Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q2 FY26
BHARTIARTL Bharti Airtel Ltd · Power & infra Q2 FY26 · concall
Pattern: five year investment quantum

AGR-parity push faded to silence as Q4 dividend stepped up 50% to Rs.24, ICIL share-swap took Africa to 78%, and Mr.

2 deflections · 4 weak · 21 clean pushback across 6 of 27 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 6 of 27

Piyush Choudhary · HSBCdeflection

Any color on the overall investment over five years towards this Google partnership?

Bharti is still working out the numbers but will step up from where it is today and do whatever is needed for the business to build competitiveness.

Kunal Vohra · BNP Paribasdeflection

Following up on data centers - a 1 GW data center could cost $25-30 billion, and with two partners, Airtel's share could be fairly large. Can you comment on the scale of investment in data centers?

Bharti has not guided on the specific number but will invest whatever is required; the figures cited by analysts are much higher than what Bharti believes the actual investment will be.

Ankur Rudra · JP Morganweak

On capex - with increases in 5G standalone, home passes, CPEs and data centers, how does this layer into the overall capex moderation guide for the medium term? Do you need to update the short to medium-term capex expectation?

5G standalone is software-led with negligible capex; home capex is built into existing moderation guidance with no change. The only variable is data centers, where there could be some bump-up due to Nxtra investments, but it is premature to quantify and the change is unlikely to be very meaningful.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securitiesweak

On 100 million homes view, what market share is acceptable to Bharti and over the next few years do we expect to remain in land grab mode and high capex mode?

Capex on homes is very small as it leverages the existing tower-backbone and intra/inter-city fiber. Bharti is not happy with current market share, the market is consolidating, and the ambition over the next three to four years is to step up performance significantly to capture meaningful incremental net adds.

Sanjesh Jain · ICICI Securitiesweak

Hexacom SG&A cost has declined QoQ and YoY - what is driving this, efficiency or one-off?

There is a one-off in the SG&A line; taking a trailing two-quarter average will give a fair representative number.

Vivekanand Subbaraman · Ambitweak

On Hexacom capex - with 1Q deferment spilling into 2Q, the H1 view is now better, can you guide on FY2026 and FY2027 capex with FY2025 as reference? Second, on homes - is there any divergent trend in your circles given the land grab dilution, and where can homes/offices revenue contribution reach over three to five years?

Directionally Hexacom capex should moderate at an annualized basis with a hold/decline; quarterly phasing has executional and weather variability and should not be over-read. Homes land grab is no different in these two circles.

Other Q&A (21)
Piyush Choudhary · HSBC

On the Google Vishakhapatnam partnership, what is the scale of investments over the next five years and is Airtel's role limited to cable landing station and intra/inter-city fiber, or does it also include data center build-out? Second, can you update on Xtelify, Airtel Cloud and software solution wins during the quarter?

It is a composite deal: Nxtra builds the data centers in Vishakhapatnam, Airtel Business provides full terrestrial network connecting to Delhi/Mumbai and builds the cable landing station; Bharti will allocate more capital to Nxtra given current market share of 10-12% is not satisfactory. On Cloud, 70+ customer conversations are open with about six deals signed across manufacturing, distribution and BFSI, plus public sector engagement, with Airtel Cloud's true sovereignty (control plane and jurisdiction in India) as a key differentiator.

Piyush Choudhary · HSBC

Just to clarify on the Google deal - is there a co-investment, or will the entire 1 GW DC build-out be done through Nxtra?

Bharti is doing only part of the build-out and there is another partner doing another part - Google is using two partners in India for this facility.

Kunal Vohra · BNP Paribas

On the Supreme Court AGR judgment, how applicable is it to Airtel - the order is for Vodafone Idea, do you need to approach the Court or work directly with the government, and are interest/penalty computation errors up for review?

Bharti is pleased that the Court has allowed for reconciliation, having previously sought reviews on calculation errors. The Company will take it one step at a time, first reaching out to the government over the coming days, and proceed from there.

Kunal Vohra · BNP Paribas

On home broadband, growth has been strong but Jio has been better with a big spike in capex this quarter - are you doing anything differently and how to look at home broadband capex? What share do you target in the 100 million market, and given 2.3 million FWA customers, are you facing capacity issues or considering UBR?

Bharti uses a stringent 30-day-revenue customer definition and tracks well on OTT-platform analytics; there are no FWA capacity issues currently and UBR is in trials but suffers interference in dense areas, suitable only for low-density remote/rural locations. Home broadband capex has two components - home pass rollout and CPE/router - and home pass rollout has been accelerated alongside 5G deployment, leading to elevated near-term capex.

Sanjesh Jain · ICICI Securities

On standalone vs non-standalone for FWA - can you provide more detail on how the technology works, in how many circles, does it enable spectrum splitting, and does it indicate Bharti is preponing the SA transition? Second, on capital allocation - what is the rationale for raising the Indus Towers stake by 5%?

Over 5-6 years all 4G traffic will shift to 5G, requiring band-by-band refarming with both NSA and SA spectrum operating in dual mode; FWA on SA is already live in 13 circles delivering more on-technology time and slight uplink improvement, and SA refarming will start on mobile too, eventually phasing out NSA. On Indus, Bharti views it as a clearly undervalued, strong dividend-paying strategic infrastructure asset, and has taken an enabling provision to raise stake by 5%.

Sanjesh Jain · ICICI Securities

On fixed broadband capex - it works out to ~Rs. 20,000 per customer addition vs Rs. 15-16,000 a couple of quarters back; what is driving the spike given fiber home pass cost has been stable? Second, where do you eventually want to take the Indus stake - 65, 70 percent?

Cost per home pass remains $28-32 unchanged, but accelerated home pass rollout combined with FWA acquisitions inflates per-customer-add capex due to denominator timing - no underlying cost increase. On Indus, Bharti has only taken an enabling provision for 5% beyond which there is nothing further to add.

Ankur Rudra · JP Morgan

Just to clarify, the Nxtra investment with Google is a co-location model - you are not going to do server capex yourselves, correct?

It is only a data center build-out.

Ankur Rudra · JP Morgan

On convergence as an opportunity, can you talk through how you look at this in the medium to long term for ARPU premiumization?

There is currently a land grab in homes, and convergence (broadband + content) is a very compelling proposition because bundled pricing is far lower than disaggregated DTH plus broadband. About 60% of broadband adds are taking converged plans, and once the land grab phase ends, tariffs in this segment could see some repair given the value offered.

Ankur Rudra · JP Morgan

On the 100 million homes opportunity, you are adding about a million homes per quarter while a competitor is adding a bit more - how long does this opportunity last to reach 100 million as an industry, three to four years or longer?

The industry should probably reach the 100 million homes mark over the next five to six years.

Gaurav Malhotra · Axis Capital

Just to confirm, was the comment that home pass capex versus FWA per subscriber is in a similar ballpark?

Cost per connected home pass and FWA cost are similar - $28-30 home pass with ~28-30% utilization gives ~$100 per connected home, versus FWA which is essentially just CPE cost since the 5G mobile radio is already deployed.

Gaurav Malhotra · Axis Capital

Given the increased potential for raising Indus stake, how should we think about any potential synergies between Nxtra and Indus from a corporate action perspective?

Nxtra and Indus have nothing to do with each other - Indus is a passive distributed tower business, while Nxtra benefits from hyperscaler/B2B synergies plus land, power and balance sheet. There is no intention whatsoever of Nxtra being folded into Indus.

Gaurav Malhotra · Axis Capital

Indus is already getting consolidated, so what is the strategic logic for going from 51% to 56% - how does it change the situation?

Indus is viewed as a strategic and highly undervalued asset relative to global tower-company multiples and is a strong dividend payer, so allocating capital to take it up by 5% makes sense. Beyond that is speculative and Bharti has not crossed that bridge.

Anshuman Atri · Premji Invest

With the premiumization strategy, are you letting peers grow faster on subscribers who may not be premium today but become premium in five to seven years - how do you get them back?

Bharti takes a balanced approach - quality of acquisition is a major focus (avoiding deal-hunting churners), and tenured churn is the second obsession driven by network experience. The 365-million user base offers significant continued premiumization opportunity and the base will keep growing.

Anshuman Atri · Premji Invest

Is there any internal proportion or growth target relative to peers that you keep in mind?

Market share is a way of life - Bharti uses the most stringent customer definition (30-day revenue) in India, also tracks Meta-platform analytics circle-by-circle, and ultimately obsesses over revenue market share, where Bharti has shown consistent gains over the last few years.

Anshuman Atri · Premji Invest

If you had to do 5G again or when 6G arrives, what would you do differently in terms of NSA/SA phasing, FWA approach, and how do you adopt 6G?

6G is too far out, and 5G globally has not lived up to its monetization promise - the primary use case is just speed and slicing experiments are too few to matter. Bharti would not change a thing - chasing experience using technology rather than chasing technology for its own sake remains the obsession, validated by consistent OpenSignal awards.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

On cross-selling - wireless is still 70%+ in India, where do you see non-wireless share moving over the next few years and what cross-sell opportunities are you eyeing?

Bharti's 365-million wireless customers (with 90-100 million credit-approved) sit at the top of the funnel for postpaid, broadband and finance products, with Airtel Finance lending now ~Rs. 450 Crores enabled by the converged data engine. The next focus is to light up every channel - stores, retail outlets, call centers, digital - to deepen persuasion and cross-sell as a serious moat.

Vibhor Singhal · Nuvama

On data centers, with many announcements like TCS's 1 GW plan, do you see most of these investments fructifying or could there be over-hype, and is Bharti open to either DC build-out or cable landing stations or both, with any preference for DC build via Nxtra?

Many announcements are intentions; 50-60% of traditional DC demand is around Mumbai while AI demand will grow outside (e.g., Vishakhapatnam due to coastal cable landings). Bharti's split is clear - Nxtra builds data centers; cable landing stations, terrestrial connectivity and OPGW reside within Airtel Business.

Vibhor Singhal · Nuvama

India mobile ARPU has crossed Rs. 250 against an earlier Rs. 300 medium-term target - post reaching that, do you see more industry consolidation or further room for ARPU upside via premiumization or further tariff hikes?

India is at the bottom of both ARPU and rate-per-GB globally so there is room for more tariff repair. A more sensible small-medium-large-XL pricing ladder (versus the current one-size-fits-all architecture) would deliver natural ARPU tailwinds as those who can afford pay more, and Bharti hopes this architectural shift will eventually happen.

Sanjesh Jain · ICICI Securities

On Hexacom, sequential mobile revenue growth was 2.1% vs Airtel's mobility at 2.6% - given underpenetration in Rajasthan and North East, we expected faster growth. Is there seasonality or something making this not comparable?

Pronounced seasonality (migratory population moving back to work and Rajasthan facing high rains/public service dislocation) led to a marginal customer base drop creating a headwind, but ARPU growths are similar and Q3 has started well. There is no major underlying difference.

Sanjesh Jain · ICICI Securities

What seasonality are we really talking about in Hexacom?

There is migratory population moving between place of work and home in less-urbanized geographies, plus Rajasthan saw a very high share of rains and public services dislocation - both created a Q2 impact and Q3 is charting well so far.

Vivekanand Subbaraman · Ambit

Following up - is there ARPU dilution from generous content bundles in your more rural markets, and where do you see homes/offices revenue contribution over three to five years?

Content-driven packs aid acquisition and reduce churn, and during the land grab phase later/marginal customers tend to take lower-priced packs, leading to a directional ARPU reduction in homes - not a concern given the high lifecycle value. Homes growth trajectory of recent quarters should continue, with FWA playing a particularly important role in Hexacom's two circles.

Prepared remarks (4 blocks)
Gopal Vittal opened the Q2 FY26 call with the team, focusing on Q2 performance and key priorities. On AGR, the recent Supreme Court order in the Vodafone Idea petition permits comprehensive reassessment and reconciliation of AGR dues including interest and penalties up to FY2016-17, and Bharti is now planning to take up its matter with the government. ESG progress: ~2,900 sites solarized in the quarter (total >35,000), AI-enabled RAN engine optimizing energy, Nxtra targeting 15% equipment performance gain, 25% productivity boost, 10% non-IT energy reduction. Employment: ~20,000 direct + 80,000 associates + 670,000 indirect = 760,000 jobs. Consolidated revenue ~Rs. 52,000 Crores (annualized run rate >Rs. 200,000 Crores). India revenues ex-Indus: Rs. 34,900 Crores; India EBITDAaL margin (ex-passive infra) at 51.5%. Operating free cash flow: ~Rs. 10,750 Crores; capex: ~Rs. 7,200 Crores. India net debt/EBITDAaL: 1.32x. Mobile: 1.4 mn revenue-earning customer adds, 5.1 mn smartphone data users, ~1 mn postpaid net adds (68% of total), ARPU Rs. 256 (one extra day benefit). International out-roamers up >30% in last 2 years. 5G users: 167 million; 5G sites carry >40% network traffic. Broadband: 951,000 net adds, FWA customer base crossed 2.3 million. Digital TV: 340,000 customer decline due to seasonality and structural set-top-box subsidy changes; IPTV ramping. Airtel Business revenue: Rs. 5,275 Crores (+4.3% sequential), with marquee global connectivity wins, multi-year Indian Railways SOC contract, and digital revenues +24% YoY.
Payments Bank MTUs at <strong>104 million</strong>, annualized run rate >Rs. 3,200 Crores (+19% YoY), deposits ~Rs. 4,000 Crores (+35% YoY). Africa: constant currency revenue +7.1% sequentially, reported +10.7%, EBITDAaL >Rs. 5,300 Crores at 38.8% margin, net debt/EBITDAaL 0.7x. Strategy pillars: diverse portfolio (Africa 26%, India mobile 54%, India non-mobile 13%, Indus 7%); winning quality customers via accelerated home pass rollout to 2.5 mn/quarter run rate, FWA across 3,000+ cities, postpaid upgrades from 90 mn credit-scored base; B2B with gold-standard fiber/submarine cables/OPGW, Google Vishakhapatnam AI data hub partnership giving visibility to >1 GW (4x current), Airtel Cloud (70+ ongoing customer conversations, deals signed in BFSI and manufacturing, IBM partnership); brilliant customer experience (Opensignal awards 5/5 FWA, 4/5 FTTH; transitioning to 5G-Advanced dual NSA+SA mode in 13 circles for FWA); digital capabilities (anti-spam identified 57+ billion spam calls and 4.2 lakh fraudulent links; Home Ministry confirmed 69% drop in financial losses on Airtel network; Perplexity democratization); war on waste (AI/ML RAN energy savings).
Bharti Airtel Q2 FY26 consolidated revenue: ~Rs. <strong>52,000 Crore</strong>s (annualized run rate >Rs. 200,000 Crores). India revenues ex-Indus: Rs. 34,900 Crores; India EBITDAaL margin (ex-passive infra): 51.5%. Operating free cash flow (EBITDAaL minus capex): ~Rs. 10,750 Crores. Capex: ~Rs. 7,200 Crores. India net debt/EBITDAaL: 1.32x. Mobile: 1.4 mn revenue-earning customer net adds, 5.1 mn smartphone data users, ~1 mn postpaid net adds (68% of total net adds), ARPU Rs. 256 (with one-day benefit). 5G users: 167 million; 5G sites carry >40% of network traffic. Broadband: 951,000 net adds; FWA base >2.3 million. Digital TV: 340,000 customer decline (seasonality + structural STB subsidy changes). Airtel Business revenue: Rs. 5,275 Crores (+4.3% sequential); digital revenues +24% YoY. Network rollout: ~2,480 sites and >10,000 km fiber added in the quarter; domestic fiber spans >500,000 km.
constant currency revenue +<strong>7.1%</strong> sequential; reported revenue +10.7% sequential; EBITDAaL >Rs. 5,300 Crores at 38.8% margin; net debt/EBITDAaL 0.7x. Payments Bank: 104 million MTUs, annualized revenue run rate >Rs. 3,200 Crores (+19% YoY), deposits ~Rs. 4,000 Crores (+35% YoY). Bharti Hexacom Q2 FY26: revenue Rs. 2,317 Crores (+2.4% sequential), EBITDAaL Rs. 1,098 Crores at 47.5% margin; revenue-earning customer base 28 million (marginal sequential dip due to seasonality); 193,000 smartphone customer adds; ARPU Rs. 251 (with one-day benefit); 60,000 home customer net adds (highest ever); OFCF Rs. 730 Crores; net debt ex-leases Rs. 2,814 Crores; net debt/EBITDAaL ~0.6x.
Watch next