Pattern: integrated assemblies fy27 outlook
Tariff fear-tape collapsed; Modules/Polymer 'transformative measures' booked as INR 328Cr; consumer electronics scaled 7.5x with GF3 queued, aerospace USD 1.6Bn book, leverage 0.8x all-time low, Ho…
- Integrated assemblies fy27 outlook — answer hedged.
- Polymer energy cost pass — answer hedged.
- Consumer electronics facility utilization — answer hedged.
Raghunandhan NL · Nuvama Researchweak
My first question was on integrated assemblies. Can you talk a bit directionally about the outlook for FY 27? You have highlighted 2x new program launches in comparison to '26, would that mean that this segment can have a strong growth in double-digits, high-teens for next year?
Yes. Look, I think it was very important year for MSAS. I think you've seen that Motherson has very strong capability in integrating large sized acquisitions and you can see the hard work done by the entire MSAS team and how they've been able to leverage on Motherson ecosystem and our customer relationships, our purchasing and the entire ability to look into more opportunities of growth within the customer group. So look, we are extremely pleased. Frederic and the team have done a fantastic job over there. They have really looked at all the places where we had leakages in terms of small red units and converted those, work closely with the customers winning new programs and also diversifying the base and bringing different product groups also in with meaningful discussions. So definitely, we see growth to happen this year as well. Of course, it all depends on how many cars the customers sell. I think in terms of program wins and where we are looking at in terms of diversification of the things that they are doing and the growth opportunities, we should definitely see meaningful growth come in MSAS. I can't guide you exactly on the numbers because a lot depends on the customer sales that happens since they are completely correlated to that. But we're extremely hopeful and positive that they will continue to grow from here.
Joseph George · IIFL Capitalweak
I had three questions. My first question is on the cost increases that you highlighted. For example, overheads going up, energy costs, polymer prices going up. From the past, I recall that during the Russia-Ukraine crisis, when the same thing had happened, gas prices, polymer prices had shot up, there was a lag in getting the pass-throughs from the customers. And if I recall right, while copper is contractually arranged in terms of the pass-through, overheads and costs such as polymers are negotiated. Can you please help us understand what the situation is now? Is it contractual with respect to these overheads and polymer or is it negotiated?
Yes, it depends on customer to customer. There is a mix of both, because all customers follow their own styles. And definitely, the partnership with the customers is only getting stronger with the volatility and everything that there is in the market because they want meaningful supplier partnerships and no one is really looking to pull each other under the table just because of one macroeconomic event, which benefits one over the other. So, I think in times like this, the partnership and the things that are the relationships that we have with our customers really comes to the front. As you know, we have done numerous acquisitions, turned around companies for them, entered new products and they also understand that there are some things that are out of our control. So yes, in some customers, there definitely is a lag. Some customers follow the contracted approach. But there are always meaningful conversations to be had, and there is definitely a lag also that happens depending on the commodity. We were also putting a lot of reorganization kind of measures in and driving operational efficiencies and also trying to reduce some of our red units. And we've also had a very strong order book win. So a lot of those things are all playing off. Some of the new units have also launched, which are now taking businesses. So those fixed costs are being covered. So, it's a combination of all those things that you're seeing that strong performance has led to and definitely a lot is to do with close communication and relationship management with our customers.
Kapil Singh · Nomuraweak
My question was on consumer electronics division. I think the next plant will open in Q3FY27. So just wanted to understand what is the utilization level currently and how the revenues will pace here? Also, when I look at the top customers, consumer electronics customers are not reflecting in that list. So, have we included those customers also or where are they?
Yes. So I'll take some of it and Gandharv will probably support me on this. Look, the third plant utilization is zero right now because it's in start-up phase and then you will do the testing prototypes and all of that and that's when it will really come up. And once it comes up, actually, the timing is it goes very fast. So, unlike automotive, which takes a couple of quarters to ramp up or a year or so also to reach the highest volumes, on the consumer electronics side, when the order starts, it really comes at full-fledged levels. So, the timing that we've given you, that's when it will come up and the utilization will go significantly higher at that time. Right now, it's the smaller units, GF1 and GF2 which we are using, which are almost practically fully used up in what we are doing. So, the meaningful kick will come as soon as the third plant is operational and takes on revenues. And then you will see those numbers as they come because the order book for that only comes immediately before the program kicks off. That's when we get the full visibility. But we think that it will be at very, very good levels better than or as we budgeted for it for what the construction that we have made. So overall, extremely positive on that aspect.
Kapil Singh · Nomuraweak
On the restructuring, can you give us an update what percentage of the restructuring is complete? Should we expect more benefits to come through going ahead or are we already seeing most of the benefits?
Yes. Look, I think a big chunk of it is done. Of course, you're seeing the situation that is happening in Europe and a lot of macroeconomic issues continue to plague the region where volumes growth are not as meaningful as we have expected in the past, but yet Motherson continues to grow through acquisitions and increase in the value content that is going up. But yes, I think we definitely do see more possibility for us to restructure operations. And I think we will also continue to acquire operations and resize them to make them perfect. So, as you can see, we have significant headroom for acquisitions. All the acquisitions that we have done have been integrated really well. The customers will continue to look at us for solutions. And at that time, more resizing will be required because that is why those assets have come into problems, right? So, from that sense, I think we are operating at a fairly strong base. We will further drive efficiencies in our business, but the more meaningful volume growth will definitely come from acquisitions that we envisage will come just like they have in the last few years.
Amyn Pirani · JP Morganweak
In your breakup of emerging businesses, if I look at lighting and electronics and I'm assuming that consumer electronics is part of that. Despite the very sharp uptick in consumer electronics, the revenue growth in lighting and electronics is just about, say, 30%. So, is it fair to say that the lighting business has had a fairly tepid year or am I over estimating the impact of consumer electronics here?
I think lighting and electronics definitely had a very strong year. I mean, I think, again, you're not seeing that meaningful rise because GF3 is still to come up. As soon as GF3 comes up, you have to understand that GF1 and GF2 are minute size compared to what we are building at GF3. GF3 is the largest facility that we will have in Motherson. It's a size of 33 football fields that is going to come into commission. So that I think you should really look at this number next year. And then you will see the real impact of the electronics business that comes on stream. On top of that, we are doing numerous more initiatives. You've seen some releases also about Motherson Electronics, where we are looking to do our own PCBAs, our SMT lines. We are building a lot of strength on that, even on the wiring harness side, a lot of focus is going into electronics with the new technology that is coming over there and the EVs and things like that. I think it's a wait and watch.
Amyn Pirani · JP Morgandeflection
GF1 and GF2, you mentioned that in Q4, you're hitting the annualized run rate of 14 million to 16 million units. So GF3 will be a multiple of this or like any broad indication are you giving right now?
I can't give you, but yes, it will be multiple of it because that's how it's designed to be. It was us to prove to the customers that we are capable. And now we are building a big plant to come in. So, wait for a couple of quarters to really see that number because the most exceptional part of this business is that the order book only runs for that 1 year, right? The next year, you get the next order. It's not like automotive where it's a gradual increase, then moves into high, then the thing starts to decline. It goes straight 0 to 100 because you have to produce as much as you can as soon as you win the order for the selling season.
Binay Singh · Morgan Stanleyweak
Just starting with the consumer electronics. Earlier, we had talked about INR 2,600 Crores capex in that business. Where are we on that number and in this capex guidance of next year, have we increased it or is it already included in this?
Thanks, Binay. You're right. That was the guidance which we gave last year. For the current year, we are in the process of finalizing the numbers. It should be broadly in the range of what we guided in the last year, but allow us a quarter to come back to you with the firmed up numbers.
Binay Singh · Morgan Stanleydeflection
The 16 million exit number that we talked about, that is unit number. Any guidance on what is the revenue per unit?
Look, we can't guide on that yet. I think, again, let it become meaningful by GF3 and I think that's the time where we will start to talk more about the exact numbers once it's a meaningful size. Right now, again, just GF1, GF2 are too small to be able to disclose those numbers in a meaningful way. Let GF3 come out, and you will see a much clearer picture and that will have the meaningful impact for you as well.
Binay Singh · Morgan Stanleyweak
On aerospace. We have two facilities coming up in the first quarter of FY 27, both in India. We had a very strong FY 26. What kind of growth do you see in the coming year?
Look, the order book for the aerospace is at record number for us. 1.6 Billion is the order book. So, with these two facilities, we'll cater to that additional demand. I think this year, again, we are hungry for more growth and perhaps if we are able to secure some big orders, and also look at some acquisitions, that number will continue to grow. But these two plants are for the new capacity and order book that we already have in hand, which is about 1.6 Billion.
Aditya Ladhad · Stallion Assetweak
So we're doing a capex of INR 2,600 Crores in a consumer electronic business, that's probably larger than most of the EMS companies in India. And the kind of growth that we've done 7.5x of Y-o-Y is also incredible. It's like we found a new TAM to deploy our D.E.M.A.L. capabilities. So, going forward, this year also, can we expect maybe not 7.5x, at least to 5x growth Y-o-Y for the consumer electronics business?
Look, this is a very key point for Motherson. We have realized electronics is core to a lot of the products, not only touching the automotive side, but of course, as an independent segment as well. And that's why we are deploying more and more capital to it, building more competency, adding on to the team. You'll also hear about potential new joint ventures that we are forming, acquisition opportunities that are strategic and inorganic growth. So, all of this will definitely lead to meaningful multiples of growth in the Electronics division. Now of course, a lot depends on again, our ability to execute and the customers' confidence in us, but we are completely committed to having a lot of growth in this division.
Aditya Ladhad · Stallion Assetweak
During the Q2 PPT, you had mentioned that our order book for the consumer electronics and aerospace business was close to USD 3 Billion. And today, you mentioned that our aerospace business is close to USD 1.6 Billion order book. So, is it fair to assume that the rest of it is consumer electronics?
It's safe to assume that next time I have to be more careful with my words because you are, but yes, look I think overall and it's not just that one plant that we're looking at. It's complete electronics, like we are buying a lot of our own PCBAs, from our SMTs and things like that as well. So all of that will meaningfully contribute in this coming year because our own Electronics Company, which is going to be doing a lot of SMT lines that we are setting up that will contribute. And we're going to bring a lot of that purchasing in-house. So that, along with the consumer electronics, along with our increasing focus on electronics and the other segments. That's something that we are targeting. Now it may come plus/minus 10% to that number. But yes, we are hopeful that it is on the positive side and continues to grow from here.
Aditya Ladhad · Stallion Assetweak
Broadly, this consumer electronic business JV, even though it's JV, it'll be consolidated, right? And what margins are we looking at, close to 20% margins for this business?
Look, I would want even more, but look, all I can say right now is that with GF3 scale, I think it's definitely better than what our group is doing at the moment. Of course, I cannot give you an exact because we don't guide on margins, but this should be helping to increase our ROCE because the investments have been done and the returns will start to come. And like I said, give us some time, I think we are very excited about the business.
Jay Kale · Elara Capitaldeflection
My first question is regarding our global OEMs or our customers, they have recently kind of given write-downs on their EV investments. And also in recent quarters, they've mentioned of supplier compensation regarding that. Have we received some of that in this quarter?
We don't know what you're talking about. I don't know which guy has given compensation to this in the past for the investments and all that. We were never on that. We were always on the right side of the thinking that everything is not going to become EV. So we were agnostic to the engine right from the beginning. Motherson is a financially strong Company. We have, that's why they're winning business from our customers. They have a deep relationship with them. On our products, whatever our contracts work, that is what we have rightfully taken from our customers and given them what they expected from us, the product and the quality that they expected.