Mahrukh Adajania · Nuvama
I had a couple of questions. Firstly, how much of your deposit, retail deposits would have already repriced? I know it's over a year of repricing, I mean the repricing cycle, but how much? 15%, 16%? How much of your term deposits would have already repriced? That's my first question. And related to that, where do you see the bottom of your margin? I know that you may have a full year margin guidance, but they may fall and then they may rise. So, where will the fall settle? That's the second question in your assessment. And then again related to that, so the current account deposits have declined very sharply. I know there has been some reclassification as was evident by the business update you gave a few days ago. So, is it fair to assume that it was these deposits which caused the March '25 numbers to change in the Quarterly business update? So, were the current account deposits reclassified as borrowing? So, that's the spread related question. And then I have one PSLC question. If you could explain why the PSLC income fully disappeared and then with the new clarification on the gold loan circular, in what quantum do you see it coming back and when? So, these were my questions.
Yes, so I think roughly if I take on the base of March 25, close to 20% of the retail term deposits would have got repriced as of now, because roughly 80% to 85% of repricing is happening during the year given the average duration of the retail term deposit is around 1.2, 1.25 years. That is number one. On the reclassification, it is more on the deposits in the foreign branches and which was disclosed also while we disclosed the provisional numbers. So, far as the current deposit is concerned, while you are comparing with the March numbers, in March, there is some flow also into corporate and government accounts. Because of that, the number is high, which is not with a similar extent during the June quarter. So, that is the usual thing. March numbers are generally high in the current account. Yes, as I said, on the margins for the full year, we are expecting 20 to 25 basis point impact on the margins. 11 basis point we have already witnessed in Q1. And in the roadmap wise, if I look at what could be the minimum that we can hit, maybe somewhere between 260 to 265 is the range where we can hit at the minimum level. And from there, we should be able to bounce back effectively around 20-25 basis point for the year. And on the PSLC, this quarter, we have not done any PSLC. We are aware of the guidelines of Reserve Bank of India, and we are evaluating it as a part of our business strategy. And going forward, if the opportunity comes and we feel is good income to book, we will be doing that.
Jay Mundra · ICICI Securities
Yes. Hi. Good evening, sir. Two questions. First is, there is a standard assets provisioning of Rs. 446 crores, while the loan book growth has not been that high. If you have any, is there any chunky loan or is this something specific, if you can elaborate this?
Good evening, Jay Mundra. This particularly because some of the assets which we felt that where the ECL was not implemented, there is no overdue as on date, but we were required to maintain a higher provision. So, these accounts where we have made some provisions as per the ECL guidelines. So, that is why our standard provision has gone up.
Jay Mundra · ICICI Securities
Okay. And sir, these are private accounts, right? Not the state government or quasi-PSU accounts? Sir, I was asking about these specific accounts, these are private entity or these are PSU, state government, just to assess the riskiness?
So, these are not private entities.
Jay Mundra · ICICI Securities
Okay. And sir, related to this, I mean, on standard account, in the last, have you done any OTS or can we do an OTS in the standard account?
Yes, as per the present policy, we don't go for any settlement with the standard account.
Jay Mundra · ICICI Securities
And sir, lastly, on the yield, if you can share the mix of MCLR, EBLR and TD Linked portfolios and in your assessment, how should one look at the residual impact of June rate cut on the yields on advances? So, this quarter yields on advances are down by 22 basis points, should this decline by similar quantum or higher quantum or lower quantum?
We have almost 48% of our portfolio is under EBLR. So, their complete rate transmission has already happened and remaining 42% we have our MCLR linked rate and 10% other rates are there. So, in the case of the EBLR, transmission has already happened and that has given the impact of around 11 basis points. We have already reduced our MCLR by 15 plus 10 basis points. So, total reduction in the MCLR also has happened to the extent of 25 basis points. Subsequently, I don't think there will be much reduction on the MCLR side. Even if the MCLR happens, then also our maximum impact on the NIM will be to the extent of not more than 20 basis points for the September quarter. But as you know that there is 100 basis points CRR cut is already announced by RBI in the second half. So, that will compensate our interest loss and most likely you will be able to manage between 10 to 15 basis points of reduced NIM as compared to our March '25.
Rakesh Kumar · Valentis Advisors
Yes, hi. Thank you, sir. So, firstly, sir, from PSLC, just clarification that last year we had sold around Rs. 50,000 crore of small and marginal farmer PSLC and we could get the income of Rs. 1,100 crore kind of number. And it was kind of in the first quarter itself I think. So, one thing is that because of Agri Gold, does it really impact your SMF PSLC thing?
Most of the Agri loans are below Rs. 2 lakh actually and given to small and marginal farmer, but subsequently the RBI came out with a guideline that up to Rs. 2 lakh loan cannot have any collateral security and Gold is also, considered to be the collateral security in that case. This guideline has been revised by the RBI just recently and that is why that small and marginal farmers in Agri was reduced and overall portfolio of the Agri has come down by 9%. Because of that we were not able to sell any PSLC in the 1st quarter.
Rakesh Kumar · Valentis Advisors
Probably, looking at Indian Bank, Canara Bank, they also, do a lot of PSLC income and generally in the 1st quarter and sometime in the 4th quarter also. So, considering what peers are doing on the PSLC front and yourself, it gives us a feeling that kind of income might not come in this full entire year?
Yes, if you say whether we will be able to get the Rs. 950 crores of income through PSLC, considering the present situation and the available portfolio, we don't foresee the same type of income, but definitely going forward there may be some income that will be generated on PSLC itself. What will be the exact amount and all, these are again the market determined rates and these rates are not fixed at any point of time. So, based on the market, we will be able to book some profit.
Rakesh Kumar · Valentis Advisors
Very good. And sir, this interest income on tax refund which was not there in the 1st quarter previous year, this quarter also, we have very small number and full year we had around again Rs. 1,000 crore kind of a number in the previous fiscal year. So, could we achieve that kind of number in the rest of the fiscal year FY '26? Is it possible or that number would also, remain kind of weak or absent in the remaining quarters?
So, as far as that is concerned, we do have estimation that there will be interest on income tax refund during this year and we are quite comfortable in terms of being close to Rs. 500-Rs. 1,000 crores mark. So, that is fine and as far as your early question on PSLC is concerned, while that may not materialize, but we have looked at alternatives available. So, we will be able to make up that fee income from other streams. So, we do have a plan in place for that.
Rakesh Kumar · Valentis Advisors
So, from PSLC itself you will make up because you are? And one thing like when we do the recovery of written-off accounts and whatever the interest income we get from, that proportion has been coming down as the number of total recovery being done on the written-off book, So, that number progressively has been coming down. So, what is the structural change that is happening in interest income on the written-off recovery number? Why that ratio is falling?
That is not the interest on written-off account. Basically, that is the interest on the NPA account as per which is recovered. So, whenever the settlement is happening towards the principal amount and if the recovery is coming through settlement, then interest recovery will be less. And if recovery is coming through without settlement, in the sense if part amount is paid by the borrower, then that will be adjusted towards the interest and if the recovery is coming through the SARFAESI actions, then again it will go towards the interest. But since in that case what is happening actually if you see, the recovery is getting delayed. So, what bank also, decided to go for some OTS settlement, it is the best recovery mechanism where the percentage of recovery is also, good. So, instead of waiting for a long period, we are going for the settlement and where the recoverability is better. So, that is where the interest income on NPA is coming down. However, bank is still working on that for improving that income also.
Rakesh Kumar · Valentis Advisors
Correct. Because why I am asking because in absence of all these non-recurring numbers, the ROA is looking quite weak. So, as compared to 1.25% ROA number last fiscal year, how do we see that number now in this FY '26?
No, So, even last year which is for '24-25, we have given guidance that our ROA will be above 1% and this year also, we will aim to have an ROA which is above 1%. That is something that we have also, conveyed to our investors and analysts in the 1st quarter.
Ashlesh Sonje · Kotak Securities
Hi team, good afternoon. Sir, firstly you have taken savings account rate cuts in the month of July. Can you tell us what is the effective cut in your overall SA deposits because of this cut?
In SA, we have reduced by 25 basis points.
Ashlesh Sonje · Kotak Securities
And secondly, if I look at your slippages in the MSME segment, they have remained elevated this quarter as well? Last quarter, you had indicated that they were high because of some logic changes, but they have not declined in this quarter either. Can you give more details?
This quarter, overall slippages number has come down as compared to the previous quarter. But yes, as you say, there is a marginal increase in the MSME NPA percentage has increased from 4.14 to 4.39. But overall slippages has come down and we are able to manage the large corporate also, there is a decline and the retail also, there is a decline. But in MSME also, large slippages are not there, nominal slippages have happened only.
Ashlesh Sonje · Kotak Securities
Understood. And sir, on your MCLR linked loan book, I understand that you have taken cuts in the MCLR rate now, but would there be any part of the book which would still be repricing upward in the June quarter?
No.
Gaurav Jani · Prabhudas Lilladher
Thank you for taking my question. I just had a question on the yields and related to the kind of sequential loan growth that you guys have seen. So, on a sequential basis, we have seen a sharp decline in corporate while retail has grown well. Having said that the yields have come up to about 25% quarter, So, what would explain this sharp reduction of yields despite of a decent growth in retail? And corresponding to that, there is another component of retail which has been growing pretty sharply, So, what would constitute that? That is my first question.
See, that 20 odd basis points reduction in yield that you are talking about is basically reflective of EBLR change which is by the 100-basis point and as we shared that close to 50% of the loan portfolio is on EBLR where the pass-through has been immediate. And in fact, also, on the MCLR loan book in phases, till now we have already done 25 basis point of reduction. That is the key reason of fall in the yield on advances. And you are very much aware that in the declining rate scenario, the first impact is on the asset side and then with the lag it comes on the deposit side.
Gaurav Jani · Prabhudas Lilladher
Can you quantify the gold book, sir, right now versus a year ago?
Today, we have around Rs. 83,700 crores in the gold loan book as of 30th June. June 24 it was around Rs. 78,000 crores and now it is Rs. 83,700 crores.
Gaurav Jani · Prabhudas Lilladher
Understood. Last question, sir, on the EBLR side, right, So, we have an immediate reprice, that is T plus 1 or is it T plus 30 or T plus 90, how does it happen, sir?
No, sir, you can say it is immediate. It is a matter of 2-3 days kind of thing because there is an internal ALCO date and the policy date. That differential could be 2-3 days. That is the only thing.
Rohan · Equirus Securities
Sure. And sir, look at the HTM portfolio. That thing has declined by 9%-10% sequentially. And if I understand it right, after the change that happened on the regulations last year, one can sell up to 5% of HTM. So, is that understanding correct? Or if you can explain what is that and what is the outstanding area of reserve as of June end?
So, I think HTM, you are right in saying that in the HTM book, because of the OMOs, we have participated, and you have seen that that profit was there in our book. So, this is because of OMO, there is a reduction in the HTM book. The outstanding AFS reserve, it will be around Rs. 1,500 crores.
Sushil Choksey · Indus Equity Advisors
Good evening. Good luck for the year. My first question is to defend the NIM guidance, besides RAM, how do you see you will protect the margin? Because I am sure that low-yielding advances you have shredded, which means government accounts like NABARD, NABFID, SIDBI, PFC, REC is not of our interest.
Yes, Chokseyji, if you are looking at it, other than RAM also, if you are looking at, we are already having proposals sanctioned under disbursement stages, projects to the extent of around Rs. 51,000 crores are there, where the projects are going up and the disbursements are happening, which this all will be under the MCLR, which will be giving a better yield for the bank. Number two is we also, are in the pipeline where around Rs. 20,000 crores are there, which are in the various stages of sanction. So, we find that this will be always giving a stable income. And that is what I am saying, whatever, even if it comes also, this is what we are doing it. We are only substituting that with the lower advances actually. Whenever any opportunity comes, we try to run down the lower yield advance.
Sushil Choksey · Indus Equity Advisors
Sir, what is our digital spend likely to be this year? Second is our treasury income and how are you seeing the FX income, which we have shown in the previous 24 months, likely to shape up for this year and what are we doing to strengthen our HR?
Yes, on the digital and tech expend, this year's budget is close to Rs. 1,500 crores. Last year, we have utilized around Rs. 1,000 crores. And on the HR side, multiple initiatives are underway, in terms of employee re-skilling, training, performance management, grooming, all these things are being taken care of. Treasury part particularly, Q1 was very different because of the RBI actions and initiatives. That trend, I don't think we will be able to see in the remaining part of the year. So, the treasury income should moderate significantly going forward. FX should remain stable around this level.