Throughline · holding view Deep analysis Q3 FY26
COFORGE Coforge Ltd · IT services Q3 FY26 · concall
Pattern: other expense seasonality segmental

FY26 closed at 29.2% USD growth and 14.4% EBIT.

2 weak · 7 clean pushback across 2 of 9 Q&A turns

Focused evidence 2 of 9

Manik Taneja · Axis Capitalweak

Thank you for the opportunity and congratulations for the steady performance. I basically had a question related to some of the cost split-up during the quarter as well as the segmental margins first. So, Saurabh, basically, is there some sort of a onetime element to the other expenses line item in 3Q, because that seems to jump up very sharply in 3Q. If you could help us understand that, that is question number one. The second question is with regards to our segmental margins. If you could help us understand what drives the sharp move across segmental margins on a Q-on-Q basis, that will be helpful. And the last question is with regards to Sabre Deal. Even we have been executing on that through the course of now I guess probably about anywhere between six to nine months. If you could help us understand how that essentially is shaping up, are we on track with regards to some of the product delivery there and talk about the progress there. Thank you.

So, Manik, the other cost typically includes a cost related to either if there is any large SI deal and which includes any third-party component. So that cost is included there and that goes up and down depending upon when a milestone is achieved. So the cost gets recorded accordingly and then it goes up and down. It had happened the same quarter last year also when the third party cost had gone up significantly and I am not referring to the subcontractor cost, but the third party cost. So that is because of that but you will also note that when we look at the expense lines and we look at people cost, this was a quarter wherein we give wage hikes and but the wage hikes, the cost lines around people cost has not significantly gone up purely because of the optimization initiatives that are going on within the organization so that is the answer to other cost and yes it is seasonal it is not that it will continue to stay where it is. Yes, so one is a large impact because of the currency. I think that's the biggest impact that we are seeing, because hedge losses get allocated not to the overall revenues, but largely to Americas and Europe. And that is where the amount of hedge losses that we are having in our top line, because we report hedge losses in top line that is impacting the reported EBITDA margins of the segments that we are in. And the third thing is about Sabre deal. I think from a Sabre deal standpoint, when we look at the ramp up that was expected to happen in Q1 and Q2, the deliverables that had to be delivered during that time frame. We are on track and the cost that had to be incurred, we are lesser than the plan that we had to incur.

Dhanashree Jadhav · Choice Institutional Equitiesweak

Yes, congrats on good set of numbers team. So it was a great performance. My question is on Encora integration. Sir as you said, the approvals will be done by the end of March. So should we see the integration taking off in terms of numbers during end of the first quarter or how should we look at it? And some qualitative in terms of numbers post EBIT margins with the integration would be helpful.

Dhanashree, so again, as I said, regulatory approvals are going on and there are expenses related to regulatory approvals wherein the legal expenses are getting incurred. That will be coming in Q4 and the integration expenses will not be very significant in the current quarter but there will be expenses related to again legal expenses around funding that we are going to tie up with banks and other than that there will be W&I insurance expenses also so I think as of now I have only this much of detail, but the whole integration-related expenses would largely hit either towards the end of Q4 or March start coming in then when we are closer to the approvals from all the regulatory authorities or in Q1 so but again right now too early to say.

Other Q&A (7)
Abhishek Pathak · Motilal Oswal

Hi, team Morning. Congrats on a good strong quarter. So a couple of questions, Sudhir. Firstly, on the vertical mix, very, very strong showing in healthcare, high tech, transportation, etc. BFS and insurance seem to be a little bit soft on a Y-o-Y basis for the past couple of quarters? Just wondering on the BFS side, is this temporary? And sort of, is this partly attributable to the transitional leadership we have seen in this vertical and do you expect this to kind of reverse meaningfully, over the next couple of quarters considering, BFS remains a very strong vertical from a macro discretionary perspective as well, and the second question was around pricing the deals and how the delivery is changing for us in context of using AI tools. So just wondering sort of, how are we pricing deals differently? How are we structuring these deals differently from a year back? Do you see more and more margin gains coming in as we change that balance between humans and AI? And just lastly, a bookkeeping question for Saurabh. The unbilled revenues long-term seemed to have kind of, increased a bit Y-o-Y and Q-o-Q. If you could just explain sort of, why, I mean, what is happening there and how should we kind of model that going forward? Thank you.

Abhishek, thank you for all the three questions. I will take the first two and I will request Saurabh to take number three. Vertical mix, let me start off by saying, Abhishek, that we signed six large deals in Q3, which is a short quarter. And one third of those, two out of those six were from Banking. Given the large deal momentum we have seen in Q3 and what we think is likely to happen in Q4, we would suspect that while healthcare and high tech will continue to grow at a tear, banking might be the fastest growing core vertical of the firm next year. Given the growth momentum that we see ahead of us, both in terms of large deals and key account growth that is ahead of us, bankingwe feel very assured about where things are. Banking, as you noticed, YTD is still growing 20% plus. As far as Insurance is concerned, Insurance has not degrown. Insurance has grown on a Q-o-Q basis. One out of those six large deals was insurance. We expect robust growth in insurance in FY2026 which is almost done. Very robust, possibly higher growth in insurance in FY2027 than what we registered even in FY2026. That is the growth momentum there. We feel extremely assured. And finally, the sector that did see a Q-o-Q decline was government outside India. We expect to close one of the largest deals that we have ever signed in that sector in Q4. Outside the Q-o-Q data mix, if you were to look at YTD numbers, they are strong. And given the large deal velocity and the very strong growth of our top accounts and key accounts, I guess you are going to see them getting stronger starting Q4 itself. That was answer to question one. Question two, pricing and delivery, We have always talked about execution in the context of delivery and the fact that our clients believe that the age of AI experiments is over and they need digital native velocity with enterprise grade delivery maturity. We have transformed our core delivery model. We are not adding AI as a separate offering, but we are infusing it into every engagement. Our platforms, Code Insight AI, BlueSwan, Forge-X, Quazar, have helped us now for almost two years to embed AI in the way we deliver value to our customers from day one and that's important. We have restructured how we deliver. We are moving towards hybrid delivery models that combine agentic workflows with human expertise. And finally, to the other subtext around that question, Abhishek, critically, we are also willing to underwrite outcomes. Our risk reward commercial models tie our fees to our clients achieved results. We believe in the integrity and the strength of our delivery execution to be able to do that. And when we say we put skin in the game, we mean it contractually as well.

Vibhor Singhal · Nuvama

Thanks for taking my question and congrats for Coforge team on a rock solid performance yet again. Sudhir, my first question was, on basically the changing mix of the business that we might see over the coming quarters. You had mentioned in the analyst meet that health care, high tech, and public services are the verticals that we are focusing on going forward as basically in terms of diversifying our base. This quarter also, you mentioned that we have won a large deal in healthcare and probably another in the public service coming in the coming quarters. So if you could just take through the dynamics of these two sectors, how are we positioning ourselves in this pre-Encora? Of course, there is Encora also, which will start contributing into it. In healthcare, how are we looking in terms of payers and providers? In public services, are we looking more at UK public services or is it US as well? And what are the kind of growth avenues that we are looking in these verticals as we look to expand these verticals?

Thank you for the question and for the kind comments, Vibhor. As we discussed earlier in the investor meet that we have done in Mumbai, we believe Healthcare, Hi-tech, Public Sector will grow on steroids next year, if I were to put it euphemistically. Even if you were to reflect on their performance right now, these two verticals, just Healthcare and Hi-Tech, and this is all pre-Encora- we are not factoring in everything that will happen after Encora comes in on high tech, are already 10.5% of our aggregate revenues. And if I remember my numbers right, we are growing 95%. We have almost doubled it over the last four quarters. As I said earlier, we signed an NN large deal in Q3 in healthcare. We believe we will sign another NN large deal in the quarter that has started Q4. We also believe that in the allied vertical, which you referred to the UK public sector, we signed one of the largest deals that we ever have in that sector in the current quarter that is going on right now. We haven't announced it because this is the Q3 result call for now. In Healthcare, we continue to focus on Life Sciences and we continue to focus on Payer. However, please recognize that we are still relatively small. The Encora and the Coforge business, once it comes together, will only be about $170 to $175 odd million. And therefore, we will also look for tactical wins too. The large win in Healthcare that we do expect to close in Q4 is likely to come from a Provider client, an NN client, even though our primary focus longer term is going to be around life sciences and payors. Public sector, we continue to focus as we have. It takes a long time to build those relationships in UK and in Australia public sector. We have no plans, no intention of approaching the US public sector.

Kawaljeet Saluja · Kotak Securities

Hi, Sudhir Sir. Congratulations on a good print. I have a couple of questions. First is on the nature of the deal that drove strong growth in India. Can you just elaborate on the type of deal that would have contributed to such a large number? And would this end up being a headwind to your growth as you move into 4Q? That is the first question.

Kawaljeet at this point in time, we aren't reliant on one, two, or even three axes for growth. We referred earlier to the kind of growth that we see around Healthcare, around Public Sector, potentially getting accelerated, post-Encora coming together around High-Tech. Banking, we have alluded to the fact that two out of the six deals came from Banking itself. Banking is likely to do really well next year as is Travel, given the large deals we are looking at. So we think FY26 has been a very good year for us. FY27 is likely to be an exceptional year if the growth momentum continues. A lot of our confidence is also coming from the balanced nature of the growth across account-size cohorts, the pipeline, the relationship status across the top 10,the top 20 clients is extremely robust and then it is also coming from the next 12 months signed order book that we talked about. It is 30% higher than where it was four quarters back.

Dipesh Mehta · Emkay Global

Yes, thanks for the opportunity. A couple of questions. I think first about, you said risk reward where we are taking a risk of about let us say deliverable kind of things. Sir can you help us understand how we get the sense about it, whether it would be part of contingent liability, about the potential risk, which we are looking as a part of contract, so some color around it. Second question is about the employee cost. I think Saurabh partly touched upon about some of the cost optimization actions or initiative which we have taken. Can you elaborate and provide more detail around it? Thank you.

Let me take a quick stab at it. Risk reward, as you can imagine, has multiple flavors. Each one of those goes through our own risk assessment framework. This is something that Saurabh as the CFO of the organization owns. And this is something that our Controller also gets into, as does the Pricing Head. When it comes to commercial constructs, there are decisions that are made strategically around engagement structures, whether they are joint ventures, BOTs, reverse BOTs, standard fixed price contracts, or milestone based deliverables. Decisions are taken jointly by the CFO's office along with the CDO's office, which is Sunil Fernandes, the global head of delivery of the organization. These are reported three times in a year to the Risk Management Committee of the Board to make sure that we stay aligned with where we are. You will have noticed, given the increasing margin and the very sharply increasing growth rate, not over one, two, or three years, but for now eight-and-a-half years. With this approach, we have been commercially judicious, but have also been open to newer paradigms. It has worked very, very well for us.

Rishi Jhunjhunwala · IIFL Capital

Yes. Thanks for the opportunity. Two questions. Firstly, Sudhir and Saurabh, ESOP costs have been a lever for us over the last a year or so has given us 100 bps on margins. We have mentioned in the past that we do not expect this number to go up. In fact, if at all, it may trend downwards. With a large acquisition like Encora, do you think the trajectory may again change on the ESOP side given any potential retention through ESOP schemes in there? Fair enough. The second question is on headcount, right? So if we look at in the last one year, our headcount has grown at about 8% to 9% year-on-year, 3Q to 3Q without any material improvement in utilization, which Sudhir called out as a lever going forward whereas our revenues, of course, have grown at 25%. Is it possible to just give a breakdown in terms of what is driving this gap between revenue and headcount into how much of it is non-headcount linked revenues versus how much of it is driven by automation, productivity, and some of the other initiatives? And how do we expect it to, trend going forward?

So as a percentage of revenue Rishi, you will not see impact on margins. The absolute number might change. We are not going to come right now for any incremental pool. But even if ESOPs are getting issued, the cost, the margins that we have spoken about will continue to be intact. So I will answer that in two parts. One, obviously, it is a function of the kind of contracts which are outcome based, which are getting signed, which gives you higher realizable revenue. And that is what you see, which is getting reflected in revenue per employee that we report. You look at current quarter, we almost we have crossed $71,000 per annum. So that is reason number one. Second, the utilization levels that we are reporting today, I think there is a significant upside that is possible. The reason why we are right now not seeing an upside is because we continue to induct freshers and that is why we continue to maintain lower levels of utilization but as those freshers are getting billed that has helped us in bringing down our ARC. So that is answer number two. Number three is that the point that Sudhir was making that not just contracts which involves third party cost but outcome based contracts, which has now become a significant portion or which is now continuing to become part of our deals as we are signing those deals. Over there it is not just the revenue per employee but the margins are high because of the risk that is being taken in those deals that is leading to higher revenue per employee and leading to lower headcount addition as compared to revenue growth.

Ravi Menon · Macquarie

Hi, thank you for the opportunity and congrats on good revenue performance. Two questions here. One is, you know, this unbilled revenue trend, as we take on more of the system integration contracts, is this likely to continue going up and is there is an absolute kind of unbilled DSO number that you will be comfortable with? Because this is the level of risk that we are taking on and how do you actually plan in controlling that? Second is on this other direct costs. Again, there are seasonality, I understand? This is also something that we should see going up because as you do these large system integrated contracts, this is another line item that might go up. Thanks. And one last question on travel, because of the Sabre deal and the whole new platform that Sabre is creating, do you think there is a cross opportunity with airline customers, and their own transformation programs?

Yes. Ravi, thanks for the question. The Sabre deal has already had impact.It is not in the realm of the hypothetical. When we look at the post-Sabre scenario for Coforge, we are on the verge of standing up a $20 million relationship with an airline, which was not a material customer by any stretch for Coforge, but was one of the biggest customers of Sabre. So that cross-sell has already happened. And we believe there is significant runway for more such relationships to get constructed over time, because Sabre is not just a client for us, it is also a partner for us on an ongoing basis. You are right, Ravi. That is the intent. And if Cigniti is any reflection, the success of that acquisition, hopefully Encora at a minimum, will be as good as Cigniti was. And the intent, of course, is to take it up a few notches from even the Cigniti success.

Manik Taneja · Axis Capital

Thank you for the follow-on opportunity. This was once again a clarification on the other expenses line item. You said there is some seasonality to it related to certain contracts. So, just trying to understand is this largely linked to pass through license sales? That is one and given you are talking about very strong robust growth going into the next year, how should we be thinking about while you have given wage hikes only in the prior quarter, but how should we be thinking about some of the supply side factors going into FY27?

Manik, to your last question around supply side pressure, as you can imagine, given where the industry is right now, on the cost side, supply side pressure is very muted. A wage hike has just been announced. It is obviously not going to be done at least for the next four odd quarters.Four quarters at a minimum. Therefore, the confidence around margin increase, further margin increase in FY2027 over FY2026 is also strong.

Prepared remarks (4 blocks)
Thank you, Manish, and a very good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us today as we share our Q3 FY2026 performance and our outlook for the years ahead. As Manish has shared, John is on vacation in sunny Kerala. He sends his regards to all of you and he is keen to rejoin our call starting next quarter. Simon, my colleague, shall stand in for him during the call today. I shall provide an overview of our performance, touch upon the current market context, and then do a deep dive on results and operations data along with my colleagues. In Q3, we registered a growth of <strong>4.4 %</strong> in CC terms, and our year-to-date dollar revenue growth is now 32.8%. What we find particularly reassuring about our growth performance is the large deal velocity and the key accounts growth that underpins it. The six large deals that we have signed in the seasonally weak Q3, our next 12-month signed order book that is 30% higher than where it was at the same time last year and sustained growth across almost all key and top accounts has set us up for continued robust growth performance not just in FY2026, but in FY2027 and hopefully beyond. Equally importantly, on the margin front, it is pertinent to note that our reported 13.4 % EBIT for the quarter and our plan to register a 15% EBIT in Q4 will lead us to the 14% EBIT guidance for FY2026. In the current quarter, excluding hedge losses, the underlying EBIT for the firm is 14.4%. Finally, free cash flow for the quarter came in at 110%, significantly ahead of our guidance of around 70% to 80% FCF on a sustained basis. We believe we are set to close a very successful FY2026, and we are headed towards an exceptional FY2027. Outside the usual narrative around discretionary spends linked to macro environment, it is important to note that the tech services landscape is shifting in ways that we at Coforge believe create extraordinary opportunities for firms with the right capabilities and, importantly, resolve. While two years ago, every board was asking, how can we adopt AI? That question has now fundamentally changed. Our customers are no longer interested in AI strategies or pilot programs. They are demanding proof of business impact. They want measurable KPI improvements. They want clear paths to operational transformation. The age of AI experimentation is over. What we are witnessing is a market inflection point. The new era of enterprise tech is emerging, one where AI driven by cloud and data is becoming the engine of enterprise reinvention. The next gen enterprise will have its business capabilities defined and executed via a combination of humans and AI agents, underpinned by an enterprise data core and a cloud foundation that is purpose-built for AI. This shift is separating those who can talk about AI from those who can actually deliver it at enterprise scale. Today, let us be frank, most enterprises are not truly AI ready. Decades of technical debt, fragmented data landscapes, patchwork infrastructure block AI ambitions. Clients need partners who can modernize their foundations while implementing AI, not as separate multi-year initiatives, but as one integrated transformation. In this emerging world, enterprises are done managing fragmented partner relationships. They are asking for partners who combine digital native innovation velocity with enterprise grade delivery maturity. Partners who can move at startup speed while managing enterprise scale risk. It is in this context that the acquisition of Encora is a defining moment for our organization. It establishes a scaled AI-led engineering, data services, and cloud services based capability mode for the firm. This allied with Coforge's hyper-specialized industry expertise and execution intensity is likely to further accelerate our industry leading growth. It also sets us up as the tech services firm that is likely to be the first to deliver upon the promise of the AI infused future that lies ahead of our industry. As mentioned earlier, the firm registered sequential revenue growth of 4.4% in cc terms, 3.5% in US$ terms and 5.1% in INR terms. The 4.4% sequential CC growth came after registering 5.9% and 8.0% CC growth in the two previous quarters. At the end of Q3, we are now growing YTD at 32.8% in $ terms. On a YTD basis Healthcare and Hitech vertical, which now contributes 10.5% to the total revenue, has nearly doubled over where it was at the same point last year. Travel vertical has grown 66% YTD, BFS vertical has grown 21% YTD, Govt outside India has grown 20% YTD and Others bucket which includes Retail and Manufacturing has grown 23% YTD. All this data with the six large deals that I have talked about.
Two out of the six large deals in Q3 came from banking. One came from travel. Yet another one came from insurance. A fifth came from the new healthcare vertical of the organization and interestingly, that one deal was a large NN contract that we won. Our top 5 clients and our top 10 clients grew 51% and 47% YTD respectively in $ terms. They contributed 21.0% and 30.7% respectively to our overall Q3 revenue. During the quarter, and I have said this earlier, we signed six large deals. The total order intake during Q3 was $593 million. It was almost within kissing distance of $600 million. The executable order book, which reflects the total value of locked orders over the next 12 months stands at a record $1.72 billion. This number is 30% higher than at the same time last year. On the people front, our total headcount at the end of Q3 stood at 35,341. We saw a net people addition of 445 during the quarter. We continue to hire aggressively from campuses and laterally. Utilization during the quarter stood at 81.8%. This is a metric that we think will sharply increase in Q4. Last Twelve-Month (LTM) attrition for the quarter fell further and is now at 10.9%. We remain, as always, one of the lowest attrition firms across the industry. We continue with our strong progress in Agentic-AI, delivering business impact at scale. Through our AI assets, we are making engineering faster, smarter, and more resilient, enabling speed-to-market, architectural modernization, and precision in delivery. For example, in a recent landmark win at a leading Global Systemically Important Bank based in Europe, we deployed autonomous agents across data silos to transform cashflow forecasting for its corporate clients. It was a win that proves, at the intersection of Deep Domain expertise and Emerging Technologies, Coforge is the partner of choice for mission-critical transformation. This quarter, ForgeX, our integrated Agentic-AI engineering platform, delivered on further strategic engagements, each addressing complex engineering challenges. Some examples include: A leading global Airline, where we have accelerated delivery and improved operational resilience for a critical program through an AI-led 'Software Development Life Cycle'. In a large US financial services provider, we have built a platform with a roadmap of more than 20 domain-specific agents to industrialize automation and governance. We have modernized the legacy architecture of one of Australasia's largest general insurance brokers using agentic-AI accelerators to automate the refactoring process, strengthening reliability and quality. And in a leading Investment Management company, we have deployed intelligent agents for Product Ownership and Quality Engineering to automate testing and defect analysis. Along with ForgeX, our AI asset portfolio continues to grow with two further additions this quarter: Integration Studio, and XtenderAI. These assets, along with the broader portfolio, are deployed at scale across 54 clients, solving complex engineering and business challenges. Our cutting-edge, Gen-AI powered platform, CodeInsightAI, is a state-of-the-art Legacy Modernization toolkit available directly in the Microsoft Marketplace, 'Deployment ready' in Microsoft Azure's secure, cloud-native platform, it is already in use across large format programs in Travel, Insurance and Banking, reducing risks, bridging legacy skills gaps, and accelerating transformations. Over the last eight and a half years, the revenue run rate of Coforge has gone up almost five times and the market cap has increased almost 20 times. As we've shared in the past, it remains our intent to ensure that the next eight years see us maintain and improve upon the sustained business performance of the previous eight years. We hope to continue to be the industry leaders when it comes to growth, with increasing margins and investor value creation. 5.9% CC, 8% CC and now 4.4% CC sequential growth in the first three quarters of this year, Top 10 accounts growing at a 47% YTD clip, a next-twelve-month signed order book which is 30% higher YoY, a sales execution engine that signed 14 large deals last year and has already closed 16 large deals in the first three quarters of this year, a pathway to 14% EBIT in FY'26 cumulatively set us up to close a very successful FY'26 and head towards an exceptional FY'27.
We are pleased to report revenue of INR <strong>41,881 Mn</strong> in Q3 of FY26 reflecting a sequential growth of 4.4 % in CC terms and 5.1% in INR terms. EBIT margin for the quarter stood at 13.4%, up 191 bps YoY and down 60 bps QoQ. The reduction in EBIT was mainly on account of wage hikes which had an impact of 150 bps on margins, which was partially offset by various margin initiatives that we have been delivering within the organization for last three quarters and lower ESOP cost. We also had a headwind on account of increase in hedge loss during the quarter. The hedge loss reported for the quarter amounted to INR 434 million as compared to INR 307 million in the previous quarter, reflecting adverse impact of 26 bps in the reported EBIT. As you know, we take the hedge losses in the top line, the same had an impact of 90 bps on EBIT margins. There were exceptional items to the extent of INR 147 crores during the quarter out of which, INR 118 crores are on account of New Labour code introduced by Government of India, INR 13.5 crores related to expenses for the proposed Encora acquisition and INR 16.2 crores of legal expenses have been booked on conservative basis related to cybersecurity incident which happened in August 2023. We have E&O insurance cover and part of these expenses will be reversed once we receive the money from the Insurance company. As we have just concluded a large acquisition and are in the process of taking regulatory approvals, we are expecting expenses associated with the transaction included integration and funding expenses over the course of next two quarters to the extent of $ 10 – $15 million. Excluding exceptional items during the quarter, Earnings per share for the quarter stood at INR 10.9 per share. EPS for 9 months is INR 31.6 per share which is 83% higher than last year same period.
This is further expected to go up post approval of Cigniti merger because minority interest will get added back to profits, the impact of that will be far more than the impact of increase in number of shares. Coming on to cash flows we are pleased to report that FCF increased to <strong>$45.7 million</strong>, resulting in an FCF to normalized PAT of 110%. We have excluded the impact of exceptional items to arrive at this ratio. Billed DSO was 67 days, unbilled 28 days, and contract assets 14 days, totaling 109 days. We also have deferred revenue and current liabilities to the extent of 60 days reflecting a working capital cycle of 49 days. This was 48 days in previous quarter. Capital expenditure for the quarter stood at $3 million. During the quarter, the firm entered into a Share Purchase Agreement for the acquisition of equity shares of Encora for an enterprise value of $ 2.35 billion. Out of the total $ 1.89 billion are getting financed through share swap arrangement and balance through term loan to retire the borrowings of Encora Group. During our last call on 26th December, we mentioned that we are looking for multiple option like bridge loan or a term loan or QIP of $550 Mn to retire the term loan of Encora. We are very close to finalizing a term loan of $550 Mn for a period of 3 years with a consortium of 4-5 banks. We are comfortable with the pricing that we have negotiated with the banks and have concluded that we will not need to do a QIP for retiring the term loan in the target company. The guidance related to no dilution of EPS in FY27 of the combined business stays intact even after this debt.
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