. When goods are transferred from the paint manufacturing plant to the JK Cement standalone books, they appear as purchase of traded goods.

Rajesh Ravi · HDFC Securities

Given strong Q1 volumes, is there upward bias to the 20 million ton FY26 volume guidance?

The company is sticking to 20 million tons because the monsoon is a lean period and the outlook needs monitoring. No upward revision at this point.

Rajesh Ravi · HDFC Securities

With lots of capacity coming in North, Central and East and JK Cement also adding 6 million tons, what is the pricing outlook for the next 1-2 years?

The market is also growing. Looking at North and Central as a combined market, there is an incremental requirement of about 12 to 15 million tons. As capacity gradually ramps up, there could be some periodic impact but no major competitive intensity that would significantly affect profitability.

Parth Bhavsar · Investec

Non-trade share has increased both YoY and QoQ. What is the demand outlook and pricing for the non-trade segment?

Government spending has driven non-trade demand. To maintain market share, the company needs to participate in the non-trade segment where demand is growing. Non-trade pricing has also increased over the last 2-3 months in tandem with trade pricing, with normal differential of Rs. 20-25 per bag between trade and non-trade, though this can fluctuate significantly to Rs. 40-80 per bag in specific regions.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

The new Bihar grinding unit - will it also receive incentives?

There is an incentive scheme for the Bihar grinding unit. The company has already applied and should be getting certain incentives once the unit is commissioned.

Prepared remarks (5 blocks)
On behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, we welcome you to the Q1 FY26 call of JK Cement Limited. On the call, we have with us Mr. Ajay Kumar Saraogi - Deputy Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer, and Mr. Prashant Seth - President, Business Information and Investor Relations. I would like to mention on behalf of JK Cement Limited and its Management that certain statements that may be made or discussed on today's conference call may be forward-looking statements related to future developments and statements which are based on current management expectations. These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and other important factors which may cause actual developments and results to differ materially from the statements made. JK Cement Limited and the management of the company assumes no obligation to publicly alter or update its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events or otherwise.
So, the Board of Directors met on 19th of July to review the performance of the company for the quarter ended 30th June 2025, and the major highlights are that the net sales grew about 19% year-on-year at Rs. 3,028 crores and whereas it de-grew by about 6% as compared to the previous quarter. The EBITDA during this quarter was Rs. 674 crores, an increase of 41% year-on-year, however, a dip of 9% over the previous quarter. The comparative margins for the first quarter was 22.3% in this quarter, vis-a-vis 18.7% year-on-year and 22.8% in the previous quarter. The per ton EBITDA was Rs. 1,247 per ton as compared to Rs. 1,014 in the previous year and Rs. 1,265 a ton in the previous quarter. The growth in the performance is led by a 15% growth in the grey cement volume during this quarter year-on-year, which was mainly on account of substantial growth in Central India, where we grew by over 50%, attained growth in the South region, where the base was low and there has been a good growth, a good sale of clinker during this quarter. However, there has been some de-growth in the North, mainly on account of the market conditions, as the North did not grow that much. So, if you look at the white cement, the white cement year-on-year grew by 8%. So, these are the major financial highlights. If you look at during this quarter, the company also completed the de-bottleneck at Ujjain unit and now the consolidated capacity of the grey cement stands at 25.26 million tons. The green power capacity as on 30th June is 184 megawatts and the company also completed the acquisition of Saifco on 6th June.
So, now Saifco becomes a subsidiary of the company and the management of Saifco has been taken over and now the company is working on improving the performance of Saifco in the J&K region. The <strong>6 million</strong> tons greenfield and brownfield expansion is on track. The integrated unit at Panna, where we are adding 4 million tons clinkerization unit is on track. The brownfield grinding locations of 1 million each at Panna, Hamirpur and Prayagraj are on track and even the greenfield site at Buxar in Bihar is on track and by end of this calendar year, mostly we should be able to start and complete the expansion. Looking to the growth in the putty volume and to meet out the peak demand, the board also decided to go in for expansion of putty by 6 lakh tons with a total capital outlay of 195 crores. This will be set up in Rajasthan. This is to meet out the growth of putty. The balance sheet position is that the gross debt as on 30th June stood at Rs. 5,203 crores as compared to Rs. 5,101 crores as on 31st March. The cash was Rs. 2,407 crores as compared to Rs. 2,536 crores. The net debt was higher at Rs. 2,796 crores as compared to Rs. 2,565 crores as on 31st March. The net debt to EBITDA as on 30th June, however, was 1.29 as compared to 1.30 and the net debt to equity was 0.44 as compared to 0.42. These are the major highlights of the performance during the quarter.
the net sales grew about 19% year-on-year at Rs. 3,028 crores and whereas it de-grew by about 6% as compared to the previous quarter. The EBITDA during this quarter was Rs. 674 crores, an increase of 41% year-on-year, however, a dip of 9% over the previous quarter. The comparative margins for the first quarter was 22.3% in this quarter, vis-a-vis 18.7% year-on-year and 22.8% in the previous quarter. The per ton EBITDA was Rs. 1,247 per ton as compared to Rs. 1,014 in the previous year and Rs. 1,265 a ton in the previous quarter.
The gross debt as on 30th June stood at Rs. <strong>5,203 crore</strong>s as compared to Rs. 5,101 crores as on 31st March. The cash was Rs. 2,407 crores as compared to Rs. 2,536 crores. The net debt was higher at Rs. 2,796 crores as compared to Rs. 2,565 crores as on 31st March. The net debt to EBITDA as on 30th June, however, was 1.29 as compared to 1.30 and the net debt to equity was 0.44 as compared to 0.42. Incentives: Incentive for the quarter was 85 crores.
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