Refused to commit on exports mix between industrial.
- Lt motor demand railway — answer hedged.
- Semiconductor revenue scale capex — answer hedged.
- Export ramp up strategy — answer hedged.
On the LT Motor side - market has been subdued in last few quarters; how was Q2 and what are the trends in Q3? Any signs of growth coming back? And on Railways where you highlighted project deferment - is that behind us? Will revenue start flowing from Q3 onwards?
On LT Motor: I am pretty happy with the progress made by the team there. We are doing much better than the market. Looking at the market IEEMA data, the market was a little better than previous quarter - from negative zone, it has come to flat. We don't give exact numbers, but our order input was in double digit, sales single digit on the positive side. Profitability is also improving. The team is doing a good job in CGX execution excellence. On Railways: there was a delay in shipments which hampered us for almost a month. Then it started around middle of last month. Whatever we could ship in 15 days came up, but everything could not be shipped on time. So it's only a shift between the two quarters. There was also pressure from commodity inflation - everything didn't pass on to customer. PVC is not in the same quarter, it goes in a couple of quarters here and there.
On semiconductor - given you have already done INR 230-235 crores of semiconductor revenue, how should we build the scale this year and next 2 years? How will the trajectory of EBITDA improve? And on CAPEX timeline - are we on track on the current capacity that was about to get commissioned? Finally on inquiry pipeline and concerns about Chinese players entering transformers in India?
On semiconductor: It's a long game and pretty exciting. For Axiro (our subsidiary), they should do approximately $50 million this year, which is about INR 450 crores, very much on track with what we had projected. CG Semi is a long lead item, so it will take more time. On CAPEX: all projects are on track. For transformer division, we had planned to expand from 15,000 MVA to 40,000 MVA - that has been done on 1st of October. We got approval from Power Grid Corporation up to 35,000. Next phase comes next month. The new switchgear facility approved today by the Board, we will start working on it. On Chinese players: it's a global market - what matters is becoming efficient and cost competitive. Even if Chinese or anybody comes in, we are as good as anybody or better. On inquiry pipeline - it's very strong, almost 85% up from last year.
On exports - we have seen lot of new hiring at senior level for international markets. What is your strategy to ramp up the industrial product offering? What kind of order pipeline are you anticipating in exports, especially plans in the U.S. transportation infrastructure market?
Exports is one of the key pillars for us. It's like foot on the gas and foot on the brake - on one side we are upgrading manufacturing capabilities to match global standards. On the other side, we are expanding in different markets - from Southeast Asia, a bit in Europe, in Africa to Morocco, and a bit in the U.S. Those expansions are happening because that's where we are developing the channel. The initial results we are seeing for H1 - exports in absolute terms versus H1 last year, we are almost 20% to 25% up. So it's showing results on the pipeline.
On inorganic opportunities - as we have raised funds in recent quarters, where are you exploring these opportunities?
On capital allocation - one is our own capacity expansion (approximately INR 750 crores Board-approved today for internal day-to-day business). Second is also potential M&As that will keep happening. Our strategy team is always on the hook to keep looking at candidates for potential. So it will be across CG as well as semiconductor. That's what we are actively looking at.
On exports - they were 10% of consolidated sales in FY '25. Growth has been 20-25%. Could you also speak about the mix of exports presently - broadly color on how much is in Industrial Systems and Power Systems? Which areas do you expect to scale up in exports over next 2-3 years?
Exports, we have been steady till now. But with the increased capacity, we will be focusing more on exports for the business sustainability, and we are participating in more and more projects and tying up with state utilities abroad. So exports will see a bigger push and more percentage share in order input and revenues in the coming years. Amar Kaul added: we don't give the split by details of each business, and the number you talked about is higher. So we are positive on quarter-over-quarter for most businesses.
On IS segment - we have seen after a very long time a decline in revenues, which is from deferment in some railway orders. Possible to call out that amount deferred to next quarter? And demand scenario between HT and LT Motors - we took a 5% price hike previously - how is that playing out?
Specifics we are not giving. Approximately 15th of September onwards, we started shipments which were deferred for almost more than a month. We covered some bit, balance will come into this quarter. On motors: demand is fairly strong on inquiry pipeline, especially on HT Motors which I am pretty positive about. Jatinder Kaul added: LT is far higher than HT. If I were to give a rough estimate, it would be around 80-20 ratio between the LT and HT piece of business. The price increase implemented in July is coming up well, being received well in the market, has compensated for our copper and steel prices. Many of our friends also increased their prices.
So margin should bounce back into Q3 once revenues normalize and full benefit of price hikes takes place. And on EV motors category - how is that progressing?
We will not be forecasting what it will be for the next quarter. As you know, we don't give guidance on that. But as I mentioned, I am pretty comfortable with motor side of business, the way it is bouncing back. We must see good days ahead. On EV motors - the progress has been still slow, but I am looking forward to some exciting days ahead. Just pause for a couple of days more, and we should come back with some more information.
On Power segment - can you give broad overview as to individual subcategories - power transformers, distribution transformers, switchgears - how they have grown? And order book breakup across renewables, coal-based, thermal, industrial applications?
We don't give the breakup of each business and sub segment details. But the orders we have received are cutting across most sectors. Within power, there are a couple of orders from renewables as well, also for data center. It cuts across from transmission, T&D. So it's cutting across most segments. The only thing I can share - power is leading because as we get into mega distribution, 400 and 765 kV, those are the more and more inquiries. But others are also catching up very fast. Good news is everybody is into high double digits.
On Power Systems - we have outgrown most of our competitors in past 2-2.5 years. What factors enabled the market share gains? Is it more about being ready with further capacity when competitors were not?
I wish I had one answer for you. It's a combination of many things. What is important is our execution excellence, which is CG EDGE. That's what we are practicing every day - keep compressing the cycle time, go faster, double the speed of what anybody else can do. That's what the team, both Ajay and Gaurav from the power sector are practicing day in and day out. It's a combination of many things. If it was so simple, then everybody would have done it.
While a lot has been spoken about OSAT business, wanted to get sense of how the company is thinking on the Design business which is Axiro Semicon. From current $50 million top line, how would scale up happen, both from exports and domestic perspective?
This is just the beginning. We didn't just buy this company to stay at that level. We have much larger plans, and that's what keeps us awake at night in terms of strategy - more and more acquisition, complementing, hiring more people, more tech people. Right now it is for Radio Frequency business, but we are also thinking of expanding into other technologies as well. A lot to come - just be patient to keep hearing from us on that.
On Railway business price realization challenges - is this because of execution of legacy projects taken few years back or competition impacting margins?
In Railway business, this is a typical tendering business. You take these orders at very thin margin. The PVC clause we have with railways is an average of three different inputs - there's a formula. It takes at least 1 or 2 quarters till it comes back. You may not have that impact in the full quarter. Unlike other businesses where commodity inflation can quickly be adjusted in pricing, in this business it takes a bit more time. It's a patience game, but we are sure about coming out of the situation as soon as possible.
On KAVACH - GG Tronics had an order of around INR 500-600 crores from CLW in November '24. Where are we in execution versus the original timeline? Have we received any follow-on orders?
On KAVACH, we are almost on track. There's a delay of about 1 month - 1.5 months. There are only 2 last approvals pending. Hopefully by end of December, we should be in a position to get all this cleared and start shipments. After that, we have received a couple of more orders, INR 150 crores, and I don't have exact numbers. So that's for both Station KAVACH is also what we received orders for.
On bookkeeping - in the balance sheet, other intangible assets increased from INR 263 crores to INR 427 crores. What caused this?
We recently did Axiro acquisition, and in that acquisition, this business is relating to more like a design business. So what we got is more about IPs and other things. That's what accounted during that acquisition side.
On Transformer capacity expansion from 15,000 MVA to 40,000 achieved on 1st October - is it fair to assume this incremental 25,000 MVA is now 100% unutilized and will be utilized over time?
Not really. If you look at the order backlog, you don't wait for capacity to get ready - we have taken the orders, because today the lead time for power transformers, customers are willing to give orders up to 24 months from now. So capacities are getting booked. In fact, the new plant we are setting up, we have started looking at booking orders for that as well, not in a big way but gradually. So from 15,000 to 40,000 MVA, I would say almost most of it is being taken care of.
So from this month, we can see an annualized output of 40,000 MVA? And the next phase of expansion is from 40,000 to 65,000 - when does that come online?
Yes, from 1st October onwards at proration capacity - it will be at 40,000 prorated for the year. The next one - this is 40,000 and the new plant coming up is 45,000 MVA. As per the plan, that is '27-'28, but the way we are executing, we will be much ahead of the target. The moment we have better visibility, we will let you guys know.
On Power Systems - award of interstate TBCB project to transmission utilities in H1 FY '26 has been slower than previous year. Does this pose risk of slowdown in award of transformer HV switchgear contracts in coming quarters?
Regarding the inquiry pipeline, the pipeline is strong. The decisions have been slow. Lot of projects now are getting awarded or allocated to the states. So decision-making is slow. As far as we are concerned, we don't see any slowdown in order booking because PSUs are still placing orders at a very fast pace - power grid, and this power generation sector is also opening up. So we don't foresee any slowdown in this area. If there is a slowdown in transmission projects, the power generation projects are picking up at a very fast pace in the thermal space.
On capacity utilization of switchgear facility - power transformer facility is running at full capacity, what is the number for switchgear capacity?
Switchgear is also at about 85% to 88% right now. But again, the expansion that we had undertaken last couple of quarters back is also getting executed in parallel. So I would say, as we progress in the next few quarters, we will come down to probably 75% - 80% and again bounce back to 80% - 85%. So that's where we are operating at.
On association with Flanders for expanding U.S. business - can you explain the nature of agreement, whether this is contract manufacturing agreement or something else?
This agreement is - in U.S. we see a big opportunity. To get into local U.S. market, most OEMs first ask what happens tomorrow if I have a problem in my motor. You have to ask somebody right now if there's an issue or repair is required, somebody is there to service it at the drop of a hat. If we start organically today to set it up, it will take us a couple of years to have that infrastructure. The first step is to have a partner who is reliable and can do a lot of it. They are pretty equipped across North America. It's a win-win situation - they get business in repair and remanufacturing, and we get warehouses when we send motors from here.
On Power Systems - strategically, from perspective of building capabilities and expanding portfolio, what are thoughts on broad basing product mix beyond switchgears and transformers into new product segments, next generation beyond current cycle? Also on GIS portfolio and STATCOMs?
It's a mix of the existing portfolio. Today, beyond only switchgears and circuit breakers, we are also into larger 765 kV bushings, both OIP as well as RAP - that's a homegrown solution from CG. Also power electronics, and green solutions - moving from SF6 to SF6-free is critical work the teams have been doing across factories of Nashik and Aurangabad from an innovation standpoint. On GIS - we should be probably coming out with a complete Make in India solution for our 400 kV GIS in the next fiscal year. We should be playing very strongly in the GIS segment in future growth years as well. On STATCOMs - there is always an eye on looking at both organic as well as inorganic conversations around technology acquisitions.
As per CEA's data, India has missed power transformer installations materially for H1 of this year. Does this pose risk for us as it will take longer for orders to convert from backlog to sales? And with power transformation capacity coming online to 85 GVA, what would be expected mix of sales from global and local markets?
For the increased added capacity in our new plant, we are planning around 35% to 40% of revenues coming from exports - important for business sustainability. From current capacities also, exports are around 10%, it will grow to around 20% because we cannot vacate domestic segments as of now. On execution delays - all developers are taking the supplies, even with delays in their projects they are supporting us by taking deliveries and storing transformers near locations because of supply constraints. They know if they don't take deliveries, these transformers can get diverted because of standard CS specifications. In the long run, with government focus on right-of-way and land acquisition, both will catch up - won't be any delays. Heavy rains caused some delays this year.
Bookkeeping on Power Systems - of the INR 10,000 crores of backlog, what would be the average execution period? 1.5 years or 2?
Total backlog - the last order I would say will get executed even after 24 months. Doesn't mean we have to wait for 24 months - we can do it before. Customers are placing orders up to that duration. One of the orders is going up to 24 months. We are filling up in between as well as opening capacity. Something will be 12 months, something will be 18 months, something will be 6 months depending on if it's a distribution transformer (can go in 6 months) or 765 kind of transformer (will take 18 months). Along the portfolio it will keep varying.
Two questions on Semicon - we are expecting $50 million in FY '26 on Axiro, while previously it used to do around $56-57 million. Is this business taking time to scale up or are we waiting for CG Semi for synergy? And we reported INR 22 crores EBIT loss in same segment - can you break down between CG Semi loss and Axiro profits?
If I remember the numbers, they are almost same level. Last year was about $55 million, $56 million. This year if we are doing $50 million with the acquisition, getting people up and running, getting the whole infrastructure done and you are reaching that stage, I would say the team would have done a fantastic job. Susheel Todi added: Axiro is at breakeven level. So they are not making any loss at this point of time.