Ruchi Mukhija · ICICI Securities
One of my first question is regarding the growth. We expect a sequential growth recovery in Q2. Is this on back of the 6 strategic deals that we have won, or do we see an uptick in business beyond these 6 deals as well?
Well, thanks for the question, Ruchi. We entered the fiscal year with a fair amount of momentum. There were deals that were closed in Q4 and certainly towards the end of the first quarter, we've added the 6 deals that we've just announced. So, it's really the order book that we're taking into Q2 and also the improved sentiment. I think the tariff concerns and the macroeconomic concerns that informed the softness at the beginning of the fiscal – they haven't fully dissipated, but we are seeing increased confidence that common sense will prevail, and the trade negotiations will provide an environment that will provide the sort of basis and confidence around which decisions can be made. So, our confidence in improvement in Q2 and the second half of the year is informed by the order book and also the engagement and sentiment that we're picking up from customers.
Ruchi Mukhija · ICICI Securities
Secondly, in our non-auto segment, the revenue declined almost at the same pace as in the auto segment on a sequential basis. Can you break up for us which segments are drag here? We understood aerospace is doing well. So, which are other sub-segments where we see a challenge.
Well, we saw aerospace pick up and demand continues to grow in aerospace. So, we're very bullish about the ongoing momentum that we've established there. We've seen a little bit of softness in industrial heavy machinery, but that's on account of one project that was short closed in the fourth quarter. We're not seeing the type of softness that's informing the slowdown that we've grappled within in automotive over the last 12 months.
Sudheer · Kotak Mahindra Asset Management
For the last few quarters, at least, we have been quite optimistic about the demand recovery. And when the revenue growth number comes in, that doesn't seem to be happening. So where exactly is the slip between the lip and the cup? Is it primarily because of the macro across all these quarters, or because of the high client concentration? Or is there anything to worry about the execution on ground?
Yes, I think it's a good question, Sudheer. But if you look at the situation at the end of the last fiscal year, we were very optimistic about a strong start to FY '26. And we had positioned capacity and capability to discharge that opportunity. Unfortunately, on April 2, the announcement was made about tariffs. And I think the uncertainty that it generated prompted a number of our customers. And a number of the projects that they were looking to launch to be paused and delayed. And so, whilst we entered the quarter with confidence and with high expectations, we've had to recalibrate the expectations for the 3 months, at the start of the fiscal year, as a result of that macro issue.
We continue to invest in capability as you've seen through the margins, we protected capacity primarily because we expect the situation to be short-term. And we are very confident about Q2 and continue to believe that the second half of the year will be better than the first. So, we see the challenges, the headwinds that we've faced as being tactical, short-term, and we expect to bounce back very soon.
Kunal · Bank of America
As you think about the 200-basis points EBIT margin decline in the quarter, I just wanted to understand how much of it of this could be lost to operating leverage versus the on-site bump-up that you've seen? And is it fair enough for us to assume that what's been lost to operating leverage should be sort of recouped in the next 2 or 3 quarters?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Kunal. I would say that at this point in time; we would attribute a large proportion of the drop in margin through the operating leverage given that we've not really affected any kind of a structural shift as far as overall capacities are concerned. We did obviously have a shift as far as onshore related revenues are concerned. But from a capacity perspective, it didn't really change much between on-site and offshore capacities. Therefore, at this point in time, I think it's fair to assume that most of it is really more of an operating leverage effect.
Kunal · Bank of America
Your comment around aerospace and the great progress you're making with Airbus as an account. So just to better understand that -- is this progress more in terms of the newer kind of work opportunities that are opening up within Airbus for the company? Or is this more to do with the fact that as you're working with one of the key companies here, you're starting to get to work with other companies in the ecosystem, let's say the airline itself?
I think the demand and the confidence that we have in aerospace is largely driven by the growing confidence that Airbus have in our execution and capabilities. I think we've been through a learning curve over the last 3 years. We've invested in infrastructure. We've built a nexus in Toulouse and Hamburg, and we've delivered services to Airbus in the Aerostructures area. We've deployed digital solutions that have been focused upon accelerating manufacturing throughput. We've engaged in delivering robotic solutions as far as the assembly process is concerned. And I think the big confidence and the capabilities that we've deployed have afforded us more and more opportunities in new domains inside of Airbus.
Airbus have also been struggling as Boeing has in terms of building enough aircraft. The demand continues to grow. And they are not just challenged in terms of their own capabilities, but they are challenged in terms of the capabilities of their supply chain.
So, we've been leveraging the endorsement of Airbus and the recommendations that they've been providing to their suppliers to initiate opportunities with their key suppliers and these are large organizations. These are the engine manufacturers and the aircraft seat manufacturers. And so, our confidence and the momentum that we're building is largely driven by that.
Obviously, the investment that the Tata Group is continuing to make, is providing tailwinds that we're also intersecting with but I think the major driver of demand and opportunity, order book and pipeline is really the great work that we've done with Airbus over the last 3 years.
Abhishek Kumar · JM Financial
Last quarter, we spoke about potentially some of the German OEMs looking at more offshoring. Have you seen any progress on that front? Do you think they are still looking at higher offshoring or given the uncertainty, there has been a pause around large deal decision-making as well?
Yes, we've certainly seen continued traction from the German OEMs. I think all three of the big OEMs in Germany are now requiring BCC components to their sourcing of engineering services. That's not only providing opportunities for organizations like ourselves, but it's also providing opportunities for organizations like ourselves to partner with their incumbent engineering service providers onshore. And so, we're seeing a number of deals and a number of partnership opportunities progress over the last 3 months. So that push of Germany into not just India but also places like Eastern Europe and Morocco is continuing at pace.
Shradha Agrawal · AMSEC
In terms of German OEs, we did indicate that they are looking at the higher outsourcing to India or Eastern Europe countries. So how are we looking at demand trends from U.S. auto OEs?
The demand trends with the North American OEMs have been strongly impacted by the tariff decisions. And not just the tariff decisions, but also the bill that's just gone through Congress that has taken away some of the components of the Inflation Reduction Act that has positioned investments for EVs. And so, what we've seen with Stellantis with Ford and to a lesser extent, with GM is those organizations revisit their product plan from a propulsion systems perspective and also from a manufacturing perspective. And that's prompted somewhat of a pause in the las t 3 months. We are starting to see some clarity come through from those three companies and we expect that clarity to precipitate into product decisions in the next couple of months.
Shradha Agrawal · AMSEC
In terms of our clients, is there any visibility or any improvement in the outlook that we see from our anchors?
As I said before, the demand from our anchors has been strong. I think their financial performance has been very strong. And we do not see in the short term any change to that. So, we're very excited about the work that we're doing and the opportunities that we currently have visibility of.
Ankur Pant · IIFL
Is the recovery that you're speaking of, is that also coming from an improvement in the challenges that the OEMs have been grappling with over the last year? Has the situation there improved or is it more of a latent demand or delayed ramp-ups which are finally starting to come through, which may also make the demand more volatile from here? How do you see that?
I think it's a bit of both. I think if we look at the last 12 months, you look at the policy positions of the Republicans and the Democrats that we're competing for the White House last year, there were stark differences in the approach to alternative propulsion systems and particularly EV. So that prompted a delay in decision-making among our customers. And that impact was not only felt in North America, but it was also felt with those OEMs that have a great exposure to the North American market. I think the clarity that we saw in November certainly precipitated in much better engagement that we had with our customers in January, February and March.
That's what informed confidence going into the fiscal year. But that confidence was somewhat undermined by the tariff decisions or the tariff announcement on April 2nd. Now we have seen some of that play out. I think the agreement between the U.K. and the U.S. is hopefully an indicator of what's likely to happen with other countries. And I think that there is an increasing view that common sense will prevail. And as a result, we are starting to see the decisions that we expected at the beginning of the fiscal year come through. So, I think that there was a delay and a buildup of demand for new product investment that was driven by the sort of geopolitical things that played out last year. I think the tariffs have compounded that, but we are confident that we're through most of the distraction that represents, and our customers are now starting to make decisions.
Chandramouli Muthiah · Goldman Sachs
My first question is just around the sequential recovery we expect through the rest of the year. So does that assume that the current stand-off on tariffs get resolved at some point in the next couple of months. I just want to understand what needs to happen for more visible sequential recovery in the back half.
I think our confidence in Q2 is really not informed by any expectation in terms of the trade negotiations that are going on between various countries. It's largely informed by the order book and the qualified pipeline that we're taking into the period. I think the trade negotiations will likely inform the environment in which we operate in the second half of the year.
So, there will be an influence clearly that the trade negotiations between Europe and the US specifically will have on the environment. But I think certainly, Q2, our confidence is driven by deals that we've closed and sentiment from our customers is really giving us a level of confidence that they are seeing past the tariff announcements that were made at the beginning of the fiscal year. And that latent need to invest in products is starting to get prioritized and will give us the deals that will ultimately continue to allow us to drive momentum and growth throughout the subsequent quarters of this fiscal year.
Chandramouli Muthiah · Goldman Sachs
You did mention that you have seen a pickup in the order book at the end of Q1 versus last year at the same time. So just trying to understand, we did have these disruptive announcements on tariff towards the end of March. So, through the quarter, have you seen things pick up since then? Just trying to understand Q4 this year versus Q4 last year, how the order book looked?
I think if we look at the quarter in terms of deal signings, April was a month that was very muted in terms of deal signings. The announcement on tariffs was made on the 2nd of April, and that prompted many of our customers to pause and to delay decision-making. I think the review that the customer base undertook in April, played out into the sort of early part of May. And since then, we've seen decisions being made and the improvement that we've seen in the order book is largely through deals that we've signed in the latter part of the quarter. So, the momentum is built as confidence has built and as our customers have become, from a scenario perspective, somewhat confident that they can work through the uncertainty that is out there.
Chandramouli Muthiah · Goldman Sachs
The other income run rate. INR 57 crores of other income last quarter versus INR 64 crores of other income this quarter. I just want to understand what part of that is sustainable to expect going forward and if there is a bridge that you were able to provide as well?
Most of the incremental effects that you see quarter-on-quarter sequentially, as I had outlined in my opening comments, reflect actually the unrealized foreign exchange movement on some of the assets that we have on our balance sheet. The treasury income out of the total income is about INR 24 crores, both interest as well as what we've realized through sale of some of our mutual fund investments.
And as we build up cash balances, I would like to believe that some of that would reflect, of course, the yield curve as we see in the world -- across the world, but you should have some part of it that is sustainable. And we also continue to have the INR 8 crores plus effect from the BMW JV investment that we had outlined in the past.
Chandramouli Muthiah · Goldman Sachs
Around Technology Solutions. This has been a lumpy business on a quarterly basis in the past. But usually, I think this business picks up towards sort of the end of the year, the second half of the year, first quarter is usually sequentially slow. I just want to understand what the positive lumpiness has been and how you're looking at Technology Solutions growth through FY '26 this quarter and for the full year?
Technology Solutions is made up of education and products. We have sustained and until the third and fourth quarter last year, over the course of the last kind of 2 years, sustainable improvement in education. And that's a business that we're working hard to ensure that we manage out the lumpiness. We had some infrastructure challenges in Q4 specifically that -- related to the readiness of the labs that we will deploy our solutions to and that's largely been resolved, and you've seen that in the improved performance of education in the first quarter.
Products, however, is a seasonal business. Most of our customers in that area discharge budgets at the end of the calendar year, particularly in North America, and the large maintenance contracts are typically renewed at the beginning of the new calendar year. And so Q3 and Q4 are the big quarters for the products business. And so, there is some lumpiness and some seasonality that we have to factor into our plans because of that.
Rajiv Berlia · Citi
You mentioned that 1Q got impacted due to delayed ramp-up and elongated decision making. Did you see any deal cancellation in 1Q and also, how did the pricing play out in 1Q? Did you see any pressure in terms of pricing?
We've not seen any significant deals getting cancelled. There was a deal in the IHM space in the fourth quarter that got short closed. That was a project that we were engaged with and because of macroeconomic uncertainty, the customer decided not to progress with that particular project. But that's the only project that we've seen being closed.
Most of the issues associated with the softness in Q1 were related to delays of decision-making and not cancellation of programs. And that's one of the reasons that we, again, are confident about the rest of the year because that need is still very much there.
On pricing, the current environment is prompting most of our customers to challenge us on pricing. But I think so far, we've resisted that challenge quite well and that's something that we'll continue to work hard to do.