Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q3 FY26
POLYCAB Polycab India Ltd · Consumer durables Q3 FY26 · concall
Pattern: industry growth market share

Volume growth collapsed from 40% (Q3) to low single digits in Q4 on Middle East/Iran-Israel-US conflict.

1 deflection · 4 weak · 22 clean pushback across 5 of 27 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 5 of 27

Akshay Gattani · UBSdeflection

You highlighted 40% domestic volume growth - what would have been industry growth and where is your market share trending now?

It's very difficult to provide market share perspective at this stage, given that we are the first one in the industry to announce our results and others are yet to report. Once the remaining larger players publish their numbers, we will have better visibility in terms of exact market share gains. In terms of performance, we've seen very strong volume growth as well as value growth. However, it would be premature to currently comment on the market share until the other companies come out with their results.

Akshay Gattani · UBSweak

Strategically you have not passed through all commodity inflation to protect demand - if copper and aluminium continue moving up, could there be temporary demand curtailment?

It's very difficult to comment on commodity prices. However, from a demand perspective, we are very confident that the growth momentum will continue. We are seeing healthy traction across government and private capex as well as the real estate sector, with significant investments flowing into power utilities and infrastructure. From that perspective, we do not see demand as a challenge for us.

Keyur Pandya · ICICI Prudential Life Insuranceweak

Q-on-Q, generally Q4 is bigger than Q3 - should sequentially margin be better than Q3 with better operating leverage?

Yes, it should definitely get better. In Q4, as far as the gross margin level is concerned, to the best of our ability, we will try and pass on whatever price hikes are required to be done to the end customers. We are not sure whether copper prices will continue to move up or go down. Whatever the mix, we will try and pass on whatever it is to the end customer as much as possible.

Umang Mehta · Kotak Securitiesweak

On cables acceleration from 20%+ to 40% volumes - which segments saw the most uptick? And given 80% of sales are through distributors, wouldn't they upstock cables also when copper/aluminium go up?

Distributors are kind of servicing institutional demand - they stock based on when projects require specific cable shipments. Cables are significantly bulkier and more expensive than wires, so distributors have a limit to capital availability. Generally, even though cables are sold through distributors, we don't see distributors stocking up cables - this is largely a wires phenomenon, not cables. On segments, since we don't directly supply to end customers, we don't have full visibility on which sectors are generating what kind of demand. We will be able to give better guidance on sector-driven demand during the Q4 call on a yearly basis.

Vidit Trivedi · Asian Market Securitiesweak

Price hike during quarter is almost 70-80% of commodity reaction - is it fair to assume minimum 10-15% overall price hike?

You can compute the commodity inflation which was there in the past quarter, along with the rupee depreciation, and just give a multiple of 75% to 80% to that. More or less you'll get the amount of pass-through.

Other Q&A (22)
Sonali Salgaonkar · Jefferies

Strong revenue growth in the C&W segment - would you be able to quantify what is the volume growth for this quarter YoY?

For both domestic cables and wires, our volume growth is about 40%.

Sonali Salgaonkar · Jefferies

Any more detail on which end-user industries contributed higher, because 40% is significantly higher?

We have witnessed sustained momentum in both government and private capex. The real estate sector, particularly in the top 7 cities, has seen healthy levels of launches and sales, closely tracking with previous decadal highs. We are also seeing a recovery in affordable housing segment. Additionally, due to the commodity price inflation, there has been some channel stocking happening for wires, which has also contributed to the higher surge in top-line.

Sonali Salgaonkar · Jefferies

On EBITDA margin - high volume growth should result in operating leverage, and you took a price hike of about 6% YoY. What exactly led to the fall of EBITDA margin both YoY and Q-o-Q?

The primary reason has been the sharp rise in commodity prices. From January 2025 till January 2026, copper in rupee terms has risen almost 50% and aluminium almost 25%. In this quarter alone, 22% inflation happened in copper price compared to previous quarter. We took a conscious call to pass it on in a staggered manner - while we have been revising prices, the full impact of input cost increase has not yet been passed on. Most of the decline in EBITDA margins has been at the gross margin level. The high top-line growth has resulted in operating leverage which is very much visible below the gross margins. We believe similar to FY22, margins may take a hit for a quarter or two but should recover gradually.

Sonali Salgaonkar · Jefferies

What is the quantum of price hikes that you have taken at the start of this quarter?

The total price hikes that we would have taken within this quarter will be almost 75% to 80% of whatever commodity inflation was there.

Sonali Salgaonkar · Jefferies

On exports - while there has not been a degrowth, how do you foresee exports to shape up in coming quarters? And why is the U.S. weak this quarter - is it tariff related?

On exports, the majority of revenue accrued during this quarter has come from geographies other than U.S. As and when orders from U.S. come in, they will further add to the revenues. We have seen strong performance in regions such as Middle East, Latin America. Overall, all geographies are contributing meaningfully, and we have a healthy order book. Yes, the U.S. weakness is tariff related - this remains a global overhang impacting players worldwide, not just in India. We are currently awaiting a final resolution on this matter.

Puneet Gulati · HSBC

Can you give some sense of breakup between performance within Wires and Cables separately?

Typically, our mix of cable and wires is in the ratio of 70-30. However, in this particular quarter, we've seen wires growth outpace cables growth, leading to a marginal increase in wires share by a few percentage points. Additionally, in value terms, the growth in wires would be higher, largely due to significant increase in copper prices.

Puneet Gulati · HSBC

On price hike - how much in previous quarter, how much in current quarter starting January, and how much still needed to make up commodity inflation?

We've passed on almost 75% to 80% of the commodity inflation which was there during the quarter already within the quarter. The remaining will happen during this quarter. The January hike has been taken partially and we will further pass on further increase in prices gradually.

Puneet Gulati · HSBC

Some colour on the distributor side - how much of demand is restocking versus consumer driven?

Restocking is largely happening on wires rather than cables. Distributors typically maintain roughly 30 days of inventory, but at the end of the previous quarter or beginning of this quarter, channel inventory was in the range of around 40 to 45 days - so around 10 to 15 days of additional inventory. Demand is pretty strong, with very good secondary and tertiary sales happening. Even in the last 3-4 quarters, every quarter we've seen similar pre-stocking because commodity prices continuously go up, yet every successive quarter we see improvement in growth rate. Q4 should be another good quarter as executions are at peak.

Puneet Gulati · HSBC

How does your capacity utilization stack up currently?

Our capacity utilization in the quarter was in the early 80% range.

Praveen Sahay · PL Capital

On institutional sales which outperformed distributor sales - can you quantify in percentage terms?

Generally, our mix of distribution versus institutional sales is around 90:10. But this time around institutional sales had grown faster than distribution sales, hence it would have improved by about a couple of hundred basis points.

Praveen Sahay · PL Capital

On real estate contribution for the wire which has also outperformed - more colour on that?

In top 8 cities, both number of launches and volume of sales has been quite robust in 2024, and the same momentum is continuing in 2025. We've been talking for a couple of quarters now that while we have seen majority of positive demand on the premium side, recent data also suggests pickup happening on the affordable side. We had introduced the Etira brand to compete with unorganized players in Tier 3 to 5 cities, with very good growth happening there. Even in Tier 1, Tier 2 cities, our focus has been more on Class 2 wires where we are seeing market share gains.

Praveen Sahay · PL Capital

Can you give colour on the volume growth split between wires and cables out of the 40% W&C volume growth?

For us in domestic business, the volume growth has been around 40%. Both cables and wires have grown at pretty much similar pace in terms of volume. In case of revenue, since wires are copper-based and copper has seen more inflation, wires growth at revenue level was 70%, whereas for cables, the growth was around 50%.

Ravi Swaminathan · Avendus Spark

On cable segment - call out top 3-4 sectors driving sales growth. What is contribution of Power T&D?

Major consumption at product category level happens in power cables, control cables, which largely go to power infrastructure and utility infrastructure - that's the primary demand sector. Followed by strong growth in the industry segment. Manufacturing, utility, government - all have picked up good demand. Power T&D contribution for us is almost 30%. At industry level, around 40% to 45% of cables sold are low voltage and medium voltage cables, followed by control cables (15-20%) and flexible cables (10-15%).

Pulkit Patni · Goldman Sachs

Could the customer have done significant restocking such that Q4 numbers may be slightly negatively impacted because of massive destocking if copper prices don't move much?

Restocking has been largely in case of wires. Typically, cables do not see any significant stocking, and we continue to see uptick in real estate. Historically, similar event occurred in FY22 where after one or two quarters, subsequent quarters continued to show growth momentum. There is a bit of elevated inventory on wires, but since demand itself is pretty strong, we are quite confident there won't be any slowdown in momentum in Q4. Q4 is generally the peak when cable demand is highest.

Pulkit Patni · Goldman Sachs

On ad spend which is considerably higher and almost 3x of quarterly ad spends - is this the new run rate?

This is the time of the year when festive activity is higher, particularly in second half of the year, when we make a conscious call to step up brand building investments including celebrity associations - this is a strategic call. As far as run rate is concerned, we've guided that we want to spend around 3% to 5% of B2C top-line every year on A&P. Even with this increased spend this quarter, we are hardly at around 1.5% currently. Going ahead we can definitely see increased investments in A&P, but quarterly variations happen with second half being heavier on A&P.

Keyur Pandya · ICICI Prudential Life Insurance

Profitability is linked to percentage margins, right, and not some specific rupees per tonnage?

Yes, your understanding is correct. To refer to our Project Spring guidance, we've given a long-term guidance of 11% to 13%. But in the near term, yes, what you mentioned is correct. It's not rupees per ton - it's percentage annualized.

Ashish Jain · Macquarie India

On cable and wire margins - is the one-off employee cost booked in any specific segment? And on the 300 bps margin impact from unfavourable product mix - is that largely higher institutional sales?

It's not in a specific segment - it's across. On margins, there are three to four key factors. First, due to copper price inflation, we've staggered our pass-through. Second, there has been an unfavourable business mix change wherein institutional business has grown faster than channel business. Third, contribution from exports has marginally declined. In last year Q3 exports contribution was about 8.3%, whereas in this quarter it is at about 6%, so even within quarter-on-quarter comparison, the contribution has gone down.

Achal Lohade · Nuvama Wealth Management

If copper/aluminium prices continue up 40-50% YoY for next 2-3 quarters, do you see any impact on demand given budgets will take a hit?

We have zero control over commodity prices and therefore it is difficult to comment. There continues to be uncertainty around price movement, which is beyond one's control. However, from a demand perspective, visibility in the coming quarter and the quarter thereafter remains strong, and we continue to see healthy momentum. So we don't see any difficulty with respect to demand. Absolutely not seeing any impact of such a steep increase in the commodity price on the demand for the next 2 quarters.

Achal Lohade · Nuvama Wealth Management

On margins - we carry close to ₹6,000 crores worth of inventory, in a rising price scenario wouldn't that benefit initially? How does the inventory cycle play out?

We hedge our inventory. Our pricing is not at the time of procurement but is done at a future time once we have an order for that inventory. So while we have been carrying higher inventory levels, inventories are not priced - they will get priced in the future. This is something we've followed for over a decade for stability of margins. We don't see scenarios of inventory gains or inventory losses just because we price it at a future date. The higher inventory we are maintaining is because we are anticipating good demand for Q4, similar to Q2 end which played out well in Q3.

Vidit Trivedi · Asian Market Securities

What's the margin profile for institutional sales, retail sales and exports?

Margins in exports are definitely much higher compared to domestic margins - generally we've been making at least around 15% of EBITDA margins in our exports. In domestic sales for cables, generally we make anywhere between 9% to 12% of EBITDA margins. In wires, it is between 15% to 16%. There are quarterly variations depending on commodity prices and demand.

Aniruddha Joshi · ICICI Securities

On FMEG fans business - how has it shaped up given regulatory headwinds and commodity prices? And on solar - current revenue run rate, EBIT margin?

On fans, initial uptake during the quarter was pretty low because summer this year was softer and channel inventory was getting liquidated in October-November. December saw a small uptick because of BEE transition from January 1. Overall fans industry would have been largely flattish or small degrowth, and our performance was in line with industry. New BEE norms imply 2-4% price hikes during Q4. On solar, it had another very good quarter after 1-1.5 years of strong momentum. We expect Q4 to be very strong. We launched a new range of 350-kilowatt solar inverters last quarter which did very well. The margin profile of solar is currently in high single digits and we are maintaining that. Solar is now the largest category for us in FMEG and is one reason FMEG has become profitable. We will continue to improve FMEG profitability towards the guided range of 8% to 10% by FY30.

Aniruddha Joshi · ICICI Securities

We grew 59% in domestic C&W and would have gained market share - what would the market growth be? Upwards of 50%, 40%?

Getting exact market growth for this quarter will be very difficult at this point as we'll have to wait for other larger listed companies to come out with their results over the next 2-3 weeks. But growth would have been higher in this quarter than first half. To the best of our estimation, in first half of this year, industry growth was around 15% to 16%. I believe industry would have been more closer to 20% at least (including organized plus unorganized). With our 59% growth, we have gained a lot of market share. In spite of 300 bps decrease in margin, we delivered 34% profitability growth in this segment on the back of 59% domestic growth. In first half we had grown cables and wires at 26% YoY versus industry growth of around 16%, whereas in this quarter we've grown at around 60%.

Prepared remarks (5 blocks)
Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I hope all of you are staying healthy and safe. I am Niyant Maru, CFO, at Polycab India Limited. On today's call, we will be discussing the Q3 FY26 results, which were approved by the Board of Directors earlier today. Joining me today from the management team are Shashank Yagnick, Head Strategy; Chirayu Upadhyaya, Head Investor Relations. Before we get into quarterly performance, I would like to share a very important update announced at the Board meeting today. It gives me immense pleasure to inform you that the Board of Directors at its meeting held today has approved the redesignation of Mr. Bharat Jaisinghani and Mr. Nikhil Jaisinghani from Executive Directors to Joint Managing Directors of the company with immediate effect, subject to approval of the shareholders. Over the years, Bharat and Nikhil have played an integral role in shaping the Company's growth trajectory, strengthening the market leadership and building a strong foundation for a long-term value creation. With that, let me now take you through an update on the macro environment. The year 2025 marked a pivotal phase for the global economy defined by shifting trade dynamics and heightened geopolitical and tariff related uncertainties. Elevated U.S. tariffs disrupted the established supply chain and moderated global growth.
Against this backdrop, the global economy is expected to grow at around <strong>3.2%</strong> in 2025. India continues to stand out as a clear outperformer in this global landscape. With Q2 FY26 GDP growth at 8.2%, India continues to be the fastest-growing major economy. In November 2025, India overtook Japan to emerge as the fourth largest economy globally, reaching a GDP of USD 4.19 trillion. Domestic consumption has witnessed a notable revival following last year's direct and indirect tax. Credit growth has strengthened meaningfully, with total credit uptake reaching INR11 trillion in November '25 compared to INR9.5 trillion last year. 2-wheeler sales also increased by 18.1% YoY over the September-November period, while passenger vehicle sales rose by 7.3% during the same time frame. In this favourable macro backdrop, the RBI delivered a 25 basis point policy rate cut, revising its growth forecast upwards to 7.3% for the year and lowering inflation projection to 2%. Investment activity has gathered momentum. The real estate sector remains healthy with launches and sales across the top 7 cities closely tracking the previous decade high. Government capital expenditure has accelerated meaningfully with approximately 59% of the FY26 capex outlay already utilized by November 2025, a 28% YoY increase.
For the quarter ended 31st December 2025, we are pleased to report that our Company delivered 46% YoY growth in consolidated revenues, driven by strong execution in the Wires and Cables (W&C) segment and healthy growth in the Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) business. EBITDA for the quarter grew by 34% YoY with EBITDA margins at 12.7%. Excluding the one-off impact of ~₹ 219 million on account of gratuity provisioning due to the implementation of the new labour code, the EBITDA margins would have been ~13%. At the PAT level, the Company delivered its highest ever Q3 PAT at ₹ 6.3 billion, reflecting 36% YoY growth. PAT margins stood at 8.3% for the quarter. Finance costs came in at ₹ 687 million, while other income stood at ₹ 505 million. We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet, closing the quarter with a net cash position of ₹ 30.3 billion. On working capital front, inventory days continue to be higher as we built up inventory in anticipation of strong demand in Q4 FY26. We expect this to normalize to our long-term steady range of 50 to 55 days in the coming quarters. Capital expenditure for the quarter was ₹ 3.4 billion, taking the 9M FY26 total to ₹ 10.9 billion, in-line with our Project Spring guidance of investing ₹ 12 billion to ₹ 16 billion annually through FY30. On a 9-month basis, 9M FY26 revenues, EBITDA and PAT are the highest ever in the company's history for any 9-month period. Revenues grew 30% YoY, crossing ₹200 billion milestone. EBITDA grew 47% YoY, with margins strong at 14.2%. PAT grew 47% YoY, with PAT margins of 9.6%. The W&C business delivered very strong performance, recording 53% YoY revenue growth during the quarter. This growth was led by domestic W&C business, which posted an exceptional 59% YoY growth, supported by robust demand conditions and sustained commodity price inflation. In volume, the domestic W&C business recorded nearly 40% growth. During the quarter, wires growth outperformed cables, driven by pre-stocking by channel partners amid elevated copper prices. Within the cable segment, institutional sales growth outpaced the channel sales, reflecting strong traction in project-led demand.
Our international business maintained its steady momentum, recording a 5% YoY growth during the quarter, despite a high base and contributing 6% to the consolidated revenues. Segment profitability was impacted during the quarter due to multiple factors, primarily on account of continued commodity price inflation and depreciation of the Indian rupee. Between September 2025 and December 2025, copper and aluminium prices, in rupee terms, increased sequentially by approximately 21% and 11%, respectively, which represents an unusually sharp escalation over a short period of time. In order to avoid demand disruption, arising from elevated input costs, the Company took a strategic decision to pass on the increase in raw material prices in a staggered manner. While this approach resulted in near-term margin pressure at the Company level, it enables us to protect volumes, gain market share and further strengthen relationships with our channel partners. The FMEG segment sustained its impressive growth momentum, delivering a 17% YoY increase in Q3 FY26, and consistently outperforming the industry in-line with our Project Spring growth aspirations. Within the segment, the solar business has been a standout performer, growing more than 2x compared to the same quarter last year, driven by strong uptake under the central and state rooftop solar incentive scheme. Importantly, the FMEG segment remained profitable for the fourth consecutive quarter, even while strategically ramping up our A&P investments to strengthen brand presence and drive long-term growth. We remain on track to achieve our Project Spring targets of 1.5x - 2x industry growth and EBITDA margins in the range of 8% to 10% by FY30. During Q3 FY26, EPC revenues grew by 4% YoY, reaching ₹ 4,069 million. This quarter, we commenced execution of our existing orders under BharatNet scheme, which is expected to generate ₹ 4.5 billion over the next 3 years for project execution and an additional ₹ 3.5 billion for 10 years for project O&M. Segment profitability stood at ₹ 272 million, translating to a margin of 6.7%. Looking ahead, the annual sustainable operating margin is expected to remain in the high single digits over mid- to long term.
For the quarter ended 31st December 2025, we are pleased to report that our Company delivered 46% YoY growth in consolidated revenues, driven by strong execution in the Wires and Cables (W&C) segment and healthy growth in the Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) business. EBITDA for the quarter grew by 34% YoY with EBITDA margins at 12.7%. Excluding the one-off impact of ~₹ 219 million on account of gratuity provisioning due to the implementation of the new labour code, the EBITDA margins would have been ~13%. At the PAT level, the Company delivered its highest ever Q3 PAT at ₹ 6.3 billion, reflecting 36% YoY growth. PAT margins stood at 8.3% for the quarter. Finance costs came in at ₹ 687 million, while other income stood at ₹ 505 million. A detailed breakdown of these line items is available on Slide 17 of the presentation. We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet, closing the quarter with a net cash position of ₹ 30.3 billion. On working capital front, same as last quarter, inventory days continue to be higher as we built up inventory in anticipation of strong demand in Q4 FY26.
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