Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q2 FY26
UCOBANK UCO Bank · Other Q2 FY26 · concall
Pattern: sma provisioning ecl calculations

FY26 credit beat 19.44% vs 12-15% band.

6 weak · 9 clean pushback across 6 of 15 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 6 of 15

Ashok Ajmera · weak

On SMA 1 and 2: you have made a provision of Rs.462 crores. What has gone into this calculation? And on ECL, what kind of calculations have you done and what will be required to meet these guidelines - are we within the comfortable zone?

The second was about the ECL. See, if you look at our June, we have already made some provision on SMA 1 and 2 book of 189 crores, and 190 crores of forward-looking provision was there. So, it is nothing, but we have clubbed that towards ECL. We have not done any calculation. It is same thing. Some additional provision has been made on the book. So, next quarter, we'll be doing a detailed exercise, and then we'll be allocating it to different segments like Stage 1 and Stage 1, like that we will be doing in the next quarter. We'll start doing. But our intent is that before the new norms kick in, we'll have at least baseline provisioning required, baseline provisioning for different, different… So, that baseline provisioning should be available within the bank. If you look at our SMA 1 book, it's more than 1 crore. More than 1 crores, one book is around 1,700 crore only more than 01 to all. So, 01 to 1,790 crores, I think this much is only… Yeah, Rs.1,720 crore. So, per se, this provision is applicable to the entire portfolio, and even below 1 crore also we'll be spreading it, so that next quarter we'll be doing a detailed exercise. This quarter we have just clubbed it and marked it towards ECL going forward. In total, we have around Rs.1,000 crores of excess provision, which is by way of a COVID-19 Rs.530 crores and around Rs.462 crores towards ECL, which we have captured this time in our notes also. So it is declared in our notes that around 1,000 crores is additional provision, over and above RBI-mandated provision that is lying in our books.

Ashok Ajmera · weak

On DTA: because of carry-forward losses, we have a huge DTA of Rs.5,258 crores. With this kind of profitability of 620-650 crores per quarter, is there any calculation done by what time we can go under the new regime of taxation by setting off the entire DTA?

I think, we have another two years. 2027, 2028, we should be going into the… Because now as we are going forward, 83% of the portfolio is already provided for our tangible PCR. So, that provisioning requirement will come down. So, once the provisioning requirements are coming down, naturally we will have an opportunity to declare more profits. And then as you declare more profits, more reversal will be there. So, hopefully in the next two years, we will be consuming it.

Sushil Choksey · weak

On Treasury gains - is it sustainable? I understand equity is also contributing well through capital market gains.

Okay, IPO. IPO opportunities are always there, and we are regularly participating in IPO opportunities also. That we are already in. Recently also there were 2-3 good IPOs we participated in, and definitely we had a good gain in those IPOs. So that opportunity base wherever is there, we'll continue to encash on those opportunities. We are very active in it.

M.B. Mahesh · weak

Can you give the SMA 0, 1 and 2 for the overall bank as well - not just above 1 crore but for the entire portfolio? And can you split it between SMA 0, 1, and 2?

I think more than… if I have to give one full number, it should be in the range of 5,000 crores. It should be in the range of 5,000 crores. SMA 0, 1, 2, if you asked me, SMA 0 should be… more than 50% should be in the SMA 0, and around 50% should be in SMA 1 and 2. Overall number should be… I don't have an exact number. It should be in the range of, I think, Rs.5,000 or 6,000 crore. It should be in this range only.

M.B. Mahesh · weak

On ECL transition provisions - if there is a shortfall when it is implemented in 2028, does the provision go through the P&L or through the net worth?

If we make provision, it goes to the P&L. If we make provision, it goes to the P&L. On advances and wherever we make the provision. Okay, during that time? Entire amount will not go to the P&L. Entire amount will go to the P&L, and it will be adjusted to the capital. A little bit of capital will be used.

M.B. Mahesh · weak

What is the outstanding stock of technically written-off accounts, and what is your current expectation of recovery from that book?

See, it's total written-off, it's in a? 24,000 crore - 25000 crore. See, recovery is very… a number giving out of that number will be difficult because recovery number we are giving every year based on our assessment at what level of resolution that asset is. So when we look at our… technical write-off is around 26,000 crore.

Other Q&A (9)
Ashok Ajmera ·

On credit growth for FY26: half-year has been comparatively slower. What is the sanction pipeline and how are we going to meet the target? In our corporate book there is a fall of about Rs.4,000 crores - are we rebuilding corporate or continuing with the Retail-only approach?

See, so far as credit growth is concerned, you will find that our Retail, Agri, MSME is growing well. In Corporate, we have de-grown. And if you look at our Corporate where we have de-grown, if you go a little deeper into that, more than Rs.2,000 crores is from PSU segment. So, basically that is because of the yield pressure. So, when we wanted to give them at a higher price, they had the option of taking it at a lower price from some other competitive banks or peer banks. So, we did not agree to the lower pricing, and we thought that instead of bringing our NIMs under pressure, it is better to not go for a top-line growth without having any margins in the yield. So, that was the intent, and because of that only… and there were certain IBPC which were there, which became due for payment, but we did not agree for the pricing which they were offering. So, now the balance sheet is totally free of IBPC; there is no IBPC outstanding as on date. So, because of this only, there was a de-growth. But if you look at previous quarters, every time there was a growth in Corporate credit book also. And so far as the next half-year is concerned, let me also tell you that around 17,000 to 18,000 crores sanctioned pipeline is there. It is again subject to agreement on the pricing. If we agree to the pricing or corporates agree to the pricing, we will be able to lend them. Otherwise, we look for more and more new opportunities, which are now, I think, available in the market in various renewable segments, your data centre, your battery swap segment, this smart metering. So, a number of opportunities are there in the market where we are targeting new business opportunities.

Ashok Ajmera ·

Our income this quarter has gone down - non-interest income is under pressure because Treasury income went down from 198 crores to 104 crores and recovery from written-off accounts is also about 45-50 crores lower. Can you comment on the profitability trajectory?

Yes, Treasury non-interest income, if you look at fee-based income, there is a growth in fee-based income. But because of Treasury and write-off recovery, you can see. Every quarter we cannot have same set of recoveries, that whatever we recovered. If you remember in March, we had a bumper recovery from one account, and that helped us to register a good amount of total overall recovery and a good amount of profitability also. So, that is the reason we have already reduced our target of recovery because that was expected in this last quarter. But if you look at overall recovery, including upgradation, recovery, and written-off, we are well within our guidance given, right? In spite of our slight reduction in Treasury income and in non-interest income, our Operating Profit has grown. So, that clearly shows that other channels have participated maybe NII or fee-based income. That's what led to the growth in our operating profit also.

Ashok Ajmera ·

We have a recovery through the NCLT resolution of 104 crores in this quarter. Can you throw some light on that and what are the recovery prospects in the remaining two quarters on that?

Yes. Yes, that is, I think in a few accounts it has come, and two accounts are already in pipeline where maybe in the next quarter, we'll get some recovery. It's five accounts, and through resolution, it has come Rs.104 crores. Other than Rs.104 crores, it is through a SARFAESI action or normal recovery or upgradation. So, out of total recovery of Rs.758 crores, which we have reported as Rs. 792 crore. Out of Rs.792 crore, only Rs.104 crore is through NCLT. Other recoveries are through SARFAESI actions or recovery and upgradation efforts by the branches.

Ashok Ajmera ·

On the government security NARCL SR - there is a note on 274 crores SR where you have applied revised norms. How much in absolute terms has come into P&L in this quarter because of that?

No impact on P&L. This SR is basically a government-guaranteed line with the RBI guidelines. This 275 crore pertaining to government-guaranteed SRs has been deducted from the capital. So, accordingly, the capital positions has been reduced. No, no impact on P&L.

Sushil Choksey ·

You are showing very good growth on car loans and new segments. Now with new RBI credit guidelines, co-lending and new policies CLM 1 and 2, what kind of initiatives are we taking to energize our RAM sector on a higher trajectory?

See, Sushil ji, you are right that car loan has been growing well. We have revamped our product in housing loan, car loan also. And that segment is growing well now. In light of new RBI guidelines on co-lending, we have started looking at certain tie-ups with certain NBFCs to enter into some relationship with them so that this co-lending thing can be taken further. As far as at present is concerned, we have a co-lending exposure. Currently, we have a co-lending exposure of Rs.2,100 crores. And we expect that in light of the new guidelines, we should enter into relationship with more and more NBFCs and take it forward. Pool exposure is around Rs.10,700 crores. But the target will be that we enter into a co-lending where we have more control and visibility about the customers to whom we are onboarding.

Sushil Choksey ·

In market activities where M&A financing is at boom, you have international positions from Singapore and Hong Kong. Do you see traction from that segment this year? And on retail products - share advances and IPO financing?

See, this new announcement made by RBI, I think it is definitely going to open up a new stream for the banking sector as such. So once the guidelines are in place, I think we should be open to looking at the opportunities for participating in those M&A activities, having our presence in Singapore and Hong Kong. We should be very keenly looking at those opportunities. Yeah, GIFT City. We have already got approval from Reserve Bank of India to open GIFT City branch. And now we are getting all the infrastructure in place. So once the GIFT City comes into play, at that time, GIFT City will be a major contributor to this segment. And then third one? Capital market. Capital, yeah. IPO financing, yes, definitely this is an area which is, I think, a very interesting area. We should be looking at getting into this area. We have not yet ventured into this, but definitely we will be looking into this area now.

Sushil Choksey ·

What is your outlook on global NIM and domestic NIM, and also on balance between Corporate and RAM?

See, Corporate and RAM, we have given a guidance of 61% to 63% in RAM and 37% Corporate. We'll continue to have that guidance of 61% to 63%, though we are at 65%. The 65% is basically because of some reduction in our Corporate by 4,000 crores this quarter, otherwise we were at around 63%. And second, on global NIM and domestic NIM. Earlier, global NIM, we have given a guidance of 3% to 3.10%, but subsequently in June, there was a sharp reduction in repo cut by RBI. So we have revised our guidance to 2.80% to 2.90% for global NIM and 3% to 3.10% for our domestic NIM.

Sushil Choksey ·

What is our digital spend and what is your outlook on Treasury for the year?

See, digital, I've already told, our target is around Rs.1,000-odd crores in this year, out of which Rs.275 crores is already spent, and another Rs.370-odd crores projects are in pipeline, which are under ordering stage or RFP stage. Further, new projects will come. So I believe that by the year-end, we'll be spending around Rs.800 to 900 crores in the digital spend. That is one. Number two, in the Treasury, if you look at Treasury, we have slightly built our book in this quarter. Earlier, our total book was around… the investment book was around Rs.91,000-odd crores, and now it is Rs.94,000 or 95,000 crores. So to take advantage of the slightly higher yield during this quarter, we have built some portfolio. And hopefully, whenever there is an opportunity in the times to come, either some repo cut is coming or some other treasury yields are falling, that time we'll have an opportunity to make use of those securities and to book some profit on those securities.

Sushil Choksey ·

How are you positioning for a likely commodity boom - gold, silver, minerals? Are you capitalizing in East where many commodity companies are headquartered? And what about green energy financing?

First, let me tell you green financing, we have a very good appetite for green financing. I think in last two years we have already done around Rs.3,000 crores of sanctions, and Rs.3,000 is outstanding. So this is again done in last almost two years. But two years prior, we don't have much exposure. We are into that Surya Ghar Yojana also, EV financing also. These are the small chunks which are adding to the renewable segment. And now coming to minerals, I'll say though we are there, we have customers who are dealing in all those commodities. So we are ready to explore the funding opportunities in those commodities to those customers who are into manufacturing lines, and we'll try to avoid the customers who are into speculative trade in these commodities.

Prepared remarks (4 blocks)
Thank you. I welcome you all analysts and investors, to this post-September quarterly results call of UCO Bank. Along with me, I have our EDs, Mr. Saboo and Mr. Kamble; the top management team, including CFO, CRO, and all other executives. First of all, I welcome you all to this Analyst Meet. Just to give you a brief on the bank's performance in this quarter and half-year ended September '25: Business of the bank grew by <strong>13.23%</strong>, of which deposit growth was 10.85% and credit growth was 16.56%. CASA Deposit grew by 9.53%, Savings growth was 7.50%, and Current deposit growth was 23.94%. We were able to maintain CASA at 38.11%, and the guidance for CASA given was 37-38%. Consistently, our CASA has been in the range of 37-38% for the last almost 2 years. When we look at our credit growth, within the credit, our RAM growth, Retail, Agri, MSME put together, grew by 22.87%. Within the RAM, Retail growth was 25.4%, and Retail growth was supported by housing loan growth of 18.94%, vehicle loan growth of 72.87%, and agriculture was 17.28% growth, and MSME grew by 23.8%. Our RAM percentage increased to 65.23% of the total advances. Now, coming to the profitability parameters, our Operating Profit for the quarter ended September '25 stood at Rs. 1,613 crore, registering a growth of 12.64%. Net Profit stood at Rs. 620 crores with a growth of 3% on a YoY basis. Our Operating Profit growth and Net Profit was supported by growth in Net Interest Income the growth of which was 10.08% for the quarter ended September '25 and fee-based income growth was also more than 10% on Q-o-Q basis. Our Net Interest Margin, global, stood at 2.90%, and domestic NIM stood at 3.08%. This NIM is calculated excluding one-time interest income of Rs. 107 crores, which was realized in a TWO account. This was an exceptional item, so that has been excluded. If that is included, our global NIM and domestic NIM improves by more than 15 bps. Now, coming to asset quality, our Gross NPA has reduced by 62 bps on a YoY basis to 2.56%, and Net NPA has reduced by 30 bps on a YoY basis to 0.43%. Our PCR further improved to 96.99%; tangible PCR excluding TWO improved to 83.68% as against 77.65% the year before. Total recovery and upgradation for the quarter ended was Rs. 792 crores, and previous quarter it was Rs. 756 crores. For the half-year ended, total recovery and upgradation was Rs. 1,548 crores against a full-year target of Rs. 2,200 to Rs. 2,700 guidance we had given. Now, coming to the slippage ratio, the slippage ratio for the quarter ended September '25 was 0.26%; annualized, it was 1.05%. It is again within the guidance given of 1% to 1.25%. When we look at the slippage, slippages are mainly this quarter from agriculture, Rs. 238 crores, basically because of the KCC portfolio. Half-yearly there is a phenomenon; last year also, same quarter it was Rs. 206 crores; this quarter it is Rs. 238 crores. Apart from that, the slippages are under control, and overall slippage ratio remains within the guidance given by the bank. When we look at SMA position more than Rs.1 crore, and all three categories SMA 0, 1, and 2 more than 1 crore, put together is Rs. 1,790 crores, and that works out to 0.77% of our total advances. When we look at restructured portfolio, our restructured portfolio has been consistently coming down. Normal restructured portfolio as per RBI guidance, September '24, it was Rs. 2,786 crores; now it has come down to Rs. 1,501 crores, which works out to be 0.65% of the total advances. Apart from that, COVID-19 restructured portfolio, that was Rs. 1,718 crores in September '24; it has come down to Rs. 1,283 crores in September'25, that is again substantial reduction is there. So, overall restructured portfolio, both the schemes put together, is Rs. 2,784 crores only. Then, coming to our key financial ratios, our cost of deposit has been contained, and it has come down from 4.88% in September '24 to 4.73% in September '25. Though our CASA is around 38%, but we are able to manage our cost of deposit well by managing our liquidity on an ongoing basis. Similarly, our cost of fund also has come down by 22 bps over one year from 4.79% to 4.57%. Cost-to-income ratio, which used to be very high at once upon a time at around 61%, has been consistently coming down; now it is 52.79% in this quarter. Our yield on advances on domestic is now at 8.39%; yield on investment is 6.85%; it has improved from the last quarter. Our business per employee has also improved from Rs. 22 crores a year before to Rs. 25 crores. Business per branch has also improved from Rs. 145 crores to Rs.
<strong>161 crore</strong>s in this year. Now, coming to the capital adequacy ratio of the bank, capital adequacy ratio of the bank has been consistently strong, and this quarter also without adding profitability for the half year ended September '25, our capital adequacy ratio stood at 17.89%, and with tier 1 capital of 15.90%. CD ratio has improved to 75.47% as against 71.77% a year before. So there is an improvement in the CD ratio as well, and this CD ratio is again within the guidance we have given at the start of the year. Most of the parameters, whatever guidance we have given at the beginning of the year in business performance, as deposit growth, target guidance was 10% to 12%; our achievement is 10.85%. Credit growth our guidance was 12% to 14%; achievement is 16.56%. CASA percentage was 37% to 38%; achievement is 38.11%. RAM percentage we projected 61% to 63%; we have achieved 65%. CD ratio was in the guidance of 75% to 77%; we had 75.47%. Credit cost less than 1%; our credit cost is 0.72%. NIM global was 3% to 3.10%, which we have revised to 2.8% to 2.9% in view of the sharp reduction in repo rate by Reserve Bank of India; that now we started 2.90%. Gross NPA our year-end projection is at 2.50%; we have already reached 2.56%, and we are poised to improve to below 2.50% by the year-end. Net NPA our guidance was less than 0.35%; we have already reached 0.43%. We are still two quarters, and we are confident that we will be achieving this Net NPA ratio also. Total slippage ratio was also 1% to 1.25%; now our ratio is 1.05%. Recovery and upgradation our guidance was 2,200 to 2,700; achievement is 1,548 crores. Now, I will come to the various initiatives the bank has taken and which are under pipeline. And you all know that we started Project Parivartan, a digital transformation in last year September, and till now we have already digitized 27 digital journeys across Retail, MSME, Agri, and all liability products. 5 more journeys are in pipeline. The bank's total digital business has reached Rs.10,554 crores as on 30th September 2025. Our mobile banking users have increased from 14 lakh in March '23 to 57 lakh in September '25. Our mobile banking rating, mobile banking app rating on Google Play Store has improved, and it is consistently now at 4.8. We introduced tab banking in the last financial year in March to all the branches. Today, around 57% of our accounts are opened through tab banking in the branches. WhatsApp banking was also launched last year. Today, when we speak, WhatsApp banking user base has increased to 15 lakh, and now we are offering 46 services in five languages: Hindi, English, Bengali, Assamese, and Odiya to our customers. In IT, number of new initiatives are also planned which are underway in this half-year, coming half-year, and the next year, like performance monitoring software, cyber security vault, near DR at Kolkata, robotic process automation, omni-channel interoperable credit, cardless cash withdrawal, and Android ATMs. So, against that budget of around Rs.1,000 crores which we have kept for the IT enhancement, Rs.270 odd crores has already been spent; another 300-odd crores is in pipeline; may be by December, we will be spending that also. So that is also on track. Now, various other initiatives are being planned which are underway: that is Murex Treasury solution, which we started last year; now it is going to be live in the next quarter by December. We have also planned to launch our CASA back office for onboarding of new customers. DMS is already on way. Consolidation of data centre is already in process. Video KYC will be launched soon. We are also launching Capital Market Cell for various activities. Tie-up with various mutual funds are being explored to the boost our fee-based income. Branch expansion plan which is approved by a board, we are now planning to have 150 more branches by March. Plus, on that employee side also, a lot of initiatives are being taken. Bank is recruiting more and more skilled manpower to support the new realities of today's world, like in IT, digital, and also in cyber security. AI/ML-driven grievance redressal system is being introduced; we have already created AI/ML cell, and now we are exploring use cases where we can use AI/ML in a big way. To enhance our customer service, we have revamped our Uday chatbot also with live agent and balance inquiry, mini statement, etc.
Business of the bank grew by <strong>13.23%</strong>, of which deposit growth was 10.85% and credit growth was 16.56%. CASA Deposit grew by 9.53%, Savings growth was 7.50%, and Current deposit growth was 23.94%. We were able to maintain CASA at 38.11%. RAM growth, Retail, Agri, MSME put together, grew by 22.87%. Within the RAM, Retail growth was 25.4%, and Retail growth was supported by housing loan growth of 18.94%, vehicle loan growth of 72.87%, and agriculture was 17.28% growth, and MSME grew by 23.8%. Our RAM percentage increased to 65.23% of the total advances. Operating Profit for the quarter ended September '25 stood at Rs. 1,613 crore, registering a growth of 12.64%. Net Profit stood at Rs. 620 crores with a growth of 3% on a YoY basis. Net Interest Income the growth of which was 10.08% for the quarter ended September '25. Our Net Interest Margin, global, stood at 2.90%, and domestic NIM stood at 3.08%. This NIM is calculated excluding one-time interest income of Rs. 107 crores. If that is included, our global NIM and domestic NIM improves by more than 15 bps. Gross NPA has reduced by 62 bps on a YoY basis to 2.56%, and Net NPA has reduced by 30 bps on a YoY basis to 0.43%.
Our PCR further improved to <strong>96.99%</strong>; tangible PCR excluding TWO improved to 83.68%. Total recovery and upgradation for the quarter ended was Rs. 792 crores. For the half-year ended, total recovery and upgradation was Rs. 1,548 crores against a full-year target of Rs. 2,200 to Rs. 2,700. Slippage ratio for the quarter ended September '25 was 0.26%; annualized, it was 1.05%. SMA 0, 1, and 2 more than 1 crore, put together is Rs. 1,790 crores, and that works out to 0.77% of our total advances. Cost of deposit has come down from 4.88% in September '24 to 4.73% in September '25. Cost of fund also has come down by 22 bps over one year from 4.79% to 4.57%. Cost-to-income ratio is 52.79% in this quarter. Capital adequacy ratio stood at 17.89%, and with tier 1 capital of 15.90%. CD ratio has improved to 75.47% as against 71.77% a year before.
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