Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q4 FY26
HINDZINC Hindustan Zinc Limited · Other Q4 FY26 · concall
Pattern: sulfuric acid contribution cost

Q4FY26 delivered all-time high EBITDA INR7,747cr and net cash INR5,594cr.

2 weak · 30 clean pushback across 2 of 32 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 2 of 32

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama Wealth Managementweak

Revenue from others increased from INR783 crores to INR1,362 crores this quarter. How much can sulfuric acid prices or the by-product credits contribute to cost of production?

Sulfuric acid prices are linked with the sulfur index and also subject to government control for fertilizers. Whatever we have seen in Q4 and in April should continue as a stable trend. It is more like an offsetting - if input commodity increases, these prices increase and we get offsets.

Vikas Singh · ICICI Securitiesweak

On the long-term target of 2 million tons, with an additional 25% premium on mines and higher capex costs, any IRR estimates which you can share for the new projects?

For 250 KTPA we have done the IRR estimate. We don't declare the IRR, but it's a double-digit IRR, much better than industry benchmark. Capex cost is around $2,600 per ton. For the 1 million ton, we need to finalize the conceptualization and layout first, but I can confirm it will also be a double-digit IRR.

Other Q&A (30)
Manav Gogia · Yes Securities India Limited

Would it be possible for you to give me what the hedge quantity across zinc and silver would be for both Q1FY27 and the whole year of FY27?

For Q1, zinc is hedged at 20 KT spread between April to June at an average price of $3,100, and silver is hedged 25 tons at an average price of $57. For the full year FY27, 71 KT is hedged at an average price of $3,225 per ton and silver is hedged at 59 tons at an average price of $60 per troy ounce.

Manav Gogia · Yes Securities India Limited

The presentation states that we plan to take silver capacities up to 830 tons by 2029, but this year's run rate has been roughly 622 to 630. How should we see the run rate from here onwards?

This will come along with the expansion of the 250 KT smelter. When that 250 KTPA smelter gets added, total will be about 1.35 to 1.4 million ton of metal, and MIC would be about 1.5 to 1.55 million ton. We are also commissioning the LGLC circuit which will produce additional silver, plus the new smelter with its own fumer. By that time, some tailings recycling will also come back. Altogether it will be crossing 800 tons of silver by that time.

Manav Gogia · Yes Securities India Limited

During Q4 we did around 176 tons for silver. Would it be safe to assume we can maintain this run rate going ahead in Q1, Q2 and for the remaining part of FY27?

Our guidance is 680 tons for the entire year. We'll follow the similar pattern. If you consider last year we did the MIC sale in which 37 tons of silver equivalent was there, adding that to 627 gets us to 664. If lead metal prices fall while zinc prices are up, we'll tilt production towards more zinc and less lead, selling the lead MIC surplus while recovering silver through the lead MIC sale route.

Manav Gogia · Yes Securities India Limited

There's a 35% sequential jump in other expenses. What were the key reasons behind the same?

HZL has set up various ancillary businesses with third parties where we provide them smelter residue - the PF cake containing zinc and cadmium - and then purchase back finished goods or WIP used in other smelting or mining processes. The sale is recorded as other operating income and the purchase as other expenditure. The amount is around INR600 crores both sides. This trend will increase to maybe INR1,200 crores to INR1,500 crores annually on both sides.

Pallav Agarwal · Antique Stock Broking

Q4 cost was pretty low at $900 per ton but for the full year guidance is about $975 to $1,000. Will there be such a steep increase in Q1 or will that be more towards the second half?

The Q4 cost had significant benefit from mining grade of 7.9% versus full year average of around 7.5%, and 10 bps of mining grade impacts $7 in cost. Q1 historically we have been around 7.3% to 7.4%. The current geopolitical environment also affects input costs - diesel, propane gas, chemical, explosive. We have factored those. $975 to $1,000 is good enough and we should be able to do much below that as the situation improves.

Pallav Agarwal · Antique Stock Broking

Have we seen any impact of the shortage of natural gas? Has it impacted our production or led to higher costs in Q4?

It is a marginally higher cost in Q4, maybe around $11 per ton, but on the production point of view, no impact.

Pallav Agarwal · Antique Stock Broking

Could you give us the RE proportion of renewable energy consumption in FY26 and how much that will increase in FY27?

FY26 we closed for the full year around 18% renewable energy and for the full year in FY27, we should be between 30% to 35%.

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama Wealth Management

When we move from 1,048 KT metal to 1,100 KT metal, that means more acid and residues. Can you guide how much per ton could be sustainable?

When we move from 1,048 KT metal to 1,100 KT metal, that means much more acid and more residues will be available. This effort is sustainable and volumes are only increasing going forward. This other income going up every year - unless prices crash, we see a good prospect of sustaining this kind of an earning. The quantities of material will keep on increasing along with the increase in mined metal and refined metal.

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama Wealth Management

In the next phase of expansion, you mentioned a second phase in the next six months. Where are we on that or will you complete the first phase before starting the second?

We are absolutely on the job. Earlier we were thinking of making two or three different smelters in different locations. Then we decided instead to bring everything together in one place. Designers have confirmed that in one location about 600-700 KTPA smelter can be put - meaning a 1 million ton smelter in one location. That design has been finalized. Commercial process is ongoing. In another one month we should be able to place the order. Mills order will close between the first or second week of June.

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama Wealth Management

Where is this 600-700 KT smelter being put - Rajasthan only?

Rajasthan, all Rajasthan only and we want to bring it in the similar distances because we don't want to carry concentrate on far distances.

Ashish Kejriwal · Nuvama Wealth Management

With such a large capex plan, do we have comfort from the government on mine renewal beyond 2030?

We are comfortable because we have the first right of refusal. So in any case we - it's only a matter of how much premium we are ready to pay, but just by bidding people cannot take it away.

Pinakin · HSBC

The silver production guidance looks a bit underwhelming. When can we see silver production spike up sharply to 700-725 tons? Should we expect production to remain in the 670-680 range for the next 2 years?

That can happen when the zinc prices fall to say $2,800 to $3,000 per ton. If zinc prices fall and silver remains at say $60 a troy ounce, it will make much more sense to produce more lead and silver. When we do that, then we'll surely see the numbers going up to 700 tons plus.

Pinakin · HSBC

So as a company we cannot have higher silver prices and higher silver production simultaneously - they are mutually exclusive?

Our mines produce zinc-rich ore. With zinc LME at $3,100-$3,200 on average or picking up to $3,400, if you put the volumes, producing 30,000 tons of additional zinc brings more money than 30 tons additional silver.

Pinakin · HSBC

The quarter has just started and you've declared FY27 dividend. What is the thought process? Also, has the brand fee/royalty fee been paid to the parent and were there any changes?

Last year also in June we declared the first interim dividend for FY26. Dividend is out of the earnings the company has - we have almost INR22,000 crores worth of retained earnings. The Board approved the first interim dividend of INR11, which is around INR4,300 crores. The brand license and strategic services fee has been paid as per the contract with Vedanta Limited. This year it is around INR1,300 crores, versus around INR1,100 crores in FY26.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

When is the contract for the brand fee due for revision in terms of the percentage share?

The brand and royalty strategic services fees contract is valid till 2030. So in between there is no renewal. It's settled at the end of the year basis the annual accounts. For FY26, after the annual accounts audit, we have to pay INR100 crores pertaining to FY26.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

FY26 dividend paid was some INR21 which is a decline versus last year despite profitability going up. Going forward with earnings tailwinds, should we expect a high payout to continue or is there a plan to pile on cash for capex?

The Board will continue to balance between paying dividend and investing for the expansion. Both will continue. When we declared the expansion, the question put to me was whether we'd be able to pay dividend. Our operations are proving we are able to maintain both - we can pay dividend as well as continue to invest in our assets.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

Conceptually, cash flows will be used for dividend and growth and we would not be using debt for growth expansion, right?

Ideally no, but if there is a cash timeline mismatch or if the loan is much cheaper because of our balance sheet strength, we would take those calls. But primarily we are earning enough to fund our growth.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

On the hedging strategy, broadly what should we expect? Are we continuously monitoring to increase or broadly 10% to 15% is the range and the rest left to market?

Our philosophy and policy has been to hedge between 10% to 20%. At this point of time, we are comfortable with the 10%. In the last quarter we have not hedged anything. We'll continue to be comfortable at 10%. We will not be going beyond 12 months for hedging. That is very sure.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

With respect to our half a million ton fertilizer plant, can you share the volume expectation, ramp-up schedule, economics, and are we facing any RM challenges due to the ongoing conflict in Middle East?

We have not started operations at all. Another 3 months down the line we should be able to start our phosphoric acid plant, which is the first part. Then maybe 2026 end or early 2027, which is January, we will be able to start our DAP manufacturing plant. Right now there is no impact of rock phosphate and all that on our operations.

Raashi · Citi

What was the revenue and the EBITDA from the lead concentrate sales during Q4?

Quarter 4 revenue from lead concentrate was around INR500 crores and EBITDA was around INR330 crores. EBITDA in Q3 was around INR250 crores and this time INR330 crores. It is a function of prices, USD-INR rate, TC/RC, and the quantity sold.

Raashi · Citi

What was the hedging loss in the fourth quarter and for the full year?

I will not say it's a loss - it is a delta compared to the prevalent market prices. INR1,100 crores was the delta between the hedge price and the market price for Q4. The delta for the full year was INR1,500 crores.

Raashi · Citi

Could you break down the FY26 capex into growth and maintenance?

Total capex was INR3,600 crores for the full year and growth capex was INR2,000 crores.

Jainam Shah · Indsec Securities & Finance

You've said you'll be planning to take the renewable energy share to 32% to 35%. Could you give us the timeline of how we are going to reach 70%?

70% is by FY28 as we committed earlier as part of our sustainability goals. By FY28 we'll be 70% round the clock. Every 2% renewable energy increase will have a $1 cost reduction. We still stand by it. If we move from 20% to 70%, we can see the further potential of $25 per ton cost reduction.

Jainam Shah · Indsec Securities & Finance

In terms of VAP share for FY26, could you share the number? And we are planning to take it to 50% - how much would realization improve in coming years?

We have around 24% VAP in FY26. In our zinc case, VAP commands only about $50 to $60 per ton over and above normal SHG zinc - not like aluminum VAP that commands $500 or $1,000 extra. It is more about supplying to customers in India and increasing domestic market share rather than profit increment.

Jainam Shah · Indsec Securities & Finance

When do we plan to come up with the final plan for the 600 KT expansion, with detailed capex and revenue potential?

We are working on the 1 million ton smelter, out of which 250 KT has already started within Rajasthan. By the end of Q1 we should be ready with the complete conceptual plan, layout, and engineering. We can then look at a July Board announcement after the full feasibility.

Vikas Singh · ICICI Securities

Silver prices in the last quarter touched even $100 plus. If we are hedging certain quantity every month, our average should have been higher than what you said. Have we stopped hedging after certain point realizing our mistake?

I don't think anybody could say it's a mistake. Every company has a policy of hedging the volume. We hedge 10% to 20% of annual volume accordingly. We stopped after the 10% hedging. After Q3 we have not hedged anything, not on account of anything else but more on account of the company's strategy. Given 58-59% EBITDA margin and silver being a by-product, it's not worthwhile to experiment and do the hedging beyond 10%.

Vikas Singh · ICICI Securities

At end of Q2 overall hedging for second half FY26 was almost 45-50% of total silver production. Is there any standardization to keep on hedging 10-15% on a rolling basis?

We are not following the policy of rolling 12 months. Our philosophy is that we will not go beyond 12 months. We'll relook at 10% to 20% whenever required. If at 10%, there is no compulsion to go up to 20%, and no compulsion to increase back to 10% if a position is unwound.

Prateek Singh · IIFL Capital

For FY26 the dividend given was INR10 and INR11 will count in FY27, is that correct? And is the minimum 30% of PAT dividend policy staying as of now regardless of capex?

Yes, INR10 was the dividend in FY26 and INR11 will count for FY27. Absolutely, the minimum 30% dividend policy stays.

Prateek Singh · IIFL Capital

We saw a decent increase in other operating income. What was that driven by? Was sulfuric acid sales part of it and how are sulfuric acid prices comparing to Q3?

Other operating income consists of two main items: sulfuric acid and by-products, scrap and residue. We have also entered into agreements with third parties for ancillary businesses where residue is processed and finished goods like cadmium are returned for our processes. Around INR600 crores for the whole year is part of both other operating income and other expenditure - an offsetting item. For the cost credit, scrap and residue sales were around INR1,000 crores and sulfuric acid was around INR1,400 crores for the whole year.

Prateek Singh · IIFL Capital

What was the coal sourcing mix and how are e-auction prices from Coal India tracking given the gas shortage?

For the whole year we were around 53% domestic coal and 18% renewable energy, so about 70% from these sources and 30% imported coal. For Q4, around 64% was domestic coal and 18% renewable, with the remainder imported. We have the linkage coal option with prices determined by Coal India. We have not seen any steep increase in domestic coal. There is a huge delta between imported and domestic coal of almost 40%. We source only very marginally through e-auction.

Prepared remarks (5 blocks)
Thank you, operator, and good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the fourth quarter and full year FY '26 results. In this call, we will refer to our investor presentation available on our company's website. Please note that today's entire discussion will be covered by the safe harbor clause mentioned on slide two of the presentation. Today we have Mr. Arun Misra, our CEO, and Mr. Sandeep Modi, our CFO. The management will be discussing the operational and financial updates for the quarter, followed by a Q&A session. Now I would like to invite Mr. Arun Misra to present the results. Over to you, sir.
A very good evening to all of you. Thank you for joining us today. Before we begin, it is with deep sorrow that I share an unfortunate incident at our Zawar mines on 25th of January 2026, wherein we lost an employee of our business partner due to an unexpected man-machine interaction. I extend my deepest condolences to the bereaved family and stand with them in this moment of profound grief. We have provided them our unwavering support during this difficult time. Such incidents are deeply distressing and reinforce the critical importance of fostering a strong safety-first culture across our organization, something we continuously strive to strengthen. Following a thorough investigation, we are committed to disseminating learnings across the organization while implementing corrective measures and strengthening safety protocols to prevent such tragedies in future. As part of our efforts to prevent such interactions through digitalization, we have launched a collision avoidance system at our Sindesar Khurd mine, covering underground equipment and personnel. We believe this initiative along with other safety interventions during this year will further strengthen our journey towards achieving our goal of zero harm. This year, we set a new milestone by crossing <strong>1.1 million</strong> tons of mined metal while sustaining over 1 million ton of refined metal production for the fourth consecutive year. This performance was further reinforced by a record-breaking fourth quarter with highest ever mined and refined metal production. We also achieved record ore resources and reserves of 468.6 million tons with 25 years plus of mining life and recorded highest ever metal reserves of around 14 million tons and highest ever silver reserve of 10,900 tons since underground transition. On our journey to becoming a multi-metal enterprise, we have secured three critical mineral blocks: potash, tungsten, and rare earths. We have established clear timelines with work now underway. On sustainability front, I would like to share that Hindustan Zinc has been featured in the top 1% of the S&P Global Sustainability Yearbook for the ninth consecutive year, reflecting our strong commitment to sustainability and ESG leadership. We remain focused on our 2030 goals with progress across key areas, 18.0% renewable energy consumption, deployment of 180 LNG and 52 electric vehicles, improved water management, reduced waste to landfill, and enhanced gender diversity. Further, I am proud to share a landmark achievement: our Chanderiya Lead Zinc Smelter has become India's first site to receive the Zinc Mark and Copper Mark certification, a testament to our commitment to responsible resource use, lower environmental impact, and industry-leading standards. Our CSR initiatives reached over 2.6 million lives across over 4,000 villages, with Nand Ghars in Rajasthan nearly doubling to 9,274. We remain committed to inclusive growth through focused interventions. Moving to the market development, India continues to remain a standout among major economies with manufacturing PMI sustaining strong momentum above 55 levels during the year. The country's GDP growth for FY 2027 is expected to remain resilient at around 6.4% to 6.9% supported by continued government capex, infrastructure push, and robust domestic consumption. Against a volatile global macroeconomic backdrop, base metal markets have remained relatively resilient. During the quarter, zinc prices touched a high of $3,487 per ton with an average of $3,241 per ton, while lead peaked at $2,040 per ton, averaging at $1,931 per ton. This performance reflects tight market conditions and steady demand from infrastructure, galvanization, and battery segments. Silver, however, continues to stand out, maintaining strong momentum supported by robust industrial demand, particularly from solar and electronics, alongside continued investor interest.
While prices have normalized from peak levels, the medium-term outlook remains constructive, driven by structural demand from energy transition and limited supply growth. Turning to operational performance, we delivered a record-breaking quarter with mined metal production at 315 KT and refined metal production of 282 KT. This led to historic full year performance with mined metal at <strong>1.1 million</strong> tons and second highest refined metal of 1,048 KT. The growth was driven by higher ore production and improved mined metal grades. On the refined metal side, output was supported by debottlenecking at Chanderiya and Dariba, improved plant utilization, and enhanced operational efficiencies, resulting in higher throughput and better asset performance. On the cost front, despite a volatile geopolitical environment, we achieved the lowest quarterly zinc cost of production excluding royalty since underground transition at $903 per ton, reflecting a decline of 9.0% year-on-year and 4.0% quarter-on-quarter. lower power cost, improved by-product realization, and operating leverage benefits from increased volume. On a full year basis, we delivered a five-year low cost of production at $959 per ton, well below our guidance of $1,000 per ton. This underscores the structural strength of our cost base and reinforces our position on the global cost curve. Our quarterly silver production stood at 176 tons, up 11.0% sequentially. For the full year, silver production stood at 627 tons, impacted by change in mining sequence. Supported by strong silver prices, our precious metal portfolio achieved a milestone performance, contributing 45.0% to the overall profitability. Further, to capitalize on the favorable price environment and optimize inventory, we strategically sold 12,000 tons of lead concentrate during the quarter. Including similar actions in the previous quarter, total silver equivalent sales amounted to 37 tons, effectively enhancing overall silver contribution towards the financial performance. This combination of lowest cost of production, strong output, and commodity tailwinds translated into all-time high financial performance both the quarter and full year. During the quarter, we delivered record revenue of INR13,544 crores, highest ever EBITDA of INR7,747 crores, and record net profit of INR5,033 crores, marking a new milestone for the company. On the growth projects front, we are making steady progress for the 250,000 tons per annum integrated zinc smelter at Debari. Site mobilization is complete and detailed engineering is largely finalized. At Rampura Agucha, site work for the tailings reprocessing plant has commenced, with engineering completed. In parallel, we are accelerating exploration for our 2x growth plans with partners onboarded at Zawar and Rajpura Dariba. On technology-led initiatives, we are advancing the Hot Acid Leaching process to unlock additional value for smelter waste through recovery of additional lead and silver. Given its complexity as a first-of-its-kind project in India, commissioning is now expected in 2Q FY '27. The fertilizer project is also on track for commissioning in early 2Q FY '27. Looking into the year ahead, with a well-structured capex roadmap in place, we are confident in sustaining this strong performance in the year ahead with an expected mined metal production of 1,150 KTPA, plus or minus 10 KT, and a refined metal production of 1,100 KTPA, plus or minus 10 KT, with an expected refined silver production of 680 tons, plus or minus 10 tons. Hindustan Zinc is entering a defining phase of its growth, anchored in scale, cost leadership, and a relentless focus on excellence. With a strong balance sheet and a clear strategic roadmap, we are poised to invest decisively, expand our resource base, and unlock new avenues of growth.
Misra, and good evening, everyone. The global macro environment continues to be marked by uneven growth and geopolitical volatility. In contrast, India remains relatively resilient with FY26 GDP growth estimated at around <strong>7.6%</strong>, moderating to 6.4% to 6.9% in FY27, supported by strong domestic demand, infrastructure-led capex, and political continuity. Commodity markets remain sensitive in the near term. However, underlying metal fundamentals are increasingly constructive with energy transition accelerating zinc and silver demand structurally. While zinc demand remains stable supported by galvanization, lead continues to witness steady battery-driven demand, and silver stands out structurally with strong demand from solar and electronics driving a sustained deficit. These fundamentals provide support to current price levels. Against this backdrop, our focus on cost leadership, operational excellence, and balance sheet strength positions us well for sustained value creation. Turning to the performance, both the quarter and the full year marked milestone achievements. For the first time, we have crossed INR40,000 crores in the revenue and INR20,000 crores in EBITDA for the full year. This year's record volume and lower average cost undermine our margin resilience, showcasing our structural cost leadership, silver-led profitability upside, and disciplined growth capex, which position us well for sustained value creation across cycles. In Q4 FY26, we delivered our highest ever quarterly revenue of INR13,544 crores, up 49.0% year-on-year and 23.0% quarter-on-quarter, driven by higher production, a supportive commodity environment, improved by-product realization, and rupee depreciation. Quarterly EBITDA stood at record INR7,747 crores, up 61.0% Y-o-Y and 27.0% quarter-on-quarter, with industry-leading EBITDA margin of 57.0%. This performance was supported by higher revenue and the lowest ever quarterly zinc cost of production since underground transition at $903 per ton.
Key drivers included higher domestic coal usage at <strong>64.0%</strong>, softened coal prices of imported ones, higher production, and strong by-product realization along with the better mine grades. Reflecting the strong operating performance, we delivered our highest ever quarterly net profit of INR5,033 crores, up 68.0% Y-o-Y and 29.0% quarter-on-quarter. For the full year, we achieved record revenue of INR40,844 crores, EBITDA of INR22,162 crores, and a net profit of INR13,832 crores. Zinc cost of production for the FY26 stood at $959 per ton, the lowest in last five years and well below our guided range. Free cash flow before growth capex and renewable investment for the year was INR13,337 crores. For FY27, we have guided zinc cost of production excluding royalty at $975 to $1,000 per ton, reflecting prevailing global uncertainties. Planned capital expenditure for FY27 is in the range of $500 million to $600 million towards announced growth projects. Our strong cash generation enabled us to close the year with a net cash position of INR5,594 crores as of March '26, compared to a net debt position of INR1,169 crores at the close of the last year. Our gross cash position is around INR14,000 crores as at March '26. During FY26, we also contributed around INR19,000 crores to national exchequer, including more than INR6,000 crores to the state of Rajasthan, underscoring our role as a significant contributor to the economy and the state. We also made meaningful progress in long-term value creation. During the year, Hindustan Zinc was included in the Nifty 100, Nifty Next 50, and multiple Nifty ESG indices. We now rank among the top five Nifty metal companies and are among the top companies in the Nifty 100. Our market capitalization stood at approximately INR2,12,000 crores at the end of March '26, and we touched a peak market cap of INR3,10,000 crores during the year. Overall, Q4 reflects the strength of our business model and execution, while FY26 marks a milestone year, setting new benchmarks across financial and operational metrics. Backed by technology, innovation, and strong sustainability framework, we remain well aligned with India's growth and energy transition priorities and are confident of delivering resilient growth and long-term value for all stakeholders.
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