Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q1 FY26
CUMMINSIND Cummins India Limited · Capital goods Q1 FY26 · concall
Pattern: bess manufacturing supply chain

BESS launched as new product narrative.

5 deflections · 16 weak · 22 clean pushback across 21 of 43 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 21 of 43

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securitiesweak

On the BESS solution launched in India, are you setting up manufacturing footprint and supply chain? Have you started booking orders? What is the TAM and risk of cannibalizing existing business?

We have just launched the BESS solution in India and are still building the order board, meeting customers to share our value proposition. Based on what we see in the market and customer needs, we will take calls on future supply chain and manufacturing. On cannibalization risk, we don't see this because customers want a mix of energy capabilities - genset for backup power and battery storage for storing solar power. As of now, we do not see a risk of cannibalization.

Nitin Arora · Axis Mutual Fundweak

On profitability - despite concerns of margin pressure, you've delivered consistent margins. Do you see more operational leverage coming in given broad-based recovery, especially as competition is more on lower nodes?

We do have competition in the higher nodes as well, and it's getting tougher. While we try to hold on to what we do, continuing to work on cost optimization and delivering better profitability, competition is across the nodes at this point in time, also in the higher nodes. We put in efforts to find cost leverage and cost optimization opportunity - that will be the endeavor.

Umesh Raut · Nomura Indiaweak

On new railway product launches, can we grow at 20-25% from INR500 crores of revenues in '25 - especially with hotel load converter ramping up?

On the hotel load converter, while we had launched the product, it was still undergoing field trials. Serialized production is yet to start. The product will be productionized from a serial production perspective very soon. As of now, it was undergoing field trials, so it will start contributing in the coming quarters.

Umesh Raut · Nomura Indiaweak

Can you share geography-wise export contribution - Asia, Middle East, Europe, North America, Latin America? Are you seeing incremental traction from CPCB IV+ compliant products being accepted in newer markets?

Both high horsepower and low horsepower ranges have done well in the quarter, with broad-based growth across markets. Largely, Latin America and Europe have performed better compared to last quarter and last year, but it's broad-based. On CPCB IV+ products, since we supply to many markets globally, a large part of those markets are still on lower emission norms, so they continue to buy those products. A large part of these exports are still lower emission products for now.

Jason Soans · IDBI Capitalweak

On exports in light of tariffs, is there any exposure to U.S. markets or products that feed into U.S. markets? Any color on tariff increase impact?

We are evaluating at this point in time. We are quite diversified in terms of the markets we export to. We do export to the U.S., but since we have a diversified portfolio, the share of what we export to the U.S. will not be very high. We are evaluating how this will impact our exports to the U.S.

Ruchit Agrawal · Unifi Mutual Fundweak

With prices settling and endeavor to hold prices, can we say margins from last 2 quarters are sustainable?

That is our endeavor. But we always have to be competitive in the market. So we wait and watch depending on competition activity to provide the best value to our customers. Our endeavor is to hold on to the margins, for sure.

Ruchit Agrawal · Unifi Mutual Fundweak

On competitive intensity and market share, especially in high HP nodes, are foreign players entering and is there any impact?

We have quite a few players in the market - domestic as well as foreign players, and intensity has been increasing. I can't comment on market share, but we have good brand presence and acceptance because we've been around in the country for a long time. Customers prefer our products. There is a lot of competitive intensity, including from foreign players in this segment.

Amit Anwani · PL Capitalweak

On exports - given Lat Am and Europe doing well, can we expect sustainable INR2,000+ crores annual exports? Which user industries are contributing to broad-based numbers?

From an exports perspective, we are a little cautious. We saw growth across markets - Latin America and Europe, Africa, Middle East - all due to a lot of efforts. But the geopolitical situation keeps changing, that's why we are cautious about exports. We are optimistic because of efforts but still cautious. The end-user segments in Europe and Latin America are Powergen segments largely C&I, with some rental players.

Amit Anwani · PL Capitalweak

On double-digit guidance - given Q1 was 25% growth, are we seeing high teens or 15-20% growth? Color on gross margin sustainability with cautious export outlook and domestic margin-accretive products?

We do see domestic demand continuing, but we are cautious on exports. Double-digit growth remains our outlook and endeavor - beyond that, difficult to give a range. On gross margin, we got a lot of leverage benefit this quarter. If volumes continue, we expect to sustain gross margin. Gross margins based on volumes and product mix will be a play - our endeavor is to maintain at these levels.

Chandrakant Kanase · Ericssonweak

On Railways segment powertrain based on hydrogen fuel - what's the potential and timeline for Cummins? Will it come out of Accelera?

There is definitely potential, however hydrogen as a fuel on the railway side would be a hydrogen fuel cell discussion which is still some years away. Indian Railways is focusing on electrified railway tracks. Conversations around hydrogen fuel cells are at least more than a decade away. We will evaluate at that point in time when we are ready - at this point, very little discussion on hydrogen fuel cells.

Saif Sohrab Gujar · ICICI Prudential AMCweak

On exports - U.K. is a big global hub for Cummins. With India-U.K. FTA and proposed transactions with Cummins Limited (U.K. entity) increasing 26% to INR1,167 crores, is there a directional shift towards supplying more to U.K. entity?

We are looking at it. We are trying to see how we can improve our presence in that market given the announcements made. Definitely, that is something we are evaluating with our global counterparts.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securitiesweak

On BESS - imports are at INR1-1.2 crores per megawatt hour. Will Cummins be competitive enough to match that pricing? Do we have any right to win given aggressive import pricing?

We are evaluating. We're working with our customers because our product has features the customers would appreciate on the safety side and on the utilization of the BESS. We are working to provide the right value proposition to the customers. And if the need be, we would definitely work on the cost side as well.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securitiesdeflection

On internal assessment, what kind of TAM could BESS be for C&I customers, 1-2 years down the line?

A little too early to say, very early - we just launched the product about 2 months ago.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securitiesdeflection

On the CTIL and CIL merger - any thoughts? How is the parent thinking about it?

That's a continuous assessment that the parent does. But at this point in time, there's nothing that I can share, which is concrete at all.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securitiesweak

On project business - what was the quantum this quarter out of total Powergen business?

I won't be able to share the exact number, but it's a steady number. There is a small number of project execution. It's double digit (in response to whether high single digit or double digit).

Harshit Kapadia · Elara Capitalweak

On distribution - 60% from Powergen and 40% from Industrial historically. With CPCB IV and electronic items rising, will Powergen share increase significantly in distribution mix and margins increase?

On the distribution business side, both Powergen and industrial business are growing for us. On the Powergen side, CPCB IV+ does offer possibilities of penetrating more, but the same opportunities and in a different way are present in the Industrial business side as well - for example, in railways, mining, marine. So it would not be fair to say that Powergen would outstrip the growth on the Industrial business side. Both are growing for the distribution business.

Harshit Kapadia · Elara Capitalweak

On Marine in Industrials - given defense-related ships growing, what kind of growth and from which quarter will it fructify?

There is steady growth in that segment, dependent on government orders and tender-based projects. There's nothing specific I can say about a period because these are largely government tender-based projects.

Aditya Mongia · Kotak Securitiesweak

On exports - we see QSK38 and QSK50 engines becoming relevant U.S. exports recently and U.S. opening up on these nodes. Tariffs aside, can U.S. become more sizable share of sales over next few years?

Remains to be seen. The products definitely have been launched and we saw good traction from the market. Now we have to evaluate the current situation and see how that impacts us. But yes, there is a possibility of growth in that market through these products, definitely.

Aditya Mongia · Kotak Securitiesdeflection

From INR1,600-1,700 crores run rate to INR2,000 crores - is bulk of this change due to share gains with macro still weak, implying second uptick possible if macro changes?

Very different market by market. There are places where we have been able to provide the right products through the right channel. These are various markets we sell to - Europe itself is many markets, so is Africa, Middle East. Difficult to say how we would have gained share in each of those different markets and how this would have moved.

Aditya Mongia · Kotak Securitiesdeflection

Birdseye view - which segment among Powergen, exports and distribution would you focus on most for value creation? Predecessor was talking about distribution having a 5-year decent track record.

Tough question - I would not want to pick one segment because the India domestic market presents opportunities across the board. Powergen has demand growing because of need for backup power. Industrial because of government spend, infrastructure spend presents opportunities. Distribution business continues to grow owing to higher growth of engines on ground, higher penetration and new products. I would not want to pick up one segment because there are opportunities across the board.

Pulkit Patni · Goldman Sachsdeflection

What capex should we build in for the next couple of years - around INR225 crores spent last year, can we bake in similar?

I won't be able to give you numbers. But like I said, we've been continuously investing in capex over the last few years. You could build in a very similar scenario.

Other Q&A (22)
Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securities

Will BESS be largely targeted at C&I customers for auxiliary power, and can you also offer utility-grade BESS solutions for grid stability?

We're starting with C&I customers - the nodes we have launched are for C&I customers. We will showcase our value proposition to our customers and then take calls on whether to go to utility grade or not. We will absolutely evaluate that as we go along in the next few months.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securities

On the strong Powergen growth this quarter despite May being impacted by Operation Sindoor, was there any one-off project order-based revenue or is it just core G-Drive growth?

This is core G-Drive growth. There's been a lot of focus across all segments in the market, a lot of stabilization in the CPCB IV+ product and good order building and execution. Great execution as well to deliver what the market needed across the board. No major project business booked till this quarter.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securities

Any color on pricing, utilization and volumes of CPCB IV versus CPCB II? You said you were tracking at 85% earlier - how has volume stabilized and have you seen pricing correction?

From a volume perspective, we are back to pre-CPCB IV+ volumes now in the market. From a pricing perspective, there is now a good settlement of pricing in the market. There is a lot of competition still and that will continue, but pricing more or less seems to have settled. Our endeavor is to continue holding on to prices, evaluating on a deal-by-deal basis based on customer needs.

Nitin Arora · Axis Mutual Fund

On the 30%+ Powergen growth - is it broad-based? Which segments are sustainable on the Powergen side? And does this growth look sustainable?

Powergen growth this quarter was very broad-based. Key segments that did well include quick commerce which continues growing, and the mission-critical segment including government infrastructure spend-based segments like roads, hospitals, airports, manufacturing and pharma. The growth is very broad-based and this looks sustainable.

Nitin Arora · Axis Mutual Fund

On exports - is the bump up because of pre-buying or are markets settling and inventories normalizing? How are you thinking about exports going forward?

We are still cautiously optimistic on exports. There are still various geopolitical issues. The reason exports have been performing for us is because we've been focusing on end markets and what products they need, running specific projects to improve product positioning. So this is a result of focused efforts, not necessarily all markets picking up demand. That's why we stay cautious about exports.

Umesh Raut · Nomura India

On the distribution segment growing 19% - is growth largely due to new product launches like DF kits, RAS, power management, DGBlue, hydraulic filters, track recording car and hotel load converter? Can you share TAM for new products?

The distribution business growth is primarily due to better penetration in Powergen and railways, better execution and is broad-based. The new products have started to contribute, but I would not say growth is primarily based on new products. It is based on better penetration in traditional Powergen and railway segments and providing better aftermarket solutions to our customers.

Umesh Raut · Nomura India

With CPCB IV+, will consolidation happen in favor of branded players in aftermarket business and could opportunity be higher for distribution business given electronic content?

You are absolutely right. That gives a better opportunity because the products are technologically more advanced than what we had in the CPCB II era. The products are more advanced and will require better aftermarket support and technically strong teams on the ground to help our customers. So you're right, it could lead to better opportunities.

Mohit · ICICI Securities

Can you give the breakup between HHP, MHP and LHP sales in Powergen during the quarter?

Low horsepower for this quarter is INR84 crores, medium range is INR229 crores, heavy duty is around INR115 crores, and high horsepower is INR628 crores, totaling INR1,056 crores for the quarter.

Mohit · ICICI Securities

Is data center sales contributing more than 20% of HHP Powergen? How are you seeing data center sales this fiscal year vs last fiscal?

Data center is 15% to 20% of overall Powergen sales, not just high horsepower. We have been seeing steady growth in the data center market comparable to the rest of the Powergen segment growth as compared to last year.

Jason Soans · IDBI Capital

Some color on the Industrial side - subsegments like mining, construction, compressor and breakup for the quarter?

For this quarter, Construction segment clocked INR147 crores; Rail INR148 crores; Compressor INR56 crores, totaling INR418 crores. Railways performed really well owing to orders for diesel electric power cars. Construction had steady growth though some projects were affected due to early monsoon. Compressor segment continued on steady demand, comparable to last quarter.

Rahul Gajare · Haitong Securities

Have you been able to cater to all data center demand given imports of higher nodes? With Caterpillar picking up share due to shorter delivery timelines, what are you doing to shorten timelines for imports of nodes 3,000-3,500+?

There's a lot of work going on to shorten lead times on those nodes, not just for our market but worldwide. We are also working with customers to generate orders in advance and deliver based on their site readiness. We have been able to fulfill the demand that has come our way - we have definitely not lost because of our inability to deliver.

Rahul Gajare · Haitong Securities

Will data center demand continue this way given you didn't specifically call out data center in earlier sectors?

Demand from data centers is continuing. I specifically did not call out data centers because that has been steady for the last few quarters. I only highlighted some segments that did really well this quarter. Data center demand is steady and continuing for the time being.

Rahul Gajare · Haitong Securities

Are there specific areas where you've seen demand drastically collapse or significantly reduce, including inquiry levels?

We haven't seen any segment dropping demand to the level that it comes to our notice. It's been quite broad-based. No such segment like that.

Chandrakant Kanase · Ericsson

On flexible fuel engines - are we ready to launch them in India? What is the potential?

We have something we are working on globally called HELM platform. But right now, we do not yet see the need to launch it. Given Powergen segment is the most important and growing segment that might require options beyond diesel, there is a dual fuel kit available to help customers try diesel along with gas. The dual fuel kit is already launched in the market, catering to customers who want gas as well as diesel as fuel.

Saif Sohrab Gujar · ICICI Prudential AMC

Clarification - is the 31% Powergen growth without any project business revenue this quarter?

There is project business revenue in it. There are no one-offs. The question was around one-off growth items - there are no one-off growth items, but definitely there is project focus in that.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securities

What is the composition of CPCB IV engines now in total Powergen mix and revenues this quarter? Will it be 80-85%?

Below 910 kVA is fully CPCB IV+. Of the full domestic Powergen business of INR1,000-odd crores this quarter, roughly 60% is CPCB IV+ and 40% is non-CPCB.

Parikshit Kandpal · HDFC Securities

On hydrogen electrolyzers - any update? Any traction from customers wanting to try out Cummins electrolyzer products for power backup?

Hydrogen electrolyzers are not for power backup. Hydrogen electrolyzers are just to generate hydrogen for the customers. That is not something that we've heard too much on in the market in the recent past.

Harshit Kapadia · Elara Capital

Is your data center growth concern related to demand from a large U.S. IT company coming down because of AI, given higher exposure to that customer? Worried about FY27/28?

No, we are not worried about that. We still have a robust order board on the data center from all different kinds of data center players, be it the ones from the U.S. or be it the ones from India. There is a strong order board on the data center side.

Aditya Mongia · Kotak Securities

Clarification - you said Powergen revenues are back to CPCB II levels. How far away is the market to reach that stage and can it happen this year?

My comment was not about Powergen revenues. My comment was about overall market volumes. Overall market volumes at this point in time are back to CPCB II levels. That was what my comment was about.

Anupam Goswami · SUD Life

Can you summarize growth across segments and which factors lead to it? Specifically Industrials and Powergen.

On Powergen, segments like quick commerce, mission-critical (hospitals, roads, airports), manufacturing and pharma have presented opportunities and continue to grow at robust pace - across nodes. On Industrial business, demand from railway diesel electric tower car and power cars continues. Construction was impacted slightly by monsoons but steady. Distribution business continues at similar growth. Given domestic economy performance, we believe this will continue at least for some time.

Anupam Goswami · SUD Life

From last year, what changes are there given CPCB IV stabilization and disruptions behind us? Where is market opening up and what is our USP/advantage?

On USPs, in Powergen we have very good customer relationships built over years. Brand promise on reliability and innovation works in our favor. CPCB IV+ product being technologically advanced is well accepted. Aftermarket support is well appreciated. On Industrial side, our execution ability for customized tender-based orders and aftermarket support over long periods are key USPs that are well accepted by the market and showing growth areas.

Pulkit Patni · Goldman Sachs

Looking at last couple of years - we've done well on growth and tight on costs (employee costs, VRS etc.). For next 3-4 years growth, how should we look at costs - are we rightsized or need to rebuild capacity? How should we think about capex utilization?

We have been focusing a lot on costs and working hard to optimize costs to the right level - employee cost and other spends will continue. Capacity-wise, we have been putting capital into upgrading and expanding lines continuously over last few years and that will continue. Capacity utilization is around 65% to 70% but that's because we've been continuously putting capital. Going forward, we will have leverage gain due to optimization, but also continue investing to fuel future growth.

Prepared remarks (4 blocks)
Hope you and your family are doing well and are staying healthy. Welcome to the Cummins India Limited Quarter 1 2025-'26 Earnings Conference Call. I am Shveta Arya, Managing Director of Cummins India Limited. Joining me on the call today is Soma Ghosh, Chief Financial Officer of Cummins India Limited. Thank you all for joining us today on this call. Now I would like to share the financial results of quarter 1 FY '26. For the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with respect to the same quarter last year, our sales at INR<strong>2,859 crore</strong>s were higher by 26% compared to INR2,262 crores recorded in the same quarter last year. Domestic sales at INR2,336 crores are higher by 25%. Exports at INR523 crores are higher by 34%. Profit before tax at INR726 crores is higher by 32%. Profit before tax after exceptional items at INR770 crores is higher by 40%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with respect to the last quarter, our sales at INR2,859 crores are higher by 18% compared to INR2,414 crores recorded in the last quarter. Domestic sales at INR2,336 crores are higher by 21%. Exports at INR523 crores are higher by 9%.
Profit before tax before exceptional items at INR<strong>726 crore</strong>s is higher by 7% and profit before tax after exceptional items at INR770 crores is higher by 13%. The segment-wise sales breakup for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, is as I will speak now. Powergen domestic sales were at INR1,056 crores, 31% increase over last year and 21% increase over last quarter. Distribution business sales were at INR777 crores, 19% increase over last year and 23% increase over last quarter. Industrial domestic business sales were INR418 crores, 12% increase over last year and 10% increase over last quarter. High horsepower exports were INR257 crores, 27% increase over last year and 18% increase over last quarter. Low horsepower exports were INR225 crores, 46% increase over last year and 5% increase over last quarter. While we continue to monitor the geopolitical uncertainty around global tax and trade policies, India's economy remains stable. Remaining cautiously optimistic, we anticipate having double-digit growth in the full year 2025-'26. I now open the session for questions.
For the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with respect to the same quarter last year, our sales at INR<strong>2,859 crore</strong>s were higher by 26% compared to INR2,262 crores recorded in the same quarter last year. Domestic sales at INR2,336 crores are higher by 25%. Exports at INR523 crores are higher by 34%. Profit before tax at INR726 crores is higher by 32%. Profit before tax after exceptional items at INR770 crores is higher by 40%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with respect to the last quarter, our sales at INR2,859 crores are higher by 18% compared to INR2,414 crores recorded in the last quarter. Domestic sales at INR2,336 crores are higher by 21%. Exports at INR523 crores are higher by 9%.
Profit before tax before exceptional items at INR<strong>726 crore</strong>s is higher by 7% and profit before tax after exceptional items at INR770 crores is higher by 13%. The segment-wise sales breakup for the quarter ended June 30, 2025: Powergen domestic sales were at INR1,056 crores, 31% increase over last year and 21% increase over last quarter. Distribution business sales were at INR777 crores, 19% increase over last year and 23% increase over last quarter. Industrial domestic business sales were INR418 crores, 12% increase over last year and 10% increase over last quarter. High horsepower exports were INR257 crores, 27% increase over last year and 18% increase over last quarter. Low horsepower exports were INR225 crores, 46% increase over last year and 5% increase over last quarter.
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