FY26 closed at Rs.5,148cr (+59%).
- Iccl member additions sgf — answer hedged.
- Options pricing ipf contribution — question deflected.
- Monthly contracts vendor mix — answer hedged.
On ICCL member additions, how should we think about this and how does it manifest into the core SGF contribution? Also, the other expenses came out slightly higher this quarter - some color and trend going forward?
ICCL has been adding members, both big and small. ICCL has significantly increased its technological capability to handle around 29,000 trades per second per broker, and a peak of 69,000 with some small latency of one second. Therefore, it has attracted some significantly large market participants and also smaller participants as well. The addition of members alone does not directly contribute to the growth or requirement of SGF. SGF is a function of a stress test conducted with the largest market participants and based on multiple factors it evolves. So simple addition of members does not directly correlate with the increase in the SGF requirements. At this point of time, the SGF maintenance by ICCL and BSE are at a very comfortable situation, and it has added strength even more to the balance sheet and situation of ICCL.
Your option contracts are still quite lower than competition, and recently we saw that competition increased the realization for contract as well. So how are you thinking about pricing going into FY27, given you have a lever to increase pricing there, or if you could reduce the Investor Protection Fund contribution like your competition has also done?
Contributions to IPF and other statutory things are governed by SEBI rules, so there will be no intention to reduce any of them, and we will continue to be supporting all those noble causes stipulated by the regulators in the normal fashion as what we have been doing all along. As far as the cost is concerned, we always believe in charging appropriate amounts at appropriate points of time, considering multiple factors, including the volumes that we are making and the cost of trading and the affordability and what will be easy for the members. So, at this point of time, we have priced, based on our studies, whatever cost we should charge for the options. These are subject to revisions and review, and as and when we feel the appropriate time has come for either an upward or downward revision, we will consider doing it. It will be totally driven by our own estimate and not by any other external factors.
On the strong growth on the options side - the share of our monthly contracts has been rising and still is only at 5% to 6%. How do we see this panning out, maybe in the next one or two quarters? And in the incremental volume on the options side, how much is coming from existing vendors and new vendors? Also on the cost side, drop in clearing expenses - despite options revenue going up 113%, expenses down 12-13% on a full year basis. How do we see the clearing expenses panning out?
First is on monthly contracts. The percentage of monthly contracts for us is going up, but that is not the destination where we would like to be. It is our strong belief that the market has to be deeper and broader. One of the ways of achieving it or one of the parameters for us is the greater participation of monthly contracts. Since BSE's derivative segment is fairly new even now, with only three years that have gone, some of the market participants who are well-established in Indian markets are still yet to be present in BSE's market, and we are working with them to bring them in. They are in various stages of implementation. In the coming months and years, we feel that more and more such participants who have a long-term view on the market will be participating even in a bigger way with Sensex contracts, which will bring in the type of monthly volumes which we are looking forward. One of the recent contracts introduced Bankex, is showing some traction in respect of monthly contracts. Honestly, I do not know how much volume is coming from new people and how much is coming from existing people, because we do not measure it as participant-wise to see, because that is not a fair way of looking at the markets. In the last one year, the member count has increased from 446 to 587. FPIs have increased from 100 to 520. Colo-racks have increased from 300 to 500. Monthly contract volumes have gone up by 5x. Index futures have gone up by 3x. As far as clearing expenses are concerned, the SEBI turnover fee is based on the notional trading, the clearing expense is based on the number of contracts, and we earn revenue based on premium. In times of volatility, when the premium is higher, naturally, because volatility being one of the factors for pricing an option and, therefore, the premium, you get more premium, but the contract is only one, so the clearing expense comes down and the premium and, therefore, the revenue goes up. Whether we can predict this trend, it is, of course, not predictable. The correlation between the clearing and settlement expenses versus the premium cannot be predicted. The contract size has doubled over the last week.
Other than equity, like electricity derivative and commodity derivative, similarly any innovative thought there?
Indeed, BSE's stipulated strategy is to explore commodity derivatives as early as possible. BSE was not able to have any opening in equity derivatives with a very poor volume in equities for a very long time. And just in the last three years, our entire attention span has been totally gobbled up by bringing in level playing field to whatever extent we can through regulatory requests and advocacies and bringing in a new segment and build volumes. So, we were concentrating on that by and large. Now that we feel that we have made some headway, though there is a long way to go further, we will be starting to think on commodity derivatives. We do not want to have the sense of being left out and therefore me too type of a syndrome where we also start something because others are starting it. We want to create a value proposition for the market by thinking about some unique selling proposition, just not the expiry day alone as a differentiator. Do we have anything immediately on our mind and on the cost to implement? No. But some thought processes are wrong, and our sincere wish is that very soon we should be able to come out with consolidated views, taking up with the regulators and taking the commodity agenda forward.
On participants on BSE derivatives platform - are there any brokers who are still yet to get impanelled on the derivatives platform, on the institutional side? Also, in terms of large HFTs, NSE was always ahead of BSE. Is that gap closing? What is the runway still available? How many more HFTs and how much additional volumes could come onto BSE?
Our goal in derivatives is deepening and broadening of markets. At this point of time, we have around 587 brokers of India who are with us and who are trading SENSEX options. In terms of brokers, while our stated goal for this year is we should go at least 600, 700. 600 appears to have been achieved by now already. So, at least 700 is what is the goal. Will this add greater runway in terms of volume? I don't think so because these are all small members. Then, why are we wanting to increase more members? We feel it is not big or small that matters. It is deepening and broadening that matters. With regard to HFTs, some of the HFTs are FPIs. Our FPA count has grown from 100 to 520, which is commendable. But we have put for ourselves a target of around 800 FPAs. The reason why we are putting this number is there are quite a few HFTs or quite a few funds who typically look into long-term option products because that is their strategy. Some of them are slowly walking in because, till very recently, the liquidity for us in monthly contracts were lesser. Today, with a lot of efforts, we are finding that it is meaningfully liquid. So, more and more people are coming in. So, we feel that the runway is more there in that place. In terms of the big unknown HFTs, most of them are already there. It is these types of bigger funds who get into longer-term situation we are looking in for. If I were to put a forward-looking number, sorry, I will not be able to put any forward-looking number in terms of volumes or market share because that is not where we are strategizing and putting our targets. Our targets for ourselves as KRAs and for our employees is on how many members are there, how many FPIs, how much of COLO utilization, how much of monthly contracts building up, what is the percentage of contribution of FPIs to the total volumes of ours, not to anybody else. We are already at around 5% to 6%. While in the market, generally, we find the participation is around 9%. So, that is a target for us to go to around 9% of FPI participation.
Some forward-looking view on SGF could be very helpful - if you see some kind of contribution, color would be better.
We are not able to project what will be the future SGF, because it is based on a complex set of parameters. We had initially decided that as BSE, in order to prevent any sudden jerks in the P&L, we will voluntarily contribute a specified stipulated percentage of our profits into SGF every quarter, and we put a threshold of maximum up to which we will contribute. That is, if you are reaching more than, say, 150% of the total required amount of SGF by this consistent contribution, we will review the percentage of contribution, which was at the point of time set as 5% of profits. At this point of time when we review, we have already touched the threshold of more than 150 crores. We have crossed it, and in that situation, we are reducing the contribution requirement per quarter from 5% to 3.5%. Other than that, a forward-looking number cannot be put.
If you could comment on the other expenses part also.
Our group's clearing company, ICCL, provides services to both BSE and NSE. There is an outstanding of Rs. 80 crore, which is an old outstanding from NSE. So, we have taken some ECL provision that is in line with our ECL policy and accounting standard requirement, which has led to this increase in the current quarter.
In the transaction charges income, there are two heads, one is special rate income, and another is a normal rate income. So, wanted to understand the difference between the two. And year on year, special rate income has somewhat reduced.
The special one is for exclusive stocks. And the first one is, the other one is for commonly traded stocks across bourses. We have been conducting a lot of investor programs where we are telling people that in times of volatility, large cap equity stocks generally are a safer bet for new investors. As more and more new investors are coming into the market as markets are becoming more democratic with good amount of access and democratic access to the news as well. When new investors come, we feel that because of all the good investor protection measures and investor awareness creation that we along with the regulators are doing, they are more migrating towards the commonly traded large cap or slot of mid-cap stocks. Therefore, that income is going compared to the income on the other side. As you know, stock trading is a question of market preference. Our insights will be limited to whatever extent of analysis we are able to see without getting into the privacy of a client. So, when we look at it from the economic parameters, this is what we are able to confirm.
How do you look at MSE as an emerging competitor? And what is your current market share in the cash segment?
Actually, just a small correction. This is the 13th consecutive quarter where BSE has seen new heights. I joined in January and by the end of March, that's the first quarter that started. So, 13th consecutive quarter. As far as any specific exchange which you are naming as a competitor, our stand has always been we should be the competitor with ourselves. All the other participants are trying to help in the capital market expansion of the country. Given the size of the Indian markets and given the size of the investor population that is available, I feel that the number of exchanges can be whatever it is and they can cater to the society by creating niche products for themselves. That's how we look at the MSE part of it. Market share in equities has been hovering around 7% to 8% compared to 5% to 6% when I joined. This is far away from what we wanted it to be. We wanted it to be at least double digit. With a lot of great efforts, we brought in common contract notes. We thought with that there will be and also the closing auction, what we thought was both institutional and retail participants will become exchange agnostic and trade where the prices are suitable for them. But unfortunately, what we are understanding is the applications of SOR (Smart Order Routing) which people send to both the exchanges while we have cleared are still pending for more than six months at the other exchange because of which smart order routing has not taken off and because of which the clients are not able to be exchange agnostic and take the best prices available at BSE. This has probably impeded the growth in the market share and contribution of BSE to the generation of capital and economic development of India.
If you see the premium to notional ratio for Sensex and when you compare to the other large index, there is a gap that is there. And it has been eight months that we have to Thursday. So, there is some expectation that this gap could get converged as the non-expiry volumes go up. What can be done to converge this premium to notional ratios? And can that happen?
Yes, indeed, you are right. The premium to notional ratio of Sensex vis-a-vis comparable indices in the market, the ratio at Sensex is lower. This is mainly because still the monthly contracts are yet to develop and grow in a big way at BSE. From a situation where that ratio used to be very, very small because most of the volumes were mainly only on the expiry day, the situation I am talking when we had Friday as expiry. Compared to that today, the concentration of volumes on the expiry day has significantly fallen down and it has gotten distributed. But still, if you talk about monthly volumes, maximum what we trade is the one-month volumes. We do not have openings in second month and third ahead. Can it be closed? Yes, that is exactly what we are working in for. We are working on such types of participants who are having strategies in trading longer-term contracts. What I would like to emphasize, which is of course very well known to you, is Sensex is just a three-year-old product, whereas the other comparable products are 26-year-old in the market. So, it is just that Sensex has been fortunate with the support of all the market participants and people like you, has grown so big in three years. Typically, product growth takes a lot of time. While the time has been crunched a lot for Sensex, still there will be some more time required for the longer-term contracts should develop and sustain.
On returning wealth to shareholders in terms of dividend and buyback - if you refer to slide 30 of your deck, initially till 2023, the payout ratio has been close to 99%. And over the last two years, it has fallen. Now, it is currently around 28%. This business does not require a lot of cash, apart from the capex. Although it has been going up year-on-year, it is still not close to the amount of free cash flow surplus which the company has. Compared to other exchanges like IEX or NSE, the payout ratio is much lower. What could be the reasons that you are holding on to excess cash on the balance sheet? You might be just generating 4%-4.5% post-tax returns on the excess cash.
A 100% dividend payout or a significantly large payout may indicate a situation where the company is not having any growth idea at all. If you look at BSE the points of what you're talking about as 97%, 98% payout, BSE never had any growth prospects in its mind. While in terms of percentage, it looks so big, what was the amount paid also, we should see. The entire amount generated was paid back because there was, apparently it did not have any growth targets in its mind. The things are different now. If you look at the share price growth, that is also one way of returning money to the shareholders. It is just not dividend and the buyback, which are ways of returning back. When I tried to buy back the shares, most of the investors were so supportive of BSE, they didn't want to even offer one share for buyback. The market capitalization of BSE was 5,000 crores when I joined. And today we are talking about a market capitalization of around 1.56 lakh crores. We are talking about a dividend that what we paid last year was around Rs. 23 per share of that Rs. 5 for the 150th year. The remaining Rs. 18, if we look at it in current share scenario, because there was a 1:2 bonus, which is again a way of returning capital to the investors to make it more liquid by giving more shares in the market. Today, that will translate to Rs. 6 per share, as Rs. 6 per share as dividend. Today, as against Rs. 6 per share, we are giving a Rs. 10 dividend, which is around 66% more than what we paid last year. If you look at the total outgo, compared to around Rs. 230 crores plus in the last year, without considering the extra dividend of Rs. 5, we are paying around Rs. 414 crores or something this year, which is again a 67% increase. In the last two years, we have built around Rs. 500 crores as gross block, which has gone for capacity increase. BSE is a rapidly growing company, which requires a lot of technology investment. The current year's technology budget already appears to be underpriced. We put around Rs. 300 crores, but with the global situation today, for the memory increase, the price of the memory increasing, the price of hardware increasing, this is almost going to be doubling as an investment requirement for keeping the lights on and growing further to achieve all the ambitious targets that we have in place. We have also invested in technology in a big way, not only with BSE, but also with all the sister companies to provide seamless service. A stronger balance sheet of an exchange is very essential to showcase to the world that the clearing corporation is strong enough. We have been increasing our capacity in terms of COLO, which requires a lot of outlay. And also, there are already efforts on to see whether we should acquire a plot of land in the heart of Mumbai, whereby the ambitious dreams of expanding BSE further can materialize. So, the money is not earning 4.5% and lying idle. It is earning much more than that even in terms of treasury, which is very much available in the balance sheet and profit and loss for you to see. But also, it is being put on to productive use for further enhancing the shareholder value. As the market truly reflects the growth in share price, all the things that we are talking about, and as I would repeat, a 5,000 crores market capitalization in three and a quarter year has become 1.56 lakh crores.