Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q2 FY26
TATASTEEL Tata Steel Ltd · Other Q2 FY26 · concall
Pattern: uk ebitda breakeven guidance

UK 4QFY26-exit-breakeven unwound across four quarters as cost program lands 95% at Rs 10,868 cr.

2 deflections · 1 weak · 24 clean pushback across 3 of 27 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 3 of 27

Vibhav Zutshi · JP Morganweak

Would you reiterate the 4QFY26 guidance of EBITDA breakeven for UK?

If there are no actions from the government, it will be difficult to get EBITDA breakeven by 4QFY26. But if there is some action similar to what is being done in Europe, then of course we can move closer to that. Like I said, all the actions that we had planned we've taken. The cost takeout is as per plan. But the market needs to improve a bit for us to come to EBITDA breakeven. The spreads at this point of time make it very difficult for any amount of positive EBITDA, given the fact that the prices at which steel is currently trading in UK with the imports are very, very unsustainable. If you generally see, the US prices traditionally have been about $100 higher than Europe and Europe has been about $100 higher than India. So, that's been the ladder. Over the last year or so, US prices are almost $200 higher than prices in Europe because of the actions taken in the US. We expect the European prices to start moving towards the US prices, they may not match the US prices but the gap could come down as it is today because of the actions being taken by EU. But in UK, the prices are moving the other way. It's coming closer and closer to prices in India, which is not sustainable for the steel industry in UK.

Ritesh Shah · Investecdeflection

On Tata Steel Netherlands - the JLoI mentions support of up to €2 billion for phase one. Is it possible to give high level thoughts on what could be the capex number? How should we look at TSN from ROCE standpoint, cash flow standpoint and capacity standpoint? And if not for support in phase two, would we still maintain volumes for Tata Steel Europe?

So, Ritesh, if I may, since you wanted high level, I'll keep it high level. The point when you talked about the different feeds of natural gas, hydrogen and biomethane, it is the switchability which will be built in from natural gas to hydrogen to biomethane depending on the economics and the availability at scale of each of these. Natural gas is not a problem because Netherlands is kind of the hub for natural gas. And that's why we're building on it. Earlier when the EC was looking at these decarbonisation projects, they were very insistent on hydrogen, and if you see, some of our peers had gone ahead of us. The agreements or the conditions that EC had given was purely on hydrogen, which is the reason why many of them have gone slow. So, we actually did not want to go that hydrogen route because it's very uncertain on the availability as well as on the economics. So, we were more focused on natural gas, and we have an optionality to auction for biomethane because after hydrogen that is the one, which is being proposed as the next best fuel. Engineering will be known on capex somewhere around, say, May or June. That's my best estimate at this point of time. Because it's a complex process, it has three elements. It has the element on the health issues, which is the coverages. Then, it has the EAF and then it has the DRP. So, there are three sub-parts to that process within the integrated process. So, I think it will be more fair to talk about this somewhere in six months time, by which case the investment case will also be very clear.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capitaldeflection

Is there any ballpark cost number for current captive iron ore mining?

We don't actually comment on any specifics or any product or raw material details, but obviously it's significantly lower than market price.

Other Q&A (24)
Vibhav Zutshi · JP Morgan

On European steel industry in the context of the October 7th protectionist measures and CBAM implementation - some European steel players have talked about higher inquiries from EU customers and a restocking cycle happening next year. How do you see utilisation and prices moving into the next year? And UK is probably not going to be directly benefited from the protectionist policy - some thoughts on that?

Sure, Thanks. Yes, the announcements in Europe have helped the sentiment as far as we are concerned because what Europe is doing is to make sure that the quotas for steel imports are brought down by 50% and have an import duty of 50% on any volumes exceeding the quotas. So, this is a positive move for the European steel industry and in a sense, Europe is actually working hard to have a stronger, resilient steel industry in Europe to take care of Europe's strategic needs, particularly defence and other areas. So, this is part of the plan. So, it's good from Tata Steel Netherlands point of view. We have already started seeing it having a positive impact on the price discussions with customers for the annual contracts for next year. And certainly, as you said, imports have stopped coming, in anticipation of this and the restocking etc., will lead to some positive impact for us in Netherlands, particularly from 4Q. Maybe 3Q is already a bit too late and we are still dealing with the hangover of the last two quarters. But 4Q onwards, we certainly see an improvement in Netherlands. And this also has a long-term impact because these actions are also going to come with melt and pour conditions. So, if you want to participate in the European market, you have to make in Europe rather than make somewhere else and ship slabs to Europe to participate in the potential CBAM-protected market in Europe. So, there are multiple reasons why this is a positive move for Tata Steel Netherlands. As far as UK is concerned, like you said, UK is left out of this. In fact, our discussions with the UK Government is that the UK Government also needs to take some actions. Otherwise, UK will bear the brunt of material which can't find markets in the US and Europe. We've not made headway yet. The government is saying they are looking at it, but that's one of the reasons, as Koushik said, we've struggled with our performance in UK.

Vibhav Zutshi · JP Morgan

On the Neelachal capacity expansion - any timelines with respect to the Board approval? Earlier we were planning to get it by October 2025, any reason for the delay and updated timelines?

The reason is largely related to environment clearances and all the clearances that we need to have, because as per our current way of work, we go to the Board after we've got all the approvals in place. But behind the scenes, the work is going on, engineering, planning and detailing, all that is going on. So, that happens. But the FID will be taken once we have the environment approvals, which we expect in the next few months. There are some forest clearance issues, environment clearance issues, which we are going through. We are pretty advanced in the environment clearance process. We are progressing on it and will take it to the Board once we are in a position. The engineering work is also pretty advanced in many areas. And therefore, we are getting the investment case ready for the Board's review sometime soon.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

Could you share guidance on cost and prices for India, Netherlands and UK separately for the coming quarter? And what is the latest on safeguard duty - the provisional duty has expired and we're yet to see the government notification?

So, if you really look at it from a realisation point of view, our 3Q guidance for India will be about Rs 1,500 per ton lower than 2Q. 2Q was about Rs 1,500 per ton lower than 1Q. So, we had guided Rs 2,000 per ton, but we ended up at around Rs 1,500 - Rs 1,600 per ton. In terms of coking coal prices, we are saying India consumption cost will be about $6 per ton higher in 3Q than it was in 2Q, because it's starting to turn the other way. Coking coal has firmed up a little bit in the last few weeks. As far as the Netherlands is concerned, 3Q guidance just now is about €30 per ton lower in 3Q compared to 2Q but we expect 4Q to be much better because of what I said earlier. Coking coal consumption costs in Netherlands will be down about €5 - €10 per ton, largely because they have more stocks in the system and so, they will be consuming what they bought earlier. As far as UK is concerned, prices are generally seen as a bit flattish, no real drop. But our concerns are the levels at which prices are today rather than the trend of the prices. And that's what we are working with the government on. In terms of safeguard duty, yes, what you're saying is right. The notification I think has expired in November and we are waiting for advice from the government on safeguard. We are working with them and let's see where it takes us, because the larger point is that the steel industry in India is impacted by steel prices internationally and some of the imports which are coming in.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

Given the spot spreads in UK, we are expecting the losses to widen. Is that the right understanding? And Netherlands given pressure on prices at least for 3Q, looking at some softer margins?

In UK, maybe things shouldn't get worse, let me put it that way. We're trying to see how to improve - 2Q was worse than 1Q, but it's not necessary 3Q should be worse than 2Q. We're still working some of that and we're looking to see what help we can get in the Netherlands, maybe some margin compression, but we're again looking to see what we can do there to manage that because, like I said, the coking coal prices are lower. They are also getting some benefit on electricity and some of the other costs in 3Q compared to 2Q. So, they will get some benefit there. In India, well, there is some margin compression, but India will have half a million tons more volume in 3Q than in 2Q. So, we will have a volume upside in 3Q because of the Kalinganagar ramp up.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

In India, is it safe to assume 3 to 3.5 years once we take Board approval for Neelachal expansion timeline? What is the peak level of volumes we can achieve in existing capacity? With Netherlands, next year is the timeline to freeze discussions with the government - so FY28 is when capex actually starts?

Yeah, so I'll start and then Koushik can kind of continue. As far as the volumes are concerned, yes, Kalinganagar is currently running - I mean if I look at it last month, it's running at 7 million tons per annum rate, and it can go up to 8 million tons. So, that's on Kalinganagar. Neelachal is pretty much; you can get another 200,000 - 300,000 tons more once you have all the environment clearances because the existing volumes can go up a bit more. Today, we are limited by the EC levels. We have the Ludhiana plant coming up next year, so that's another 0.8 million tons. We are looking at debottlenecking some volumes in the Gamharia plant, which is the Usha Martin plant, to support our combi mill. And we are also looking at some debottlenecking in Meramandali. So, we will get some additional volumes from all these places in addition to the 0.8 million, which we will get out of Ludhiana. The timeline that you said, yes, post-board approval, 3 to 4 years, certainly we want to complete the Neelachal project before that and try and see if we can do it faster. As far as Netherlands is concerned, we'll finalise the tailor-made agreement sometime next year and the FID will be next year. Then there is a permitting process and post the permitting process, the major spends will start on the site etc. So, I don't see major cash outflow in Netherlands in the next couple of years even after the FID.

Satyadeep Jain · Ambit Capital

On UK - CBAM in UK actually kicks in 2027, one year after EU CBAM. In the context of current imports, what is the process timeline? And the cost savings on network tariffs and power costs from the Rishi Sunak Government - has it already kicked in?

So Satyadeep, two things. One is when you talked about the European part, the European Steel Action Plan that Naren talked about in terms of reduction of quota, tariffs beyond quota etc., and melt and pour is going to kick in from June 2026 because they are currently in the consultation process. Once the consultation is done, various stakeholders give their point of view on if they have to change or modify etc., and then it starts from June. So, that will kick in from June. As far as UK is concerned, at this point of time, the consultation process on CBAM hasn't started. It is in a formulated position, but it has not yet started. They are scheduled to go live one year after the EU CBAM, which is 2027, as you mentioned, but we have not seen that happening. And that is one of the conversations that we are having with the UK Government. We are having conversation with the TRA, the Trade Regulatory Authority, on the quotas. The UK is behind the curve as far as EU is concerned as far as these initiatives are taken. So, if it is 2027, then when in 2027 is not yet determined. So, we are actually trying to get an understanding as to when the consultation process will start, how much time it takes. It normally takes six to eight months, maybe a year. So, we want to kick that off faster and to ensure that it is in time when our EAF comes.

Satyadeep Jain · Ambit Capital

Given it needs to go through a formal study, is there a realistic chance of quota reduction in UK in 2026, or are we looking at 2027 or 2028? On Netherlands Joint Letter of Intent - support of up to €2 billion for phase one but explicitly no tailormade support for phase two. Does this mean government is making clear they will not support expansion beyond phase one?

No, so 2027 - 2028 is simply very late, by which time the UK Government would have also lost a significant amount of money because of what they are managing in the steel industry in Scunthorpe. I think they are working on it and that is the assurance that we have got. The answer is yes on Netherlands. This tailor-made agreement is specifically towards phase one and our commitment is to do the phase one. The phase two is left to the Company to decide as to when and as far as timing, the technology to be used, the project cost to be done etc., is one reason why they also want Tata Steel Netherlands to be significantly profitable to ensure that they can afford to do the phase two whenever it is due. So, that is how the understanding is. There is no commitment on funding and neither a commitment on when we have to do the phase two. So, all the discussion is on phase one.

Vikash Singh · ICICI Securities

On slide 10, you have given guidance to 40 million tons per annum but not the timelines. The flat products are increasing and longs is coming after that - which is the last portion of flat product expansion expected, and what are timelines?

Yeah, so let me put it this way. The sequence is not to do with the time. So, as Koushik said, what we are most ready for is the Neelachal expansion. And the Neelachal expansion is a long products expansion. So, in Neelachal from 1 million tons it will go to about 6 million tons. And from 6 million tons it can go to about 10 million tons. That's the second phase of the Neelachal expansion. Kalinganagar, as we complete 8, we can go to 13 million tons - that's the next phase. And from 13 million tons we can go to 16 million tons. In Meramandali, we are first looking at taking it from the current level of around 5 million tons to about 6.5 million tons and then after that we can go to about 10 million tons. So, in all these areas, the work is going on. In Meramandali, we need to acquire some land. In Neelachal, we are waiting for the ECs etc. and in Kalinganagar also a lot of work is going on in the background. So, all these are at different stages of readiness. And as we mentioned earlier, we will now go to the Board only after we've got all the requisite approvals. And that's why we've kept the timelines a bit open. The second thing I want to say is, we are also pacing our growth depending on the demand growth in India, the profitability and how to pace it, etc. And we are also looking at adding more and more downstream businesses. So, it'll be a mix of both.

Vikash Singh · ICICI Securities

On Netherlands - the free carbon credits are gradually going down. How should we look at cost structure in terms of carbon credits reducing as we start to turn green at a later part?

So, I think the free allowances will come down; started to come down slowly, and we have mitigants. For example, we are using more scrap charge; currently, we are at about 18% - 19%. Our target is to max out on scrap to ensure that we get to it. I would also like to mention that in Netherlands, our CO2 emission as of last quarter, which I just got the number of a couple of days back, is at around 1.6. So, that's kind of one of the lowest. We'd gone down to 1.59 this quarter and last quarter we were 1.6. And we're taking a lot of effort in reducing the CO2 also including usage of scrap as a percentage. And last quarter, we were not able to max out more because of some volume issues. We will go beyond 20%. And once we get to more and more scrap, we will be able to reduce CO2. So, as the natural reduction happens on free allowances, we want to also undertake internal decarbonisation efforts because there is a clear cost advantage to this. So along with our cost transformation program on other cost areas, I think we will continue to work towards reducing the conversion cost in Netherlands, including CO2, energy, natural gas and other costs.

Ritesh Shah · Investec

What is the revenue mix exposure from UK to Europe? And how are we looking to de-risk if there are delays on the UK Government taking a stance?

So, that's about 25% volume on the current basis. I was waiting for who will ask that question, but that's the third lever of the negotiations with the government, because in 2021 the EU and the UK had signed an agreement of no quotas and no tariffs between most of the grades except for some galvanized grades where there are specific quotas. But this new regulation that comes in as a steel plan, will require the UK Government to revise that understanding with the EU. So, that's the third leg of the engagement that we have requested the government to do quickly, which they are cognizant of because that's important.

Rajesh Majumdar · B&K Securities

On the cost takeout - you have already talked about Rs. 5,450 crores in the first half. How much has come from Kalinganagar plant efficiencies and how much more can be expected as we ramp up gradually to full capacities with the value-added segments?

So actually, this is unrelated to capacity utilisation because this is on the baseline. There is some element at capacity utilisation, but largely, it is run in an integrated manner. For example, we run it as one program on, say, stores, spares and maintenance. So, it is not just one side, but it is across the combination. And this combination is actually the power of this program because when our colleagues run it on, say, stores management across four sites, it's much more efficient than managing it across four individual sites, right from procurement to usage, to usage pattern to storage and even inventory etc. So, it's very difficult to give it site-wise, but it is more specific by theme-wise. For example, stores using leaner coal mix or energy efficiently. So, those are the kind of themes we run across sites and that's why organisationally we are consolidated to do that.

Rajesh Majumdar · B&K Securities

You earlier guided about Rs. 2,000 - 2,500 kind of lower costs in Kalinganagar. How much of that is achieved and how much is likely to be achieved over the next few quarters?

So, I think we said Rs. 2,500. I don't think we said site-wise, but we said Kalinganagar - I think we said at one time, as we fully ramp up Kalinganagar there will be a benefit because obviously it's a much more productive site. It's a volume effect. So, that's a per-ton volume effect, which will happen by the end, by the time we exit this year, we should be able to get there and that's our target on the volumes anyways. We had some slowness in the first quarter, but second quarter onwards we have been able to increase our capacity utilisation, and we'll continue to do so in 3Q and 4Q.

Rajesh Majumdar · B&K Securities

On the ferrochrome unit sell-off - we bought this unit just three years ago and earlier proposed a 50% expansion along with CPP and also have the chrome ore mines. Suddenly, you decided to sell this business. What is the problem here?

It is linked to our Sukinda resources. And if you really look at it strategically, if we were to continue Sukinda, one was this whole confusion that happened on the MDPA etc., because Sukinda needed underground mining to sustain itself but the resources, the way we were doing it, was coming to an end. So, if you look at the investments required for underground mining, the ferrochrome market in general globally and the way in which the duty tariff structures etc. works, our call was to exit the mining lease of Sukinda because of the high underground capex. And once we took that decision, it was necessary to rebalance the sources of mining. We have two other mines, more specifically one more mine which is more useful. We do not want to be just a converter without a mine and that is the basis on which we then took a decision to get out of it. And the buyer is consolidating in that space, so it helps him also. Basically, we wanted to limit our production to what we largely need for in-house consumption rather than be in the market because we were surrendering the Sukinda mine and the changes in the MDPA etc. was not making this business as attractive as it was before.

Prateek Singh · DAM Capital Advisors

Given all the uncertainty and volatility in UK and Europe, how confident are we of the level of profitability once the EAF comes in? What kind of EBITDA do we see as doable, given the current environment, current pricing and current raw material costs?

So, if I were to start and then maybe Koushik can add, you know when we did the EAF, the larger point was, we said the cost position of UK will improve by about £150 per ton, okay, because we were taking out a lot of fixed costs, we were using locally available scrap instead of imported iron ore, coal etc. So, which meant that in longer term, with the steel pricing that we've seen in the past, the UK business should be EBITDA positive and should be able to stand on its own because an EAF run operation has much less requirement of support on maintenance and many other things because you don't have the sinter plant, the coke ovens and blast furnace and many other such facilities. So, that hypothesis stands. What we are seeing now is a very abnormal situation, which is coming out of what's happened in the US, what's happened in Europe now, what's happening in China. So, we don't expect these things to stay on forever. On internal cost side, we are on track to what we said we would achieve. But the external aspects, we expect actions to be taken like Europe has already taken to protect the European industry. And as Koushik mentioned, the UK Government is also bleeding because of their investments in the other steel plants in UK. So, we are expecting some resolution to this in the next few months.

Prateek Singh · DAM Capital Advisors

What kind of capacity does UK in particular need? Was there ever a discussion that maybe not put as big a capacity as planned and maybe scale down a bit, given how the environment is?

Yeah, we are comfortable with the current capacity level. I think the issue which has happened in UK is the quotas have not been changed even though the demand has shrunk over the last few years, unlike EU where the quotas have been changed and have been tightened further. So, our submission to the UK Government is, they need to keep realigning quotas, import quotas, to what is the domestic consumption. And I think that's what we expect them to be doing. But otherwise, 3 million tons with maybe 10-15% exports is fine. There's nothing wrong with the capacity in the context of the demand. It's the issue of the imports that has come in. And the UK Government, they were all focusing on infrastructure and that infrastructure, when it actually starts rolling, will require a lot of steel. So, I think there is a policy issue that the government needs to address, which is what is being worked on in terms of growth for the economy itself.

Pallav Agarwal · Antique

On the Ludhiana EAF, what kind of profitability can we look at compared to the standalone Indian operations?

Yeah, so there are a couple of things happening with Ludhiana. Of course, like you said, the profitability will be lower. Typically, an EAF kind of operation in the Indian context, I would say, is more of Rs 5,000 to 7,000 EBITDA per ton kind of thing. But you should look at it in this context also that you're getting almost a million ton for Rs 3,000 crores or less. So, when you look at it from a different angle, that's the equation that we look at. What we're doing in Ludhiana to supplement the margins that would normally be available, is to see how can we reduce costs because of the fact that you're getting scrap from a 200-300 kms radius and you're selling steel in a 200-300 kms radius, right. So, a lot of the logistics costs that we incur when we make steel in Eastern India and ship it to Ludhiana or elsewhere is what we're trying to save. So, there are a number of initiatives on the route to market, the logistics cost, the supply chain costs etc., so that we maximize the revenue potential in that geography. And of course, pretty much all that is produced there is going to the retail market where our realisations are higher than it is in the project market.

Pallav Agarwal · Antique

On the pipe expansion - we were looking to expand from 1 million ton to 4 million tons per annum, but that hasn't come across in the recent presentation. Where are we on that initiative?

Sure. So basically, most of that growth would have come through assets that we would lease. Even today, whether it's in long products or in pipes etc., a lot of our capacity goes to assets that we lease, which means 100% of that capacity is committed to us. So today, I think the pipes business is heading towards 1.5 million tons, which includes the pipe business that we acquired through Bhushan plus all the leased-out capacities. I think I'm not remembering the exact numbers, but maybe 40% to 50% would be our own and the rest would be leased out. So, most of the growth will come through that. We recently invested in a precision tube mill, which has added 100,000 tons of high-quality pipes in Jamshedpur. So, wherever it's high quality, specialized like we have the large-diameter pipes, API pipes, are all available from the Khopoli plant. Wherever it's high end, we will make the investments. Wherever it's regular stuff, where the value is more in our branding and distribution, we will lease out capacity. So, that work is going on. And as our hot rolled coil capacity grows, we will continue to expand the pipe capacity and the ambition is to get to 4 million tons.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

On iron ore - how are you thinking about securing iron ore for Indian assets? Are you looking to get into tie-ups with OMC as well or will it be broadly merchant purchases?

Yeah, so I think we, as we said last time, obviously we already have some iron ore. We have maybe about 500-600 million tons of iron ore with us today, which is available beyond 2030 based on our existing mines which we bought through our acquisitions or through auctions. Second point I want to make is, when we bid for the mines it needs to make sense. There is no point bidding a price at which the cost of iron ore is so high that you'd rather buy it from the market. Third is what you're saying is right. It can't be all spot purchases. So, we are already engaging with OMC, NMDC etc., to look at what could be the arrangements that we could have. OMC is of particular importance to us because a lot of our sites and production and growth is happening in Odisha. Fourthly, we are also looking at various other options depending on what is the cost of iron ore in India. We already have a mine in Canada, for instance, which is very high-quality iron ore, very low alumina iron ore. It's 63% plus Fe while alumina of less than 0.5. So today, we sell from there into Europe etc. We are getting a shipment into India to test out that material. But it's not necessary that we need to have 100% captive. I think we will do that if it makes economic sense.

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama

On domestic demand environment - after many months we're seeing prices much cheaper than landed cost of imports despite safeguard duty. Volumes from JPC seem on a higher side but prices not getting that reflection. Are we seeing excess supply scenario or lower demand affecting prices? And when you have guided Rs 1,500 per ton price decline in 3Q, are we factoring in December no price increase?

Yeah, so see, it's not that demand is not there, demand is quite strong and India is the only major country which is showing double-digit growth in steel consumption. And I think, given the focus on infrastructure building in India, I do expect the demand growth to be more than the GDP growth rate, which is what happens in most developing countries including in China when they were growing. So, if the economy is going to grow at 6.5-7%, steel consumption growing at 10% is to me par for the course. So, demand is not the issue. Obviously, supply side, as you know, when we add capacity we add in big chunks, right. So, we've added 5 million tons, JSW has added something, JSPL has added something. So, you will go through years when a lot of new capacity is coming on stream at the same time. But I do believe in the medium to long-term, it is not going to be easy to build lots of capacity very quickly in India, given the regulatory environment, the approvals that we need to take, the time which takes in India to build a steel plant, etc. So, I expect there to be a better balance going forward and which should get reflected in the prices. The more specific question you had, yeah, this is factoring in November and December. We've not factored in major price increase in December. We are saying that we operate close to November levels. If there's an increase, there's a potential upside to what I just guided. So for now, we've been a bit conservative on this.

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama

On the BlueScope acquisition - enterprise value of something like Rs 22 billion for a company having net profit of Rs 62 crores and Rs 30 crores in last two years. The amount being paid seems much higher on profitability basis - how do you explain that?

Yeah. So, first of all, I think this JV has been making about 19% ROE since inception. Second is, it is a combination of two parts. One part is that we have, this JV company had its own color coating, metal coating facilities. And then, post Bhushan, as per the JV agreement, we had to ensure that the same facilities that were there in Bhushan, in Khopoli etc., were also used by the JV, the substrate of which was passed on by Tata Steel. And that is the arrangement that we had with the JV and the JV partners, which is ourselves as well as BlueScope. And in some ways, there is a split in the profitability because of the transfer pricing etc. So, you do not see the system profitability of this business. You just see, for that part of the business, only the downstream profitability, excluding the transfer price and the markups and so on. So, I think it is important and we were hindered in this segment because we were the first to come in 2005, to grow this business significantly, which is I think in our domain and the leverages and the synergies and network of Tata Steel and enriching the product mix, also fungibility of the product mix between market segments and so on. And that is the basis on which we actually wanted to consolidate. If you look at it from an underlying EBITDA perspective, it is 7x, which from a value-added downstream perspective is what the numbers will effectively look at. So, that is the basis which when post the acquisition you will see it more on a system basis.

Samita Shah · Tata Steel

Chat question on Thailand - despite being an EAF operation, it is highly profitable. Can we expect that kind of profitability, either in India or UK?

Yeah. So, there are two or three things when you look at EAF profitability. About 70% of the cost is scrap, so the price at which scrap is available etc., has a big impact and about 15% of the cost is energy. So, these are the two factors which drive EAF profitability, apart from operating performance etc. In Thailand, what you're seeing is an upsurge because, if you recall, there was an earthquake in Thailand, I think it was around April, there was this viral video which went around of a tall building which collapsed. And you know the conclusion at that time was that a lot of this is happening because of the poor quality of steel, which is used, and the quality standards need to be looked at once again. And because if you use poor quality construction steel, you run the risk of this kind of a thing happening, particularly if there's an earthquake. So, as a consequence, a lot of local production which seemingly were not meeting quality standards had to be closed. And Tata Steel Thailand is seen as one of the best quality producers of steel in Thailand, has a good name, we have the Tata Tiscon brand operating in Thailand as well and they got the benefit of that. That's why you see much better performance than we've seen in the last few years. Certainly, we'll be in a much better cost position than we were before in UK. In Ludhiana, the CO2 footprint of the Ludhiana plant is going to be 0.2 - 0.3 tons of CO2 per ton of steel compared to Jamshedpur, which is the best in India at 2.1 - 2.2 tons of CO2 per ton of steel and Netherlands which is one of the best in the world at 1.6 tons of CO2 per ton of steel.

Samita Shah · Tata Steel

Chat questions on cost transformation - are we on track and what is the number expected for 3QFY26? And given delay in employee-related discussions in Netherlands, are we reducing our target for the year?

So, that looks like an exam question, but I think it is important to mention that our target is the same. I mentioned when we started this that it is an 18-months program. Obviously, the work that can be done is being pursued across the geographies, across teams and across functions. I think we will continue to maintain the secular basis on which we are - we've gone through the first two quarters. The compliance in Netherlands is lower, as I mentioned, because of the employee restructuring going slower than what we had planned. But that is a timing effect and I'm very hopeful and all of us are working with the CWC to ensure that we get to it. But the point is less about QoQ performance, it is more about getting structurally fit. It is about getting the competitiveness in place, so that we become all-weather. I also want to say that the target will also keep changing once we achieve it, there will be more where we want to build a pipeline of it, and we continue this as a journey. Tata Steel India has always done that for about 20 - 25 years. But this time around, we have taken more structural view because we have become multi-site and our capacity has increased significantly.

Samita Shah · Tata Steel

Chat questions on TSN decarbonisation - given political changes in Netherlands, do we expect the government to follow through this commitment? Is 2030 a sacrosanct deadline?

I think, if I look at the way we have built up our conversation with the government and across the political spectrum, it has been largely bipartisan in terms of, across parties because it was a parliament mandated process to get through to the JLoI. Subsequently, when we were signing the JLoI, it had to go back to the Parliament for placement and noting. So, with the political parties being the same, it is certainly the assumption that we are working in, that the government will continue to work on it because it's of national importance and it is something of a commitment. We do have a journey in terms of final negotiations on the binding tailor-made agreement. But I don't think any of us have a doubt that the government will not stand behind what they have signed, the new government. We have to give the time for the new government to form. The election got just over. Unlike in India, it takes a little bit of time, and we must give that and then we will sit down with them on the tailor-made agreement. In the meanwhile, both sides are anyway working at the background on the conditions that needs to be fulfilled.

Samita Shah · Tata Steel

Chat question on leverage targets and how we are balancing leverage or what is our approach towards leverage.

I was wondering when that question will come up. I think we are managing our balance sheet pretty well under the circumstances in the context of our operating cash flows, with all geographies being focused on working capital and profitability. This quarter we had a significant amount of cash outflow on our dividend, which is an obligation that we are clearly focused to fulfil as part of servicing investors. It is important to mention that our Net Debt to EBITDA is at about 3, even with the kind of spend that we have. As I've already said that in the past, that between 2.75 and 3 is where we would like to maintain ourselves on a more sustained basis. At times, when there are significant market challenges or volatility in prices, which impacts the working capital, because steel, coal and iron ore prices do change significantly, especially on the seaborne market, that's the time when we do get beyond that matrix. But largely, 2.75 to 3 is what we would like to maintain. In a mid-cycle period like this or a low mid-cycle period like this. In an up-cycle we are on a different platform. So, we would keep the matrix like that. Any opportunity to deleverage, we'll continue to deleverage. But we also look at where best to apply that capital apart from leverage, in short-term payback period projects or acquisitions like the BlueScope that we've done because that actually effectively will help in consolidating the margin and the footprint and helping our product mix to grow.

Prepared remarks (5 blocks)
Good afternoon, everyone, joining us in India and from the Far East, and good morning to all of you who are joining us from the West. On behalf of Tata Steel, welcome to this call where we will discuss our results for the second quarter of FY2026. We published our results yesterday, and there is also a detailed presentation on our website, which you can refer to if you haven't done already. As always, the entire call will be governed by the Safe harbour clause, which is on page 2 of the presentation. To help you understand the results better, we have with us Mr. T V Narendran, CEO & MD Tata Steel and Mr. Koushik Chatterjee, ED & CFO Tata Steel. They will make some opening comments before we open the floor for questions. Thank you again, and I will request Naren to make his comments.
As Samita mentioned, I'll make a few comments and then handover to Koushik and then we'll do the Q&A. Global dynamics continue to be shaped by tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and elevated steel exports. Chinese steel exports are expected to cross <strong>100 million</strong> tons again this year, and this obviously has an impact on pricing across the world. Amidst this, Tata Steel has delivered strong improvement on QoQ and YoY basis. I'd like to now make some comments on the performance in each geography. In India, our crude steel production was up 8% QoQ and 7% YoY to 5.65 million tons largely driven by ongoing ramp up at Kalinganagar and completion of the relining of the G blast furnace, which was down for almost six months. We continue to stay focused on driving sales, even in a challenging environment and we were able to ramp up sales in line with our production ramp up without having to build inventory. In fact, we increased our domestic deliveries by 20% QoQ - a testimony to the strength of our customer relationships and our marketing and sales network. While average HRC spot prices were down about Rs 2,300 per ton on QoQ, we were able to limit the drop in our net realisations to about Rs 1,700 per ton. We were also able to offset this impact through higher volumes and the ongoing cost transformation which has resulted in an improvement in EBITDA margin by 80 bps to 25%.
The seasonal rains in 2Q impacted construction activity across India but we successfully grew Tata Tiscon volumes by 27% QoQ as our expanding channel network and digital platforms enabled us to leverage insights into customer behaviour and cater to the evolving needs. Industrial Products & Projects deliveries grew by 22% QoQ aided by value accretive segments such as Engineering and Ready-to-use solutions. In the UK, our deliveries stood at ~0.6 million tons, marginally lower on QoQ basis. We continue to work on transforming the business and building the 3 MTPA EAF project at Port Talbot. In Netherlands, Liquid steel production and deliveries were broadly stable QoQ at ~1.7 million tons and ~1.5 million tons, respectively. Our performance was aided by continued improvement in controllable costs. In September 2025, we signed the non-binding Joint Letter of Intent with the Dutch government on an integrated health measures & decarbonisation project. We are committed to working with all stakeholders on resolving the outstanding points before proceeding towards an investment decision. I will now hand over to Koushik for his comments. Over to you Koushik.
Before I talk about the results for the company, I would like to stress on what Naren mentioned that we should consider the backdrop of continuing global macroeconomic uncertainty especially in the context of trade, tariffs, currency and heightened exports, which have crossed <strong>100 million</strong> tons and are likely to move towards 120 million tons in the context of the financial results that has been delivered by the company in the first half of this financial year. Let me now begin with some headline financial performance for the first half ended September 30, 2025, of the current financial year. Our consolidated revenues for the half year were Rs 1,11,867 crores and EBITDA was Rs 16,585 crores at a consolidated EBIDTA of Rs. 11,037 per ton reflecting an EBITDA margin of about 15%. The EBIDTA margin expanded by 280 bps in the first half of this financial year, reflecting our continued focus on the India growth volumes, cost competitiveness and cashflows. Our global cost transformation program continues to deliver tangible results, with around Rs 5,450 crores achieved in the first half and as highlighted on Slide 13 of the presentation, this translates to about 94% compliance to the 1H plan. I will explain a bit more on this later. Turning to the 2Q performance provided on Slide 23 of the presentation. Our consolidated revenues stood at Rs 58,689 crores, up 10% QoQ primarily driven by strong volume growth in India and continued improvement in cost transformation program led to improvement in total costs of ~Rs 1,300 per ton. As a result, EBITDA improved by Rs 1,000 per ton QoQ and this marks an improvement for the second quarter in a row in a very difficult market. Expanding on the cost transformation program, as a company we have delivered an improvement in costs of more than Rs 2,561 crores during the quarter and are on track as planned across geographies. More specifically, in India the cost transformation program achieved full compliance to our 2Q plan with leaner coal mix, optimisation of stores, repairs and maintenance expenses and operating KPIs which delivered cost transformation of Rs 1,036 crores for the quarter. In UK too, the cost transformation was focused on reducing fixed costs in hire & leasing, lower fuel and operating charges. In Netherlands, the program delivered ~Rs 1,059 crores for the quarter. We are on plan in all operating areas such as optimisation of supply chain, procurement and product mix along with other controllable costs. However, we are delayed on the people restructuring timeline and the consequential benefits of the same in this year, as the discussions with the Central Works Council are ongoing. Across geographies, we remain focused on execution of the cost transformation targets for the full year. Let me now provide an understanding of India, Netherlands, and the UK quarterly performance individually. Tata Steel Standalone Revenues for the quarter stood at Rs 34,680 crores and EBITDA was Rs 8,394 crores, reflecting a QoQ improvement in EBIDTA margin of ~80 bps to 24%. As Naren mentioned, our volumes were significantly higher in 2Q and this along with improvement in costs led to an uplift in EBITDA margin. Our wholly owned subsidiary, Neelachal Ispat Nigam Limited recorded ~Rs 260 crores of EBITDA for the quarter, up 17% QoQ and reflecting an EBIDTA margin of 20%. Let me now turn to the UK market and our performance. Amidst the growing trade protectionism across the world, UK remains very vulnerable market as the import quotas of steel across several product grades are higher than the total consumption of the country making it open to cheap imports. In addition, the market demand has shrunk due to a weak economy resulting in decline in domestic prices by more than £150/t since January 2024. UK demand for flat products has declined by 33% since 2018, but the quotas have increased by 20%. In 2025 YTD, UK imports are up 7% YoY, and this has continued to impact prices as well as spot spreads.
As a result of severe market pressure and despite significant cost take out program, the TSUK EBITDA loss has widened from -ve £<strong>41 million</strong> in 1Q to -ve £66 million in 2Q. As an industry in the UK, we have brought the current policy disparity to the attention of the UK Government and are engaged on the subject. Given the current market condition, we are focusing on optimising fixed costs, and they are down £90 million compared with 2QFY25 but on sequential basis, are marginally higher by £7 million due to annual maintenance activity during the quarter. Moving to Netherlands performance, revenues for the quarter were ~€1.5 billion, on improved volumes partly offset by lower realisations. On the costs side, Material costs increased by €75 million QoQ, largely due to inventory drawdown in contrast to a build-up in 1Q. This was largely offset by €72 million reduction in conversion costs, aided by lower employee benefit expenses and emission rights related costs. We are also watching the policy developments in the EU especially on the EU Steel Plan 2.0 announced by the EC as it will have long term ramification on the domestic steel industry in the EU. During the half year, we generated ~Rs 10,000 crores of operating cashflows after interest, tax and working capital. Of this, we spent about Rs 7,000 crores on capital expenditure and paid dividend for FY2025 of ~Rs 4,490 crores. As a result, Gross debt was almost flat with a marginal increase of Rs 842 crores vs. end-March while Net debt stands at Rs 87,040 crores. The net debt has witnessed increase vs. last quarter as it also includes the cash utilised for the dividend paid of ~Rs 4,490 crores. Our Net debt to EBIDTA stands at 3x on a consolidated basis. As part of our strategic realignment following the planned surrender of the Sukinda mining lease, we are optimising our ferrochrome processing footprint. In line with this, we have announced the proposed divestment of our Ferro Alloy Plant located in Jajpur, Odisha. The transaction is signed and is expected to be completed within the next three months, subject to requisite regulatory and stakeholder approvals. We have often stressed about our focus on value added portfolio and hence as part of growing the portfolio in India, we executed yesterday a share purchase agreement with BlueScope Steel Australia to acquire the balance 50% stake in Tata BlueScope Steel Private Limited. The sale is subject to regulatory approvals, and we believe that it will be value accretive as it leverages the synergies with Tata Steel in multiple areas. As Naren mentioned we have recently signed a non-binding Joint Letter of Intent with the Government of the Netherlands and the Province of North-Holland, concerning Tata Steel Nederland's decarbonisation journey. This Joint Letter of Intent is an expression of mutual intent to explore a framework for transitioning to low CO2 steel production. I want to emphasize that this project will be designed and phased in a manner that is financially prudent. Both the Government and Tata Steel have conditions to fulfil and we are working on each of them. There is no material spend in the immediate period and we will talk in more details on the project cost, financing structure and the project phasing closer to the binding agreement next year. We are also looking at prioritisation, optimisation and sequencing of the capex spend such that it is affordable for all stakeholders. The final investment decision on the project will be taken next year after engineering preparedness, completion of the conditions, assessment of the regulatory clearances and negotiations with the new Government in the Netherlands on the tailor-made binding agreement.
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