Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q4 FY25
AMBUJACEM Ambuja Cements Ltd · Cement Q4 FY25 · concall
Pattern: other financial assets increase

Cost staircase reset to INR4,500 peak and INR250/yr glide.

3 weak · 15 clean pushback across 3 of 18 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 3 of 18

Indrajit Agarwal · CLSA Indiaweak

On other financial assets on consol, there is about INR1,700 crore increase from March last year to this year - what is this related to? And on the land acquisition done in ACC, the grinding unit, is it part of the plan to 140 million tons or beyond that?

On other financial assets - increase in government grant of INR109 crores and reclassification of fixed deposits between current and noncurrent based on remaining maturity; this is purely accounting reclassification. On ACC pipeline of capacity expansion - everyone is very much part of the 140. Right now my entire capex program is adhering to 140 million tons. For specific accounting reclassification queries, Deepak and team are available between 4 to 6 hours after the call.

Parvez Qazi · Nuvama Groupweak

What would have been the contribution from Penna and Sanghi in terms of volumes in Q4?

Penna and Sanghi together volume is around 1.6 million tons for the quarter of March '25. This will ramp up substantially with Sanghi coming into its fullest avatar.

Hiten Boricha · Sequent Investmentsweak

On profitability - peers like Dalmia Bharat with mostly south capacity have reported 4-digit EBITDA per ton. With our pan-India capacity we are around INR1,000 per ton. How are we looking to increase this beyond your 2-3 year roadmap?

Dalmia has a healthy ratio on AFR and WHRS, especially AFR, giving them fuel cost advantage - matter of time for us as we have full pipeline of AFR assets, targeting 75% at business level. During Holcim days the investments weren't done; it's a timing gap. On price, the south was beaten till December. Look at March quarter delta improvement of Ambuja Consol of almost INR400 EBITDA - you have not seen this in any other leading companies improvement quarter-on-quarter.

Other Q&A (15)
Rahul Gupta · Morgan Stanley

Heartening to hear that cost optimization journey is on track. Can you help us understand the quantum of cost savings achieved during the year? Also is there any change in the guided benefits of INR100 per ton in fiscal '26 and INR150 in fiscal '27?

When we started in September '22, we were at INR4,250 cost levels, and in March '24 quarter at INR4,170, then committed to INR3,650. So far we have achieved around INR150 to INR175 per ton of cost reduction and the balance INR300 to INR325 per ton is what we expect in FY '26 to FY '28. The cost reduction is driven by WHRS, AFR and renewable power, fly ash strategic investments (10-year agreement with Adani Power for 5 million tons at almost negative 400), BCFC rakes as a game changer, and marine logistics with 8 shipping vessels in advanced stages of ordering. The INR100 per ton in FY26 and INR150 in FY27 guidance is absolutely broadly on track, in fact the team is committed to achieve it before what we have committed.

Rahul Gupta · Morgan Stanley

On the revenue side, our share of premium products has improved to 29%. Can you help us understand how to look at this over the next couple of years, taking into account expanded capacity, both on organic and inorganic basis?

The share of premium cement has been averaging 25%, 26%, and this time it is 29%, 30%. Focus remains very core to promote premium cement. We are substantially increasing ground network, putting whole lot of branding and promotion activities, ensuring consistent quality supplies. Premium cement gives almost INR200 to INR300 per ton extra realization and our target for FY '26 is around 35% on premium cement.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

On ACC - there were a few transactions including land purchase under ACC Mineral Resources for about INR680-odd crores. Could you help understand what is this land for? And by when can we expect new capacities planned on this?

Overall ACC had cash outflow of INR1,100 crores from INR4,660 crores to INR3,590 crores; total deployment around INR4,500 crores including INR2,300 crores in fixed assets and CWIP, INR1,300 crores working capital, INR750 crores lease liability. The INR690 crore land investment is for grinding units and acquired coal mines on the western side of the country, closer to Chanda. ACC also invested INR750 crores in BCFC wagons for Ametha, Kymore, Wadi; INR500 crores in Salai Banwa and Sindri grinding units; plus WHRS investments at Chanda and Wadi II. Ambuja and ACC are one composite business with MSA benefits flowing both ways.

Amit Murarka · Axis Capital

Was there some impairment of cement plant - what was this impairment for?

Some old assets which are clinker units we now find unfeasible like Bargarh, Chaibasa and Wadi line number 1, so we have decided to put them off and proactively provide for those assets. It is around close to INR200-odd crores provided. This is a proactive prudent accounting so down the line we will discontinue these assets from a clinkering perspective. So far as grinding is concerned, Bargarh is right now working from a grinding perspective. Wadi one line we already have started the process of dismantling.

Navin Sahadeo · ICICI Securities

Total promoter fund infusion of INR20,000 crores post Orient and Sanghi - the entire cash deployment is largely done. You mentioned Ambuja will focus more on organic expansions now. Can we say competitive intensity in the industry can soften and overall industry profitability could improve, or there is still room for more M&A?

The promoters infusion of INR20,000 crores plus existing cash equivalents has been used; sum total of acquisitions enterprise value is almost INR25,000-plus crores. More than M&A action, overall demand levers are better - government spending, cost initiatives benefit mature companies with strong balance sheets. FY '26 should be far, far better than FY '25; March '25 quarter momentum is spilling into June. My focus will be more on organic growth to achieve 20 million ton additional in '26, but not averse to M&A at the right opportunity.

Navin Sahadeo · ICICI Securities

On the ramp-up of acquired units - both Penna and Sanghi. Sanghi utilization is still under 60% in peak quarter March, having acquired almost five quarters ago. Can you throw some light on Sanghi ramp-up and Penna ramp-up?

Penna clinker utilization is almost 75% to 80%; cement is lower because south markets have been sluggish. Sanghi we may be a few months behind because it's an island plant requiring power and dredging care, plants weren't well maintained, gone into refractory linings. Both kilns are now up and running with significant improvement seen in April. Sanghi will be one of the best assets in cost - my jewel and hub of clinker, sitting on 1,000 million tons of limestone. This year you will see significant capacity utilization for Sanghi.

Prateek Kumar · Jefferies Group

On capex and cash flow position - cash flow was INR10,000 crores. After Orient Cement pay down what will be the cash position in April? And the open offer - what is the timing and overall cash expectation related to Orient Cement?

Open offer - we have already deposited the entire INR2,000 crores into SEBI escrow and awaiting SEBI clearance of the detailed letter of offer. We acquired Orient 46% at outflow of INR5,500-INR5,600 crores. After that I'm sitting on INR5,000 crores of cash, which is getting added with improved operating performances every passing month plus incentive and tax favorability. My entire capex for growth will be self-funded with decent closing cash and cash equivalents.

Sumangal Nevatia · Kotak Securities

On capex - can you share for FY '26 and '27 ongoing organic capex? And broadly split between expansions on WHRS, on overall renewable, some breakup?

Growth capex is closer to around INR6,000 crores, efficiency capex INR2,500-INR3,000 crores, total INR9,000-odd crores. Some discrete and some ongoing. For 18 million tons of cement coming, one component of INR6,000 crores capex covers that. Efficiency capex primarily WHRS and BCFC rakes. Growth capex - clinker units at Bhatapara, Maratha, Marwar Mundwa and Mundra petchem (4 lines). Grinding units - Warisaliganj, Naultha, Salai Banwa, Bhatinda, Raigarh - all part of 140 million tons capacity.

Ashish Jain · Macquarie India

On the clinker capacity that will be dismantled for ACC - what is the total capacity of the 3 plants? And does the 89 million ton clinker capacity in presentation include further expansion or will the real number be lower than 89 once you scrap the 3 plants?

Wadi I is around 1 million tons, Bargarh 1 million, Chaibasa 0.6 million - altogether 2 to 2.5 million. When we say 89 million for FY '28, this is already after factoring in the reduction of these capacities. This is part of the whole plan of 140 million tons journey.

Shravan Shah · Dolat Capital

The INR3,650 cost reduction we are talking - what's the number for fourth quarter or FY '25?

For the fourth quarter we are at closer to INR4,250 a ton, so around INR500 higher than the INR3,650 target as of now. This is a variable that keeps moving. We will move from INR4,200 to INR3,650 with all the planned investments.

Ritesh Shah · Investec

What is the industry level supply that we are looking at for next 2 fiscals? The average number would also do fine.

Stretching to 2030, industry supply will be at 6% CAGR while demand will be at 7% to 7.5% CAGR. Demand will outpace supplies, leading to good capacity utilization and price uptick. Industry should target 950 million tons of cement capacity by 2030. Capacity utilization will inch from 65% to 67%, 68% at industry-wide level over next 4-5 years.

Satyadeep Jain · Ambit Capital

On impairment - how long have these plants been non-operational, what has been the main reason? Looking at other ACC assets, are you confident Lakheri, Kymore and others will not have impairments in next couple of years?

Kymore is one of the best assets - 100-plus years of plant with sizable limestone reserves and Ametha is neighboring; allay any concerns over there. The 3 impaired assets - they were always opportunistic depending on coal price and clinker cost. With new 10,000-12,000 TPD clinkering units, cost arbitrage will be much higher. We've used them for some quarters opportunistically; long-term strategy now needs upgradation. Lakheri is doing very well even though one of oldest ACC assets and will continue to operate as long as it's adding value. On northeast - we have acquired limestone reserves and will evaluate strategy in due course; we already serve via Bengal, Farakka and Sankrail with very good demand for ACC and Ambuja.

Pulkit Patni · Goldman Sachs

Could you talk about exit capacity utilization for Sanghi, Penna and Orient for FY '25?

Sanghi is around 40% to 45%. Penna clinker is at 75%, 80% and cement hovering around 45% to 50%. Orient is hovering between 60% to 75%.

Pankaj Tibrewal · IKIGAI Asset Manager

You've done a few acquisitions in last 12-18 months - do you think the company will digest those acquisitions, consolidate and then move forward? Will FY '26 be a year of consolidation rather than aggressive acquisition?

For FY '26 our key focus is and remains on organic growth. Consolidation in terms of overall integration - we are in a very strong ground. Sanghi, Penna, Orient highlighted. Integration of these companies is natural because we are an acquired business. We've tested success right from Ambuja and ACC integration. These smaller companies will be much easier and better. Those employees are looking forward to being part of 100 million tons cement capacity platform versus their previous 4-5 or 8 million tons. They get advantage on cost, logistics and motivation levels are very high.

Prepared remarks (5 blocks)
Good afternoon, and a warm welcome to each of you for our Q4 and FY 25 Earnings Call. This quarter and these results will remain special because, friends, I'm happy to share that Ambuja Cement has crossed more than <strong>100 million</strong> tons of cement capacity, becoming the ninth largest cement company globally. Others have taken decades, but we have achieved this in 30 months. We continue to strengthen our position as a market leader in the cement industry. Adani Cement is getting stronger over time, underscoring our strategic focus on growth, operational excellence, increasing market presence, strengthening ground network, efficiency improvements and cost leadership. We remain committed to sustaining our market share by achieving consistent volume growth and high ESG performance, delivering unmatched value for our stakeholders. Our subsidiary, ACC, has become India's first large-scale cement company with science-based net zero targets validated by SBTi. 99-megawatt wind power at Khavda has been commissioned in Q4 FY '25. By June '26, entire 1,000 megawatts will be up and running. Already, we have achieved 300 megawatts. 367 million tons of new limestone reserves secured in Q4 '25, taking the total limestone reserves to 9,000-plus million metric tons. With the completion of Orient acquisition, commissioning of grinding unit at Farakka and the debottlenecking of capacity at various plants, we have now crossed 100 million tons. Sooner, we should be also announcing additional grinding units to be commissioned in Q1, primarily Sankrail and Sindri. With every prospective quarters, we should be hitting 118 million metric tons by end of this financial year. The consolidated quarterly Y-on-Y performance: revenue of INR 9,889 crores, up by 11% Y-o-Y, driven by strong focus on micro market management strategy, expansion of ground network, blended cement at 82% and increase in premium products as a percentage of overall trade sales, up by 5.3% to 29.1%. Operational costs for the quarter stood at INR4,104 per ton. Kiln fuel cost has reduced by a whopping 14% to INR1.58 per 1,000 kilo calories from INR1.84. Transportation cost declined 2% at INR1,238 per ton. Primary distance lead has reduced by 15 kilometers at 265 kilometers and secondary lead by 2 kilometers at 46. Direct dispatch to customers increased by 600 basis points to 58%. EBITDA stood at INR1,868 crores at an EBITDA margin of almost 19% and EBITDA per ton at INR1,001.
As on 31st of March '25, the consol cash and cash equivalent stands at INR<strong>10,125 crore</strong>s. The consol FY'25 highest ever annual revenue of INR35,045 crores, operational cost at INR4,275 per ton, EBITDA stood at INR5,971 crores and EBITDA per ton at INR915, journey is going to be towards achieving INR1,500 EBITDA per ton by FY '28. We have crossed the 100 million tons capacity, growth of nearly 50% in 30 months. Our growth journey continues as we aim for 118 million tons by FY '26 and 140 million tons by FY '28 through largely organic expansions. Focus for FY '26 is on commissioning of fairly advanced stage projects like Sankrail, Sindri, Salai Banwa, Dahej, Marwar, Kalamboli, Krishnapatnam, Bhatinda, Jodhpur and Warisaliganj. We are on course to commission our 4 million tons of clinker unit at Bhatapara and the associated grinding units in Sankrail in Bengal and Sindri in Jharkhand by Q1 '26. We have also identified 9 additional grinding unit projects for which land acquisitions and statutory approvals are under process, which shall enable us to reach 140 million tons by FY '28. We have put our commitments to achieve INR3,650 per ton of cost by FY '28. WHRS capacity of almost 218 megawatts. We are targeting to achieve 30%, including all the new projects at 140 million capacity, 30% to be WHRS. We have already announced investments of 1,000 megawatts of renewable energy, expected to commission by '26. Driven by better fuel management and structural initiatives undertaken, our kiln fuel cost reduced by 14% from 1.84 to 1.58. Share of green power in power mix has increased to 26% from 15.6%. We have ordered 11 GPWI rakes, of which 11 have been delivered and running in approved circuits. We have ordered 26 BCFC rakes for safe and cost-effective transportation of fly ash from thermal power plants, of which 8 rakes have been delivered in FY '25. On the industry side, I remain positive as cement consumption grew almost 6.5% to 7% in Q4, and we are expecting that it will reach 8% overall demand growth for FY '26. Cumulative growth for FY '25, we believe is for the industry between 4% to 5%. As a company, we have delivered better than the industry results.
We achieved a revenue of INR <strong>9,889 crore</strong>s, up by 11% Y-o-Y, driven by strong focus on our micro market management strategy, expansion of our ground network, blended cement, which remains at 82% and increase in premium products as a percentage of our overall trade sales, which is up by 5.3% to 29.1%. Operational costs for the quarter stood at INR4,104 per ton. Kiln fuel cost has reduced by a whopping 14% to INR1.58 per 1,000 kilo calories from INR1.84 per 1,000 kilo calories. The transportation cost also declined 2% at INR1,238 per ton on account of footprint optimization and closer to market strategy. Primary distance lead has reduced by 15 kilometers at 265 kilometers and secondary lead by 2 kilometers at 46. Direct dispatch to customers increased by 600 basis points to 58%.
EBITDA stood at INR<strong>1,868 crore</strong>s at an EBITDA margin of almost 19% and EBITDA per ton at INR1,001. As on 31st of March '25, the consol cash and cash equivalent stands at INR10,125 crores. The consol FY'25 Y-on-Y performance: highest ever annual revenue of INR35,045 crores, operational cost at INR4,275 per ton, EBITDA stood at INR5,971 crores and EBITDA per ton at INR915. Now our journey anyway is going to be towards achieving INR1,500 EBITDA per ton by FY '28.
The balance sheet has never been so strong. The net worth has climbed to close to INR<strong>64,000 crore</strong>s, up from close to INR50,000 crores a year ago. We still remain debt-free. We are enjoying the highest credit rating in this industry. Our tangible assets, which is TP and cash, which forms a strong share of our net worth with cash and cash equivalent at the industry-leading level. We continue to follow a disciplined approach towards our capital allocation, prioritizing high-return projects and maintaining a razor sharp focus on the profitable and sustainable growth.
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