Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q1 FY26
IDFCFIRSTB IDFC First Bank Ltd · Private bank Q1 FY26 · concall
Pattern: q1fy25 mfi slippages comparison

Q4FY26 absorbed the Rs. 646 crore fraud upfront.

4 deflections · 7 weak · 14 clean pushback across 11 of 25 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 11 of 25

Zhixuan Gao · Schonfelddeflection

And what's the number for first quarter '25 for the other MFI slippages?

Q1 of last year is what you are asking? We'll just get back to you on this. But since then, I would say the economic environment has also changed. So that may not be the right comparison.

Param Subramanian · Investec Indiaweak

So firstly, on asset quality again, right? So, if we see across product segments in this quarter, there is an increase in the NPA levels and also the SMA levels that you've called out. So, anything specific you want to highlight? A large peer of yours has called out stress in MSME segment.

No. So, we have seen a general increase. Of course, we are watchful of certain segments. And so essentially, some part of stress could sort of be there in the rural segment in certain states. We are watchful of that. But having said that, we're also seeing collection efficiency improvement in some of those states.

Anand Dama · Emkay Globaldeflection

So then for full year, what's the cost-income ratio that -- I mean, the core cost-income ratio that you would look at in FY '26?

Anand, it's difficult to guide because there are too many moving parts. But by Q4, definitely, as things improve, this should come down, but it's sort of difficult to pencil out a number as such.

Rohan Mandora · Equirus Securitiesdeflection

So, I just want to understand on the slippages in the seasonality part, what will be the quantum of that in this quarter?

Thanks Rohan. It's difficult to quantify that, but that usually, I would say, some bit of seasonality comes in Q1. And then the collection efforts are slightly muted and so on, right at start of the year and so on. Typically, Q4 is a strong quarter in that sense. So it's difficult to quantify seasonality as such, but we of course, expect slippages to sort of come off from here on.

Himanshu Taluja · Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limitedweak

Sir, second question is on the MFI business. Probably given this MFI, the proportion of the mix, which is there, probably it has come down over the last 1 year, and it may not go back to the earlier levels as well. What is given this is as an implication on your overall margins, how much of the permanent damage you expect on the margin front?

See, I'm not sure if you discussed earlier in the call or not, but like 5.8-ish or so is what we expect Q4 to be, right, Sudhanshu? So, for now, let us say, Q4, we're thinking like 5.8-ish. Now, next year will be next year. We'll have to see how it plays out.

Jayant Kharote · Axis Capitalweak

Sir, do you see increased competition? I mean, right now, the competition levels would be lower in unsecured credit, for example. Do you see that returning in Q2 and Q3?

Yes. So of course, we know that some members have talked about higher credit cost and something here or there. But I already answered this question maybe a few times that we are not seeing a material call out for us, on the credit quality front because asset quality is holding good. Gross NPA is still 1.97%, net is still, I think, 0.55% or something.

Jai · ICICI Securitiesweak

Sir, I mean, you have given the CASA number together, which is like 30% Y-o-Y growth. If you would have the number separately for CA and SA in rupees crores for this quarter and maybe Y-o-Y Q-o-Q also, just to get an understanding of the growth in CA and SA separately?

Jai, thanks for the question. So, we are broadly getting a similar growth in CA as well, but the CA as a proportion is still smaller for us, right? And that's about 15% of the total CASA. Our, of course, endeavor is to increase this CA proportion as we sort of go along.

Jai · ICICI Securitiesweak

Sir, I was trying to understand the SA movement in the last, let's say, 1 or 2 quarters, a lot of banks have cut SA rate drastically, right? And we now have a significant advantage over peers in terms of at least the SA rates. Has that shown in dramatically in the balances?

I think so. I mean it's just -- I don't think because end of the SA growth is very strong. So, see, in as in management and anything, it's very difficult to see what is hitting right for somebody, right? It's a combination, it's a brand, it's a tech, the UI/UX. It's a very, very good mobile app.

Jai · ICICI Securitiesdeflection

Last question, sir. We are now a large bank, right? And one of the fastest growing. On the Board side, just a small observation that we have one Executive Director, which resembles some of the small private banks. Whereas the large private banks, they have multiple EDs. So, when do you think we would hit that we would -- that time would come when we may have more than one ED?

Thank you. We'll think about it. We do think about these things at the Board. So, we'll think about this one also.

Harsh Modi · JPMorganweak

Definitely, it seems like your asset quality is holding much better than peers on the delivered numbers. But are there any early warning signs, let's say, 3 or 6 months from now, if we do end up getting some sort of weakness, what may be the possible areas where -- which could lead to slightly higher NPL stresses on your book?

So, what would be a material number, Harsh, that you would worry about? I'll answer the question accordingly. Would you say 5 basis points would bother you? Would you say 10 or 20? At what stage would you say that we should have called out?

Vishal Biraia · Bandhan AMCweak

Just a small thing that GNPAs on the home loan as well as LAP on a sequential basis has increased by about 14, 15 bps. Could you give as to why is this happening?

Okay. I mean last quarter, it was 70 bps. Okay. It's not on my sheet, so I'm not able to compare. But really, there's nothing to call out. Also, maybe the book is probably slowing down. We are not growing it that much. And anyway, home loans, as you know, is a very stable thing.

Other Q&A (14)
Zhixuan Gao · Schonfeld

Just on Slide 52, thank you for giving the breakup of the slippages. Just wondering what is the like-for-like number on the -- other than MFI slippage in first quarter of FY '25?

Other than MFI, the slippages are INR1,972 crores, right? So, it's across the various product lines which we have. We, of course, saw an increase of about INR350 crores from the previous quarter. But I also mentioned that we had one corporate case, an ATM service provider company, which slipped into NPA during the current quarter.

Param Subramanian · Investec India

Your thoughts on, say, unsecured MSME because one of your peers has called out that there is a rising delinquency here. And also in this quarter, I see higher delinquency in the credit card portfolio. So, anything there?

Credit card, of course, it has been very range bound. Of course, we saw some increase during the quarter, but I would say that it has remained quite stable over a period of time. To your other question of unsecured MSME, of course, there we are seeing credit cost, which is broadly similar to the overall credit cost, which we just quoted a while ago of about 2%.

Param Subramanian · Investec India

So, on margins, there are a lot of moving parts from here, right? So, MFI is coming down, there are actions we are taking on the funding cost side. So how to think about margins from this quarter onwards?

So, we would see definitely some more impact coming into Q2 because of the rate transmission, which is yet to happen completely. But as Vaidya mentioned that down the line, we would also see benefits from FD reduction coming in, and that should reflect in cost of funds coming down more sharper in coming quarters. So, we feel that by Q4, margins should broadly restore back to what we posted last quarter.

Anand Dama · Emkay Global

My first question is on your capital raising. So you have raised INR7,500 crores. Obviously, the capital is yet to come. Any covenant changes which have happened in that? And is there any risk that you see from the investor side that possibly this capital might not come or there could be a delay in that?

No, we are not seeing anything at this point of time. Not at all.

Anand Dama · Emkay Global

On your credit cost. So where do you see your overall credit cost settling for the full year? Secondly, your cost-income ratio also has come down in this quarter to about 69%. Where do you see your cost-to-income ratio settling over the next 3 quarters?

I thought credit cost we discussed earlier. I mean, discussed meaning I had a side talk with Sudhanshu, like 2% to 2.05%, I think, for this year call it like 2.05%, that's our best guess as we can see today. The number you're seeing 69% is actually, has treasury income also into it. So, actually, if you strip it out, you'll find that cost income has gone up this quarter.

Rohan Mandora · Equirus Securities

While you alluded to the fact that the slippages increase overall was across segments of products, but any customer cohort or any category of customers where we are seeing an increase in slippages? Or is it that certain customers have slipped where there are multiple linked accounts?

So nothing of that sort as such, but if you take out that ATM service provider, then the increase is about INR200 crores for the quarter, right? I'm saying -- and sequentially, if we take out that ATM service, the increase is about 9.5%. So, while it has increased, but we feel that it's not that kind of large increase, which has come through.

Himanshu Taluja · Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited

Particularly on the opex front, given this year, we see most of the banks are showing improvement on the operating expenses growth. Can you help me understand over the medium term, not in FY '26, but in FY '27, '28, how do you expect the operating expenses growth versus your advances growth? And where do you expect the cost-income ratio to settle over the medium term?

So Himanshu, thanks for the question. So operating expenses, we will continue to sort of moderate, and it should stay in the range of about 11% to 12% that kind of growth in the near term as well. And we have already guided on cost-to-income ratio of 65%, which we are targeting for FY '27, but still hope and belief is that we should try to come in there.

Himanshu Taluja · Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited

But once this segment will normalize, will you start growing this piece again what -- this piece again in FY '27?

It's an important question. Let me answer that. So the answer is, yes, we want to grow it. In this case, our own thinking is that probably it will bottom out at about INR7,500-odd crores. It's currently about INR8,500 crores. And then from there on, wherever industry grows, we'll probably keep in line with the industry.

Piran Engineer · CLSA

I just had one question on repo pass-through. So, let's say, the repo rate was cut on 7th or 8th June, when does that pass-through happen on your EBLR book?

So that pass-through to a great extent will happen in Q2 on the June cut. And I would say some bit of repo transmission for the earlier cuts would also have an impact in Q2.

Piran Engineer · CLSA

So then -- so Sudhanshu, then my question is now we are 5.7% NIM, we want to go in the next 3 quarters to 5.8%. Obviously, 2Q will be lower. How much more do we need to cut our TD rates by to reach that?

No, no. We assume where we are currently. That's what we think because capital is also coming.

Jayant Kharote · Axis Capital

This is a more qualitative question on credit growth. Very few of the banks have been able to manage this growth in 1Q. So I wanted to understand June, July trends and if there are any segments that you want to call out that can drive the recovery from 2Q onwards? And also general credit environment, are you seeing any stress buildup in any segment, which wasn't there in 4Q?

So, we have actually put out how this growth is coming. So, if you take a full 1-year Y-o-Y, you could see that INR22,000 crores has come from business finance, which is basically wholesale banking loans, business banking, working capital, CV/CE, etcetera. And then INR5,200 crores is coming from vehicle loans growth and INR8,400 crores is coming from mortgages growth.

Jai · ICICI Securities

Right. And sir, just on margins, right? So, this quarter, let's say, we have a decent 60%, 65% fixed rate book. And let's say, 50 basis point yield compression has actually resulted in 25 basis point yield NIM reduction, right? Similar things could happen in Q2, right?

Yes, of course. I think you got it right. That's why we pointed out that, you could have a situation where we, if you remember right at the beginning, I pointed out that your Q1, Q2 will go through this phase, where income will come down and cost of funds will not have come down proportionately. But Q2, we expect our NIM to come down.

Harsh Modi · JPMorgan

Right. So incremental is very limited 5, 10 basis points because there is a bit of a dichotomy here. We have multiple banks, NBFCs, big and small saying there are some degrees of risk that are watching certain segments, MSME, some CVCE, microfinance is an ongoing issue. But your commentary seems to be reasonably sanguine.

No, I generally believe your concern is a valid concern because if we give you a 50-bps shock, like tomorrow if we came back to you by end of the year and said, "Oh my God, it's not going to be 2% or 2.05% and it's going to be 2.55%, right? Now do we think any product of the bank would take us that zone? The answer is no.

Vishal Biraia · Bandhan AMC

Fair enough. And my second question is on the MSME side. Is there a change in the pace of disbursement on the MSME front? I mean I'm assuming LAP would also largely indirectly be MSME financing.

I know we said this many times in this call, has come about and other people are saying this and pointing out some concerns. Well, we also want to be very reasonable, but we are not seeing any material slowdown or anything like that. But you see for our overall business finance book, which has wholesale loans, wholesale loans has grown, and the rest of the book is muted only.

Prepared remarks (3 blocks)
Good evening. Really nice speaking to all of you. Away from what Sudhanshu spoke about, I'll just leave some key thoughts about how we think about how we're building the bank. And that has a bearing, of course, in the long term, medium term and even short term, but more in the medium and the long. Let me just say that the way we think about it, capital is the foundation. It's a foundation block. And really even without capital, even the best of business models, even with good returns, good margins, good everything, will go nowhere. So it's foundational. So in our bank, we have a strong capital. We always capitalize ourselves ahead of time. We just don't want to go low on fuel or on foundation. And this time, as you know, we have INR<strong>7,500 crore</strong>s that's just around the corner, our capital position is looking very strong. Number two, apart from capital, when we say deposits, as a raw material. If capital is foundation, that is a raw material. So good thing for IDFC Bank is that the deposit continues to come very strong. There's a slide somewhere in the presentation about how we were paying the premium, rather we were paying over the average cost of funds of the Indian banking system in 2020 and before was 280 basis points. We were paying more than the banking system. In the last 5 years, we have brought it down to just 60 basis points. So that's like a 220 basis points reduction. Today, our NIM is about like 5.7%? and our fees are about 2%. So , 5.7% plus 2% is 7.7%. And our credit cost, we are guiding always we keep saying 2-1-2 formula, meaning like 2% gross NPA, 1% net NPA and 2% credit cost. So, 2% credit cost actually translates to about 1.3% on the credit provisions as a percentage of assets. So , you take 7.7% and then you subtract 1.3%, you know you're sitting on a pretty good margin.
At our bank, we don't see , except the microfinance issue that is there, rest than that, things are broadly holding fine. Credit deposit ratio has now touched 94-ish-odd percent, which I'm pretty sure will come down to the 80% maybe early 90s by end of this year and certainly going into the 80s by next year. We were going very strong. We were making a loss. We moved to INR2,900 crores of PAT. Microfinance disturbed it. I take full responsibility for it. India is a large market. We are a small player. And from a INR2.5 lakh crore, we can keep growing for a while. Our gross NPA has always been 2%. Net NPA has always been 1%. Our credit cost to assets, if you take a combined period for the whole period, has always been around 2%. When you take a shorter-term view, so to say, right now, it's probably pinch from all sides because on one hand, the repo rates have come down, they pass it on to customers. The 50 basis points that happened last quarter, we got to pass it on this quarter. We have, the microfinance book that has shrunk by a good INR5,000 crores. So that has shrunk the income line. The deposit rates, we have dropped sharply, but that benefit will come in longer term. But good thing is that all of these things will reverse because when you look 1 year ahead, you will have found that the entire fixed deposit of a bank would have got repriced materially. We are not going to give you credit shocks. Of course, we gave you one on microfinance. I do feel, I do regret that, but other than that, very long we haven't.
- Balance sheet size stood at about INR3.6 lakh crores at June 30, 25, and this grew at about 18% on a Y-o-Y basis - Customer deposits crossed the INR2.5 lakh crores milestone and was at INR2.57 lakh crores at June; growth in customer deposits was very strong at 26% on a Y-o-Y basis - Retail deposits crossed INR2 lakh crores mark; CASA ratio improved sequentially and touched 48% at June - CASA deposits in value terms grew strongly at about 30% on a Y-o-Y basis; Retail Term deposits grew strongly at 21% on a Y-o-Y basis - During the quarter, we added 14 more branches, and that takes the branch count to now 1,016 - Repaid high-cost legacy borrowings of INR2,600-odd crores in the current quarter; residual stock is just now INR2,200 crores - Credit-to-deposit ratio is now down to 93.4% at June '25 from 98.1% in June of last year; incremental CD ratio for last 1 year is at 75.8% - Cost of funds for the quarter was at 6.42%, declined by about 9 bps; cost of deposits for the quarter was at 6.37%, declined marginally by 1 bps - Funded assets registered a strong growth of 21% on a Y-o-Y basis to reach INR2.53 lakh crores; sequentially, the growth was about 4.7% - Wholesale book grew at a faster pace at 39% on a Y-o-Y basis; Non-fund book grew by 25% on a Y-o-Y basis - About 77% of the corporate book is rated A and above and 19% is rated BBB - Issued 3.8 million credit cards; spends on credit cards grew by about 35% on a Y-o-Y basis - Microfinance business degrowth of 37% Y-o-Y; MFI book is now at INR8,354 crores and is at 3.3% of funded asset book - Gross NPA increased marginally from 1.87% in March to 1.97% in June; Net NPA increased from 0.53% in March to 0.55% for June quarter - Excluding microfinance book, GNPA ratio increase was from 1.63% in March to 1.70% in June at a bank level - Provision coverage for the bank continues to be quite healthy at about 72.3%, improved by about 296 basis points on a Y-o-Y basis - SMA 1 and 2 pool of retail, rural and MSME book at June improved from 1.07% in March to about 1.01% - MFI SMA 1 and 2 came down from 5.1% to 2.64% in June; collection efficiency for MFI stood at 99.0% as against 98.1% in the previous quarter - Holding contingency provision of INR315 crores on the SMA book; no utilization was done during the current quarter - Gross slippages for the quarter increased sequentially by 14% from INR2,175 crores in Q4 to INR2,486 crores; included about INR108 crores pertaining to one ATM service provider company - Gross slippage for MFI business decreased from INR572 crores in Q4 to INR514 crores in Q1 - Gross slippage ratio during the quarter, excluding microfinance stood at 3.54% - NII grew at 5.1% on a Y-o-Y basis to INR4,933 crores for Q1; excluding MFI, NII grew by about 11.8% on a Y-o-Y basis - Net interest margin on AUM for the quarter moderated by 24 basis points to 5.71% - Fee and other income increased by 8.5% on a Y-o-Y basis from INR1,595 crores to INR1,735 crores in Q1 - Operating expenses growth moderated to 11% on a Y-o-Y basis; sequentially, opex declined by 1.4% in value terms - Trading gains for the quarter was strong at INR495 crores - Operating profit, including trading gains, grew at 19% from INR1,882 crores to INR2,239 crores; Core operating profit improved by 7.8% sequentially to INR1,744 crores - Provisions for the quarter stood at INR1,659 crores as against INR1,450 crores in Q4 of '25 - Credit cost for the quarter, excluding microfinance, marginally went up to about 2% - Profit after tax of INR463 crores; grew sequentially by 52%; on a Y-o-Y basis, decreased by 32% - Capital adequacy, including profits for Q1 '26 was at 15.01% and CET 1 ratio of 12.80% - Including the announced capital raise of INR7,500 crores, CRAR and Tier 1 would be 17.6% and 15.38%, respectively - The LCR for the quarter was stable at 118%
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